Observed 4:55 PM CDT at KTWM

Silver Bay, MN weather

Overcast and 61°16°, 19°11° warmer than a typical Oct 24, rain ~6 PM (44%).

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Cloudy

Wind: 9 mph15 km/h; From the west-northwest. Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h around 9 PM
Dew point: 55°13°; A little sticky · down to 46°8° by 8 PM (comfortable)
UV tomorrow: 2Low; Low all day (peak 2)
Pressure: 30.12 inHg1020 hPa; Rising · +0.07 inHg+2.2 hPa in 3 h

None rain starting around 5:15 AM.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

12°6° warmer than this time yesterday (50°10° then, 61°16° now)

Good hours for

Rain until 7 PM (60%, 0.14 in3.6 mm)
Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h tonight 9–10 PM
Low 39°4° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by noon

TonightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Rain 5–7 PM (60%) · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h
Tomorrow morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 54°12° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 42°6° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 44°7° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Showers	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	72%	100%	0
Sat 6p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	78%	99%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	80%	100%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	77%	100%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	71%	100%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	68%	99%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	60%	98%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	56%	82%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	53%	80%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	49%	81%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	49%	80%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	52%	80%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	56%	78%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly cloudy	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	55%	43%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	54%	34%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	55%	23%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly sunny	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	53%	21%	0
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	47%	52%	1
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	42%	65%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	41%	76%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	38%	80%	2
Sun 2p	Mostly cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	35%	67%	2
Sun 3p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	35%	80%	2
Sun 4p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	34%	80%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	35%	80%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	37%	81%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	39%	83%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	47%	84%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	51%	83%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	53%	84%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	55%	86%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	55%	83%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	57%	83%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	59%	84%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	61%	87%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	64%	77%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	69%	80%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	69%	81%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	66%	80%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	27°−3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	72%	40%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	69%	76%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	59%	62%	1
Mon 11a	Mostly cloudy	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	55%	63%	2
Mon 12p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	53%	76%	2
Mon 1p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	51%	82%	3
Mon 2p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	49%	81%	2
Mon 3p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	82%	2
Mon 4p	Mostly cloudy	45°7° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	78%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 39°4°. Typical 47°8° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  40% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Rain showers likely. Cloudy. High near 66, with temperatures falling to around 61 in the afternoon. West wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 39, with temperatures rising to around 41 overnight. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
39°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 31°−1°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 31°−1°. Typical 46°8° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 55, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. West wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
55°13°–56°13°
Low, likely
31°−1°–42°6°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 30°−1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 46°8°, low 31°−1°. Typical 46°8° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  70% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 46. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Rain showers likely after 7pm. Cloudy, with a low around 31. East wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Low, likely
31°−1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 30°−1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Showers. High 47°8°, low 39°4°. Typical 45°7° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.29 in7.4 mm, 90% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 42°5°
  90% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  90% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  70% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. East wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Low, likely
38°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 30°−1°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 58°14°, low 40°4°. Typical 45°7° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 57°14°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. South wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
40°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 29°−2°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 54°12°, low 37°3°. Typical 44°7° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. West wind around 5 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. North wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–58°14°
Low, likely
36°2°–43°6°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 29°−2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 53°12°, low 39°4°. Typical 44°7° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. East wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–58°14°
Low, likely
35°2°–44°7°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 28°−2°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 46°8°. Typical 43°6° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 49°10°
  40% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Low, likely
45°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 28°−2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 47°8°. Typical 43°6° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–59°15°
Low, likely
43°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 28°−2°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 49°9°, low 45°7°. Typical 42°6° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
38°3°–48°9°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 27°−3°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 44 mph71 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
59% chance of rain, high 66°, low 39°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 55°, low 31°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 46°, low 31°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 47–58°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (DLH) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Beaver River (MN) near Beaver Bay

2.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 10.4 ft
Flow: 25 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Baptism River near Beaver Bay

4.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 11.4 ft
Flow: 11 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

Stewart River near Two Harbors

25 mi

Level: 6.8 ft

Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 79% less heating than a typical week.

This week 41Typical 193

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 32
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 55°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Wolf Ridge Elc · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1993–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 19°11° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 10°5° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

—SunOct 18
+13°+7°MonOct 19
+9°+5°TueOct 20
+7°+4°WedOct 21
+14°+8°ThuOct 22
+7°+4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Silver Bay weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 24 min; Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 56 min less
Golden hour: 5:17–6:20 PM; Morning 7:17–8:19 AM
Blue hour: 6:20–6:32 PM; Morning 7:05–7:17 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 82% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:01 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Silver Bay. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.