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Observed 1:55 PM CDT at KJLN

Shoal Creek Estates, MO weather

Sunny and 79°26°, 14°8° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Today: low 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°), high 82°28° (likely 78°26° to 82°28°).

Forecasts agree

Now 79°26°

Sunny

Wind
8 mph13 km/h
From the southwest. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point
46°8°
Comfortable
UV index
4Moderate
Moderate until 5 PM
Air quality
64Moderate
Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure
30.27 inHg1025 hPa
Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.6 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • High 81°27° today at 4 PM
  • Below 70°21° tonight after 8 PM
  • Low 55°13° tomorrow at 7 AM
  • Above 70°21° tomorrow by 11 AM
  1. This afternoonNear 80°27° · Mostly cloudy
  2. TonightDown to 56°13° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 71°22° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 79°26° by 3 PM · Cloudy
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 56°13° by 5 AM · Cloudy
  6. Monday morningUp to 70°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 2pPartly sunny79°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)79°26°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h35%47%4
Sat 3pPartly sunny80°27° (likely 78°26° to 81°27°)79°26°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h34%75%4
Sat 4pCloudy81°27° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)80°27°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h32%86%3
Sat 5pCloudy80°27° (likely 75°24° to 80°27°)79°26°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h34%81%2
Sat 6pCloudy77°25° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°)77°25°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h39%87%1
Sat 7pCloudy73°23° (likely 67°19° to 73°23°)73°23°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h44%87%0
Sat 8pCloudy67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)67°19°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h54%86%0
Sat 9pCloudy64°18° (likely 64°18° to 64°18°)64°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h58%87%0
Sat 10pCloudy63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)63°17°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h60%81%0
Sat 11pCloudy62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)62°17°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h62%84%0
Sun 12aCloudy61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)61°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h65%79%0
Sun 1aCloudy60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h64%83%0
Sun 2aCloudy59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h67%82%0
Sun 3aCloudy58°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)58°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h67%81%0
Sun 4aCloudy58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)58°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h67%79%0
Sun 5aPartly cloudy56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)56°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h69%76%0
Sun 6aCloudy56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)56°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h69%81%0
Sun 7aCloudy55°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h72%82%0
Sun 8aCloudy55°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h72%84%0
Sun 9aCloudy59°15° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h67%84%1
Sun 10aCloudy66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)66°19°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h56%87%2
Sun 11aCloudy71°22° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)71°22°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h47%87%3
Sun 12pCloudy74°23° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°)74°23°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h44%88%4
Sun 1pCloudy77°25° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°)77°25°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h40%87%4
Sun 2pCloudy78°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)78°26°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h38%87%4
Sun 3pCloudy79°26° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)79°26°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h36%87%4
Sun 4pCloudy79°26° (likely 76°24° to 81°27°)79°26°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h36%87%3
Sun 5pCloudy78°26° (likely 74°23° to 80°27°)78°26°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h38%88%2
Sun 6pCloudy76°24° (likely 70°21° to 76°24°)76°24°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h42%89%1
Sun 7pPartly cloudy71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)71°22°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h49%74%0
Sun 8pCloudy66°19° (likely 65°18° to 66°19°)66°19°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h63%92%0
Sun 9pCloudy63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)63°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h67%95%0
Sun 10pCloudy62°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)62°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h67%96%0
Sun 11pCloudy61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h67%98%0
Mon 12aCloudy60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)60°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h69%97%0
Mon 1aCloudy60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)60°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h67%96%0
Mon 2aCloudy59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)59°15°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h67%95%0
Mon 3aCloudy58°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)58°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h69%93%0
Mon 4aCloudy57°14° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)57°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h69%95%0
Mon 5aCloudy56°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)56°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h72%83%0
Mon 6aCloudy56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)56°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h72%89%0
Mon 7aCloudy55°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h74%93%0
Mon 8aMostly cloudy55°13° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h74%58%0
Mon 9aMostly cloudy60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)60°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h67%61%1
Mon 10aPartly sunny66°19° (likely 65°18° to 66°19°)66°19°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h58%69%2
Mon 11aPartly sunny70°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)70°21°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h51%65%3
Mon 12pPartly sunny73°23° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)73°23°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h44%61%4
Mon 1pPartly sunny75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)75°24°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h40%54%4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 82°28°, low 55°13°. Typical 68°20° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 81°27°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. High near 82, with temperatures falling to around 80 in the afternoon. South wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    78°26°–82°28°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–57°14°
    Typical high / low
    68°20° / 45°7°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 79°26°, low 55°13°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 79°26°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 66°19°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 79. South wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    77°25°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    53°12°–58°14°
    Typical high / low
    67°19° / 45°7°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 56°13°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 62°17°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    74°23°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    54°12°–58°14°
    Typical high / low
    67°19° / 44°7°
    Wind
    10 mph17 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 75°24°, low 57°14°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 73°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 63°17°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 61°16°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 75.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    71°22°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    55°13°–59°15°
    Typical high / low
    66°19° / 44°7°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 59°15°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 62°17°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 78°25°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 67°19°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 64°18°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    76°24°–79°26°
    Low, likely
    58°14°–62°17°
    Typical high / low
    66°19° / 44°7°
    Wind
    18 mph29 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 81°27°, low 59°15°. Typical 66°19° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 81°27°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 70°21°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    78°26°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    59°15°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    66°19° / 43°6°
    Wind
    15 mph25 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 78°26°, low 60°16°. Typical 65°18° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 76°25°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 69°21°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 78.

    Night: A chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    71°22°–80°27°
    Low, likely
    60°16°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    65°18° / 43°6°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Rain. High 68°20°, low 61°16°. Typical 65°18° / 43°6°. Rain 0.59 in15 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 62°17°

      40% chance · 0.19 in4.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 64°18°

      50% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 64°18°

      40% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 65°18°

      30% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    60°16°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    65°18° / 43°6°
    Wind
    23 mph37 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 56°13°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Rain 0.3 in7.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 66°19°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 74°23°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 62°17°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    66°19°–76°24°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 42°6°
    Wind
    21 mph33 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 52°11°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 54°12°

      40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    57°14°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–69°21°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 42°6°
    Wind
    25 mph41 km/h, gusts 41 mph67 km/h
    UV peak
    4

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 82°, low 55°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 79°, low 55°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 77°, low 56°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 63–81°; chance of precipitation on Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (SGF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Shoal Creek (MO) near Joplin

1.1 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.8 ft
Flow
71 cfs

Forecast peak 1.8 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

Spring River near Quapaw

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
5.0 ft
Flow
122 cfs

Forecast peak 5.1 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

Spring River near Baxter Springs

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.9 ft
Flow
186 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Spring River at Carthage

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.6 ft
Flow
47 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

This week 8Typical 0

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 6:00 PM–1:00 AM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

JOPLIN REGIONAL AIRPORT · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1902–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 14°8° warmer than typical.

Normal high / low
68°20° / 45°7°
Forecast high / low
82°28° / 55°13°
Record high
90°32° in 2024
Record low
24°−4° in 1999

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −4°−2°SunOct 18
  2. ±0°MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. +7°+4°WedOct 21
  5. +7°+4°ThuOct 22
  6. +11°+6°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Shoal Creek Estates weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:34 AM, sunset 6:29 PM.

Daylight
10 h 55 min
Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 18 min less
Golden hour
5:53–6:45 PM
Morning 7:18–8:10 AM
Blue hour
6:45–6:55 PM
Morning 7:07–7:18 AM; first light 7:07 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 82% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:51 AM · rises 5:26 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Shoal Creek Estates. The highest point on the skyline is about 6,600 ft, 66 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.