Observed 1:05 AM CDT at KMCI

Lake Arrowhead, MO weather

Clear and 59°15°, 18°10° warmer than a typical Oct 25, jacket by 6 AM.

Mostly agree

Now 59°15°

Clear

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the south-southeast. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 1 PM
Dew point: 48°9°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.3 inHg1026 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa next 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 54°12° today at 7 AM
Above 70°21° today by noon
High 80°27° today at 4 PM
Below 70°21° tonight after 8 PM

TonightNear 57°14° · Mostly cloudy
This morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 80°27° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 57°14° by 3 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 77°25° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 60°16° by 11 PM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sun 1a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	69%	79%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	69%	78%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	72%	75%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	63%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	24%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	73%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	77%	73%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	46%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	69%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly cloudy	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	60%	57%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	51%	41%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	72°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	43%	67%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	76°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	76°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	37%	77%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	35%	79%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	34%	80%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	33%	80%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	35%	80%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	40%	80%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	46%	80%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	56%	80%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	60%	80%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	65%	76%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	67%	80%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	69%	81%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	72%	81%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	72%	72%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	75%	81%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	75%	79%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	75%	80%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	77%	81%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	74%	80%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	77%	78%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	75%	71%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	60%	70%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	53%	66%	2
Mon 12p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	62%	3
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	38%	46%	4
Mon 2p	Mostly sunny	76°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	76°24°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	36%	57%	4
Mon 3p	Cloudy	76°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	76°24°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	34%	72%	3
Mon 4p	Cloudy	77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	33%	76%	3
Mon 5p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	34%	66%	2
Mon 6p	Partly cloudy	73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	38%	67%	1
Mon 7p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	44%	63%	0
Mon 8p	Mostly cloudy	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	54%	62%	0
Mon 9p	Mostly cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	60%	59%	0
Mon 10p	Mostly cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	60%	66%	0
Mon 11p	Mostly cloudy	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	62%	70%	0
Tue 12a	Mostly cloudy	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	62%	80%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 80°27°, low 54°12°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 80. South wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. South southeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–80°27°
Low, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 55°13°. Typical 62°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
74°23°–77°25°
Low, likely
53°12°–57°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 73°23°, low 57°14°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 73°23°).
High, likely
68°20°–73°23°
Low, likely
57°14°–59°15°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Drizzle. High 78°26°, low 59°15°. Typical 61°16° / 38°3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 10% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 69°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–78°26°
Low, likely
58°14°–60°16°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 38°3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Thunderstorms. High 80°27°, low 60°16°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Storms 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–80°27°
Low, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 78°26°, low 58°14°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Storms 0.13 in3.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
58°14°–65°18°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 73°23°, low 59°15°. Typical 60°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  50% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°19°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 61°16°
  50% chance · 0.22 in5.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 37°3°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
1
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 57°14°. Typical 59°15° / 37°3°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 68°20°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
51°11°–61°16°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 37°3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 56°13°. Typical 59°15° / 36°2°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–78°26°
Low, likely
39°4°–63°17°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 36°2°
Wind
25 mph40 km/h, gusts 44 mph70 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Nov 3. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 49°9°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°10°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–61°16°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 36°2°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 80°, low 54°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 77°, low 55°, cooling off.
Tuesday
Dry, high 73°, low 57°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 61–80°; chance of precipitation on Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EAX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Reservoirs Smithville Reservoir

14 mi

Level: 864 ft

Reading from Sun 12:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Little Platte River at Smithville

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 12.2 ft
Flow: 13 cfs

Reading from Sun 12:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Crooked River near Richmond

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.1 ft
Flow: 9 cfs

Reading from Sun 12:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Platte River at Sharps Station

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.8 ft
Flow: 538 cfs

Reading from Sun 12:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 93% less heating than a typical week.

This week 7Typical 108

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 10:00 AM–2:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

SMITHVILLE LAKE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1985–2026

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 18°10° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Lake Arrowhead weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 46 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 23 min less
Golden hour: 5:46–6:41 PM; Morning 7:21–8:15 AM
Blue hour: 6:41–6:51 PM; Morning 7:10–7:21 AM; first light 7:10 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 67% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 7:03 AM · rises 5:51 PM
Full moon: Today, 11:12 PM
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Lake Arrowhead. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lake Arrowhead, MO weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Tuesday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Reservoirs Smithville Reservoir

Little Platte River at Smithville

Crooked River near Richmond

Platte River at Sharps Station

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon