Observed 2:10 AM CDT at KFCM

Waconia, MN weather

Clear and 64°18°, 20°11° warmer than a typical Oct 24, rain ~4–6 PM (68%).

Mostly agree

Now 64°18°

Clear

Wind: 10 mph17 km/h; From the south-southeast. Gusts to 28 mph45 km/h around 9 AM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.11 inHg1020 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° warmer than this time yesterday (61°16° then, 66°19° now)

Good hours for

Dry until 1 PM
Gusts to 28 mph45 km/h today 9 AM–noon
Rain today 1–8 PM (70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm)
High 73°23° today at 1 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 7 PM

TonightNear 64°18° · Partly cloudy
This morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · gusts to 28 mph45 km/h · Partly cloudy
This afternoonDown to 64°18° by 5 PM · Rain 1–6 PM (70%)
TonightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Rain 6–8 PM (50%)
Tomorrow morningNear 48°9° · rain chance 30% · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 51°11° · rain chance 20% · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 46°8° by midnight · rain chance 40% · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2a	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	58%	84%	0
Sat 3a	Mostly cloudy	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	60%	50%	0
Sat 4a	Mostly cloudy	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	60%	54%	0
Sat 5a	Partly cloudy	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	60%	48%	0
Sat 6a	Partly cloudy	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph35 km/h	60%	36%	0
Sat 7a	Clear	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	65%	28%	0
Sat 8a	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	62%	68%	0
Sat 9a	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	65%	72%	0
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	67°19° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SSW, gusts 26 mph41 km/h	56%	33%	1
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SSW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	55%	37%	2
Sat 12p	Cloudy	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	10%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	53%	73%	3
Sat 1p	Cloudy	73°23° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	49%	84%	3
Sat 2p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	53%	95%	3
Sat 3p	Cloudy	71°22° (likely 58°14° to 71°22°)	71°22°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	55%	95%	3
Sat 4p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 55°13° to 68°20°)	68°20°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from WNW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	61%	100%	1
Sat 5p	Showers	64°18° (likely 53°12° to 64°18°)	64°18°	70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from WNW, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	67%	100%	1
Sat 6p	Showers	61°16° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°)	61°16°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	70%	100%	0
Sat 7p	Showers	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	75%	100%	0
Sat 8p	Showers	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	77%	100%	0
Sat 9p	Showers	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	77%	100%	0
Sat 10p	Drizzle	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	74%	100%	0
Sat 11p	Drizzle	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	100%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	71%	100%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	71%	100%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	48°9°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	66%	100%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	66%	100%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	46°8°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	65%	96%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	65%	100%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	65%	100%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	45°7°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	65%	99%	0
Sun 8a	Showers	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	44°7°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	68%	80%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	45°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	68%	99%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	63%	99%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	63%	100%	0
Sun 12p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	48°9°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	58%	100%	1
Sun 1p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	48°9°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	56%	97%	1
Sun 2p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	52%	100%	0
Sun 3p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	48%	100%	0
Sun 4p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	48%	99%	0
Sun 5p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	48%	100%	0
Sun 6p	Drizzle	53°12° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	53°12°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	46%	99%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	52%	100%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	48°9°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	56%	99%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	58%	96%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	46°8°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	63%	99%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	63%	100%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	63%	100%	0
Mon 1a	Showers	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	43°6°	40%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	63%	99%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly cloudy. High 74°23°, low 61°16°. Typical 54°12° / 34°1°. Rain 0.25 in6.4 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 73°23°
  70% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Rain showers likely after 1pm. Partly sunny. High near 74, with temperatures falling to around 64 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind around 15 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
50°10°–61°16°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 34°1°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 36 mph57 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Showers. High 53°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 53°12° / 34°1°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 45°7°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 46°8°
  40% chance
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Cloudy. Low around 40, with temperatures rising to around 43 overnight. North northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 34°1°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
Monday, Oct 26. Showers. High 48°9°, low 40°4°. Typical 52°11° / 34°1°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 44°7°
  60% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 46°8°
  60% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  60% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  60% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Night: Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 40. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Low, likely
40°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 34°1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Showers. High 57°14°, low 47°8°. Typical 52°11° / 33°1°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  60% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–65°18°
Low, likely
45°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 33°1°
Wind
20 mph31 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 62°17°, low 42°6°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 63°17°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. South southwest wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–66°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–53°12°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 33°1°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 59°15°, low 42°6°. Typical 51°11° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 49°10°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West southwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 32°0°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 59°15°, low 50°10°. Typical 50°10° / 32°0°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.3 in7.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–57°14°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 32°0°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 64°18°, low 55°13°. Typical 50°10° / 32°0°. Rain 0.64 in16 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 59°15°
  40% chance · 0.27 in6.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–71°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–61°16°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 32°0°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 46°8°. Typical 49°9° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  20% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–63°17°
Low, likely
43°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 31°−1°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 51°11°, low 42°6°. Typical 49°9° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.28 in7.1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–55°13°
Low, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 31°−1°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 42 mph68 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 74°, low 61°.
Tomorrow
31% chance of rain, high 53°, low 40°, cooling off.
Monday
73% chance of rain, high 48°, low 40°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 51–64°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MPX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Crow River near Mayer

6.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.8 ft
Flow: 93 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:30 AM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Crow River near Lester Prairie 1SE

12 mi

Level: 34.0 ft
Flow: 28 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Minnesota River at Jordan

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 6.4 ft
Flow: 2,770 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Minnesota River at Shakopee

13 mi

Level: 17.1 ft
Flow: 2,520 cfs

Reading from Sat 12 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 87% less heating than a typical week.

This week 21Typical 158

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 9
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 AM–12:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Jordan 1ssw · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1949–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 20°11° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 10°5° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°SunOct 18
+10°+6°MonOct 19
+7°+4°TueOct 20
+11°+6°WedOct 21
+15°+8°ThuOct 22
+16°+9°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Waconia weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 33 min; Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 46 min less
Golden hour: 5:34–6:33 PM; Morning 7:24–8:23 AM
Blue hour: 6:33–6:45 PM; Morning 7:12–7:24 AM; first light 7:12 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 50% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:54 AM · rises 5:14 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Waconia. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 56 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.