Observed 4:35 AM CDT at KMHL

Nelson, MO weather

Clear and 52°11°, 17°9° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 52°11°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 5 PM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.25 inHg1024 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (52°11° then, 52°11° now)

Good hours for

Low 53°12° today at 7 AM
Above 70°21° today by noon
High 81°27° today at 4 PM
Below 70°21° tonight after 8 PM

This morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 81°27° by 4 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 53°12° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 80°27° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 54°12° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5a	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	79%	59%	0
Sat 6a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	77%	68%	0
Sat 7a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	78%	72%	0
Sat 8a	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	78%	67%	0
Sat 9a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	72%	56%	0
Sat 10a	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	60%	75%	1
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	50%	74%	2
Sat 12p	Partly sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	44%	50%	4
Sat 1p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	36%	63%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	34%	16%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	79°26° (likely 78°26° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	34%	12%	3
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	81°27° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)	80°27°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	31%	24%	2
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	79°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	35%	51%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	40%	74%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	47%	79%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	58%	80%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	61%	80%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	65%	80%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	67%	80%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	69%	78%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	72%	73%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	72%	79%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	74%	78%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	76%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	78%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	63%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	79%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	80%	73%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	77%	71%	1
Sun 10a	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	63%	73%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly cloudy	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	55%	68%	3
Sun 12p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	48%	69%	4
Sun 1p	Cloudy	77°25° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	43%	79%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	78°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)	78°26°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	42%	44%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	79°26°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	39%	74%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	80°27°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	38%	80%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	42%	70%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	75%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	55%	74%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	63%	69%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	67%	67%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	70%	76%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	75%	83%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	75%	86%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	77%	84%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	95%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	91%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	87%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 53°12°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. South southeast wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
78°26°–81°27°
Low, likely
52°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 42°6°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 80°27°, low 51°11°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 80. South wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. South southeast wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–80°27°
Low, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 78°26°, low 51°11°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 78.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
76°24°–78°26°
Low, likely
51°11°–58°14°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 75°24°, low 52°11°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
52°11°–58°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 79°26°, low 51°11°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 69°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–79°26°
Low, likely
51°11°–61°16°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 77°25°, low 52°11°. Typical 61°16° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
74°23°–81°27°
Low, likely
52°11°–64°18°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 40°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 60°16°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 75.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
75°24°–81°27°
Low, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 72°22°, low 62°17°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.51 in13 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 64°18°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 70°21°
  40% chance · 0.35 in8.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 65°18°
  40% chance · 0.15 in3.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 60°16°
  40% chance · 0.26 in6.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
67°19°–80°27°
Low, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 60°16°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.72 in18 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  40% chance · 0.36 in9.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°21°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
54°12°–63°17°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 68°20°, low 57°14°. Typical 59°15° / 38°3°. Rain 1.1 in27 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 58°15°
  30% chance · 0.56 in14 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 62°16°
  30% chance · 0.29 in7.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–67°19°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 38°3°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 81°, low 53°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 80°, low 51°.
Monday
Dry, high 78°, low 51°.
Rest of week
Highs 68–79°; chance of precipitation on Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EAX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Missouri River at Boonville

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 9.7 ft
Flow: 57,900 cfs

Forecast peak 9.6 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page

Missouri River at Glasgow

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 13.8 ft
Flow: 57,400 cfs

Forecast peak 13.7 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 3:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Blackwater River near Blue Lick

8.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 6.9 ft

Reading from Sat 3:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Petite Saline Creek near Boonville

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.6 ft
Flow: 4 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 91% less heating than a typical week.

This week 9Typical 96

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

MARSHALL · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 17°9° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

—SunOct 18
−3°−2°MonOct 19
+4°+2°TueOct 20
+8°+4°WedOct 21
+9°+5°ThuOct 22
+11°+6°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Nelson weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:37 PM; Morning 7:14–8:08 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:48 PM; Morning 7:03–7:14 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 66% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Nelson. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Nelson, MO weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Missouri River at Boonville

Missouri River at Glasgow

Blackwater River near Blue Lick

Petite Saline Creek near Boonville

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon