Observed 12:05 PM MDT at KGPI

Bear Dance, MT weather

Sunny and 46°8°.

Forecasts agree

Now 46°8°

Sunny · Feels like 42°5°

Wind: 9 mph15 km/h; From the south-southeast. Up to 9 mph15 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 34°1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Pressure: 30.24 inHg1024 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 50°10° tonight at 6 PM
Low 39°4° tomorrow at 9 AM
Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h tomorrow 10 AM–noon

This afternoonUp to 49°9° by 5 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 42°6° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningNear 41°5° · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 51°11° by 5 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningNear 42°6° · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Partly sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	87%	18%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	86%	18%	3
Sat 2p	Mostly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	83%	26%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	72%	1%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	67%	8%	2
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	63%	49%	1
Sat 6p	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	66%	57%	1
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	72%	54%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	74%	82%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	85%	0
Sat 10p	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	79%	78%	0
Sat 11p	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	77%	80%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	78%	68%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	84%	62%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	57%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	46%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	81%	29%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	85%	47%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly cloudy	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	35°2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	84%	29%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly cloudy	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°)	33°1°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	89%	44%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly cloudy	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 49°9°)	33°1°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	83%	53%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly cloudy	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 49°9°)	33°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	84%	51%	0
Sun 10a	Mostly cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 51°11°)	33°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 26 mph43 km/h	85%	53%	1
Sun 11a	Mostly cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 53°12°)	34°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	82%	59%	2
Sun 12p	Mostly cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 55°13°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	76%	59%	2
Sun 1p	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 57°14°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	77%	57%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 58°14°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	73%	67%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 59°15°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	67%	65%	3
Sun 4p	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 59°15°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	64%	65%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	63%	68%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	66%	69%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	73%	73%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	76%	75%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 52°11°)	41°5°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	77%	76%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 51°11°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	76%	77%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly cloudy	44°7° (likely 38°3° to 51°11°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	74%	65%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly cloudy	44°7° (likely 37°3° to 51°11°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	73%	60%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 51°11°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	74%	73%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 51°11°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	76%	77%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 52°11°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	78%	78%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 50°10°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	79%	82%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	86%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	80%	90%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	81%	93%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	81%	92%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	82%	90%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	82%	85%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	85%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 39°4°. Typical 51°11° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. South southwest wind 1 to 6 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. East southeast wind 1 to 9 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
49°9°–51°11°
Low, likely
38°3°–40°4°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 51°11°, low 40°4°. Typical 50°10° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 51. East northeast wind 3 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–59°15°
Low, likely
36°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 36°2°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 51°11°, low 41°5°. Typical 50°10° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  50% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 41°5°
  70% chance · 0.28 in7.2 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 51. North wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
45°7°–51°11°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 36°2°
Wind
20 mph33 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 47°8°, low 39°4°. Typical 49°9° / 35°2°. Rain 0.76 in19 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  80% chance · 0.25 in6.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  80% chance · 0.19 in4.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 42°6°
  80% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Low, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 35°2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 47°8°, low 36°2°. Typical 49°9° / 35°2°. Snow 0.27 in6.9 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 40°4°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 42°5°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 39°4°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Low, likely
36°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 35°2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 45 mph73 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 44°7°, low 35°2°. Typical 48°9° / 35°2°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 38°3°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 35°2°
  40% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before 3pm, then a slight chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 44.
Night: A chance of rain before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–46°8°
Low, likely
35°2°–38°3°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 35°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 45°7°, low 37°3°. Typical 48°9° / 35°2°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 35°2°
  30% chance · 0.3 in0.6 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 45.
Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Low, likely
32°0°–37°3°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 35°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 38°3°, low 32°0°. Typical 48°9° / 34°1°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 38°3°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 33°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
36°2°–40°4°
Low, likely
32°0°–34°1°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 34°1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Snow. High 41°5°, low 33°1°. Typical 47°8° / 34°1°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Low, likely
27°−3°–35°2°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 34°1°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 41°5°, low 34°1°. Typical 47°8° / 34°1°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–44°7°
Low, likely
31°−1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 34°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 50°, low 39°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 51°, low 40°.
Monday
Dry, high 51°, low 41°.
Rest of week
Highs 38–47°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MSO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Swan River near Bigfork

8.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 457 cfs

Forecast peak 2.7 ft Sun 6 AM

Reading from Sat 11 AM · NWS gauge page

Flathead River near Polson

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.5 ft
Flow: 7,210 cfs

Forecast peak 5.5 ft Sat 12 PM

Reading from Sat 10:50 AM · NWS gauge page

Flathead Lake at Polson

16 mi

Level: 2892 ft

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Flathead River above Twin Creek near Hungry Horse

22 mi

Level: 4.9 ft
Flow: 448 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 74% less heating than a typical week.

This week 41Typical 159

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 36
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 13 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 34°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Bigfork 13 S · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1938–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Bear Dance weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 22 min; Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 59 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:50 PM; Morning 7:49–8:52 AM
Blue hour: 6:50–7:02 PM; Morning 7:37–7:49 AM; first light 7:37 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 58% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:23 AM · rises 5:32 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Bear Dance. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,900 ft, 85 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.