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Model estimate for 8:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Absarokee, MT weather

Sunny and 27°−3°.

Today: low 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 28°−2°), high 52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°).

Mostly agree

Now 27°−3°

Sunny · Feels like 23°−5°

Wind
3 mph5 km/h
From the southwest. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point
27°−3°
Dry, static shocks likely
Humidity
99%
Air 27°−3°, dew point 27°−3° · frost likely
UV index
0Low
Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3

Next 2 hours

Light snow now, through the next 2 hours.

  1. 12:00 AM: light snow
  2. 12:15 AM: dry
  3. 12:30 AM: dry
  4. 12:45 AM: dry
  5. 1:00 AM: dry
  6. 1:15 AM: dry
  7. 1:30 AM: dry
  8. 1:45 AM: dry

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Hard freeze until 10 AM (low 27°−3°)
  • Above 40°4° today by 11 AM
  • Below 40°4° tonight after 8 PM
  • Hard freeze tonight midnight–10 AM (low 26°−3°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night from 10 PM (low 25°−4°)
  1. This morningUp to 40°4° by 11 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Clear
  2. This afternoonUp to 51°11° by 4 PM · Clear
  3. TonightDown to 27°−3° by 5 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Clear
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 40°4° by 11 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 48°9° by 3 PM · Clear
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 25°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Partly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 8aSunny27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 29°−2°)23°−5°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h99%0%0
Sat 9aSunny29°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)24°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h93%1%0
Sat 10aSunny35°2° (likely 35°2° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h71%0%1
Sat 11aSunny40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)35°2°0%7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h56%0%1
Sat 12pSunny44°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)39°4°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h48%2%2
Sat 1pSunny47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)43°6°0%8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h44%1%3
Sat 2pSunny49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)45°7°0%8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h39%1%3
Sat 3pSunny50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)47°8°0%8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h35%0%2
Sat 4pSunny51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)51°11°0%8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h35%0%1
Sat 5pSunny50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)47°8°0%7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h36%2%0
Sat 6pClear47°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h43%0%0
Sat 7pClear42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)42°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h54%0%0
Sat 8pClear37°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)37°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h62%0%0
Sat 9pClear36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)36°2°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h70%0%0
Sat 10pClear34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)34°1°0%1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h76%0%0
Sat 11pClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°)33°1°0%1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h80%0%0
Sun 12aClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)31°−1°0%1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h84%0%0
Sun 1aClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)30°−1°0%1 mph2 km/h from WNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h86%0%0
Sun 2aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)29°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from WNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h88%0%0
Sun 3aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 32°0°)29°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from WNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h89%0%0
Sun 4aClear28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 31°−1°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h89%0%0
Sun 5aClear27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 30°−1°)27°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h92%0%0
Sun 6aClear26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h93%0%0
Sun 7aClear26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h91%0%0
Sun 8aSunny26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h90%0%0
Sun 9aSunny29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)29°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h84%0%0
Sun 10aSunny36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)36°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h67%0%1
Sun 11aSunny40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h57%0%2
Sun 12pSunny44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)41°5°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h51%0%3
Sun 1pSunny46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h47%0%4
Sun 2pSunny47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)44°7°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h44%0%4
Sun 3pSunny48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)45°7°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h40%0%3
Sun 4pSunny48°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)46°8°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h40%1%2
Sun 5pSunny47°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)44°7°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h41%2%1
Sun 6pClear43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)41°5°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h49%13%0
Sun 7pClear39°4° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)37°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h55%17%0
Sun 8pClear35°2° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)32°0°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h62%21%0
Sun 9pClear34°1° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h68%26%0
Sun 10pClear32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)32°0°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h73%25%0
Sun 11pClear31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h76%21%0
Mon 12aClear30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)30°−1°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h81%29%0
Mon 1aMostly clear30°−1° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)30°−1°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h82%25%0
Mon 2aClear29°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)29°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h85%23%0
Mon 3aClear27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 30°−1°)27°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h88%28%0
Mon 4aPartly cloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h91%58%0
Mon 5aCloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)25°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h94%52%0
Mon 6aCloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)25°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%43%0
Mon 7aClear26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h95%23%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 26°−3°. Typical 56°13° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 27°−3°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny. High near 52, with temperatures falling to around 50 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 26. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    48°9°–52°11°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–28°−2°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 49°9°, low 25°−4°. Typical 56°13° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 26°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 25°−4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 47 in the afternoon. North northeast wind 0 to 6 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25. North wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    46°8°–50°10°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 52°11°, low 29°−2°. Typical 55°13° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny. High near 52, with temperatures falling to around 49 in the afternoon. East wind 0 to 6 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. North wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    47°8°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    10 mph15 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Showers. High 55°13°, low 30°−1°. Typical 55°13° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 42°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 31°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. High near 55, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. West southwest wind 0 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    52°11°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    23 mph36 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 56°13°, low 26°−3°. Typical 54°12° / 25°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 31°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 54°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 30°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny. High near 56, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 2 to 6 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. South wind 1 to 6 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    52°11°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 27°−3°. Typical 54°12° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny. High near 51, with temperatures falling to around 48 in the afternoon. East wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of snow showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Northwest wind 0 to 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    41°5°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 53°12°, low 29°−2°. Typical 54°12° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 36°2°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny. High near 53, with temperatures falling to around 49 in the afternoon. Northeast wind around 2 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. North northwest wind around 2 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    40°4°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 33°1°. Typical 53°12° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 31°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    38°3°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Partly sunny. High 47°8°, low 29°−2°. Typical 53°12° / 23°−5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 47°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    41°5°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    20°−7°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    24 mph39 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 48°9°, low 34°1°. Typical 52°11° / 23°−5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 41°5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 51°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    37°3°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 52°, low 26°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 49°, low 25°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 52°, low 29°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 43–56°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BYZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Stillwater River (South Central MT) near Absarokee

1.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.6 ft
Flow
429 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Red Lodge Creek above Cooney Reservoir near Boyd

12 mi
Level
2.0 ft
Flow
53 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Willow Creek near Boyd

13 mi
Level
2.7 ft
Flow
19 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

East Rosebud Creek near Roscoe

16 mi
Level
3.9 ft

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 57Typical 175

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
41
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 11 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 27°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Columbus · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1930–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
56°13° / 26°−3°
Forecast high / low
52°11° / 26°−3°
Record high
79°26° in 2007
Record low
4°−16° in 2020

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Absarokee weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:46 AM, sunset 6:16 PM.

Daylight
10 h 30 min
Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 48 min less
Golden hour
5:35–6:35 PM
Morning 7:27–8:28 AM
Blue hour
6:35–6:47 PM
Morning 7:16–7:27 AM; first light 7:16 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:47 PM–7:17 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:01 AM · rises 5:17 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking southwest from Absarokee. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,600 ft, 24 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.