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Observed 8:55 PM MDT at KMSO

Carlton, MT weather

Clear and 39°4°.

Today: low 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°), high 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°).

Forecasts agree

Now 39°4°

Clear

Wind
3 mph5 km/h
From the north. Light through 9 AM
Dew point
36°2°
Comfortable
UV tomorrow
4Moderate
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality
22Good
Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure
30.17 inHg1022 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Above 40°4° tomorrow by 11 AM
  • Drops 12°7° tomorrow 5–8 PM (52°11° → 40°4°)
  • Below 40°4° tomorrow night after 8 PM
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night 10 PM–11 AM (low 23°−5°)
  • Rain Monday night from 6 PM (90%, 0.24 in6.1 mm)
  1. TonightNear 36°2° · Partly cloudy
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 42°6° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 53°12° by 2 PM · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 24°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Mostly cloudy
  5. Monday morningUp to 39°4° by 11 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Partly cloudy
  6. Monday afternoonUp to 55°13° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy · rain chance 20%
  7. Monday nightDown to 40°4° by 8 PM · Rain all night (90%)
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 9pClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)37°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h95%25%0
Sat 10pClear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)36°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%21%0
Sat 11pClear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)36°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%21%0
Sun 12aPartly cloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)35°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%19%0
Sun 1aClear36°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)36°2°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%18%0
Sun 2aMostly clear35°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)35°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%18%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy34°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)34°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%30%0
Sun 4aPartly cloudy35°2° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)35°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%39%0
Sun 5aMostly clear34°1° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)34°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%40%0
Sun 6aPartly cloudy33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)33°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%39%0
Sun 7aClear34°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)34°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%15%0
Sun 8aSunny34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)31°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%7%0
Sun 9aPartly sunny34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)31°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%28%0
Sun 10aPartly sunny39°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)36°2°0%5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%50%1
Sun 11aPartly sunny42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)39°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h92%60%2
Sun 12pMostly sunny48°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)45°7°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h74%62%3
Sun 1pPartly sunny52°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)52°11°0%5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h63%64%3
Sun 2pCloudy53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h56%67%4
Sun 3pCloudy52°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h51%70%3
Sun 4pPartly sunny53°12° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h50%72%2
Sun 5pPartly sunny52°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h51%73%1
Sun 6pCloudy47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h68%74%1
Sun 7pCloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)38°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h89%75%0
Sun 8pCloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 47°8°)31°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h93%75%0
Sun 9pCloudy33°1° (likely 33°1° to 46°8°)29°−2°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h97%76%0
Sun 10pCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 44°7°)26°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%77%0
Sun 11pCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 43°6°)25°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h100%78%0
Mon 12aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 42°6°)29°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%78%0
Mon 1aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 40°4°)28°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h100%78%0
Mon 2aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 39°4°)28°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%77%0
Mon 3aMostly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 39°4°)27°−3°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%72%0
Mon 4aMostly cloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 38°3°)25°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%63%0
Mon 5aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 38°3°)24°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%75%0
Mon 6aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 39°4°)24°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%73%0
Mon 7aCloudy23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 38°3°)23°−5°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%35%0
Mon 8aCloudy23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 38°3°)23°−5°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%38%0
Mon 9aMostly cloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 39°4°)26°−3°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h100%42%0
Mon 10aMostly cloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 43°6°)32°0°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h93%45%1
Mon 11aMostly cloudy39°4° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h83%44%1
Mon 12pRain46°8° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°)46°8°20%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h73%51%2
Mon 1pCloudy50°10° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)50°10°20%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h63%57%2
Mon 2pRain53°12° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)53°12°20%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h56%55%3
Mon 3pCloudy55°13° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)55°13°20%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h53%95%3
Mon 4pCloudy54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)54°12°20%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h57%80%2
Mon 5pRain51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)51°11°20%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h65%87%1
Mon 6pCloudy48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)48°9°90%, 0.08 in2 mm1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h75%82%1
Mon 7pRain44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)44°7°90%, 0.08 in2 mm1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h84%85%0
Mon 8pRain40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)40°4°90%, 0.08 in2 mm1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h93%93%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 33°1°. Typical 54°12° / 30°−1°. Rain, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Tonight: Patchy fog between 1am and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. East southeast wind around 2 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    51°11°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    10 mph17 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 53°12°, low 22°−6°. Typical 53°12° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly cloudy, 24°−4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53. East southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. East northeast wind 1 to 5 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    51°11°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Rain. High 55°13°, low 27°−3°. Typical 52°11° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly cloudy, 23°−5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 40°4°

      90% chance · 0.37 in9.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      90% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. East wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Northwest wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    51°11°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 48°9°, low 24°−4°. Typical 52°11° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      70% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 42°5°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Night: A slight chance of rain after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    46°8°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 50°10°, low 22°−6°. Typical 51°11° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.11 in2.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 33°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 50°10°

      20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 40°5°

      20% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 34°1°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain before 9am, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 50.

    Night: A slight chance of rain before 3am, then a slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    44°7°–52°11°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 49°9°, low 21°−6°. Typical 51°11° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 34°1°

      30% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 43°6°

      40% chance · 0.4 in1 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      40% chance · 0.4 in1 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before 9am, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 49.

    Night: A chance of rain before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    40°4°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    21°−6°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 48°9°, low 19°−7°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Snow 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 33°0°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 48.

    Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    42°6°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    19°−7°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Mostly cloudy. High 47°8°, low 28°−2°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 31°0°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 42°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 28°−2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 47.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    38°3°–48°9°
    Low, likely
    16°−9°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    4 mph6 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Partly sunny. High 44°7°, low 27°−3°. Typical 49°9° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 33°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    39°4°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    18°−8°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    4 mph7 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 49°9° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    39°4°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 52°, low 33°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 53°, low 22°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 55°, low 27°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 44–50°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MSO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Bitterroot River near Missoula

9.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.4 ft
Flow
899 cfs

Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sun 6 PM

Reading from Sat 7 PM · NWS gauge page

Clark Fork River below Missoula

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.5 ft
Flow
2,770 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sun 6 PM

Reading from Sat 7 PM · NWS gauge page

Clark Fork River above Missoula

14 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.0 ft
Flow
2,020 cfs

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sun 12 PM

Reading from Sat 8 PM · NWS gauge page

Bitterroot River at Bell Crossing near Victor

17 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.8 ft
Flow
562 cfs

Forecast peak 5.1 ft Sun 12 AM

Reading from Sat 7:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 53Typical 172

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
35
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 25 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Stevensville · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1911–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
54°12° / 30°−1°
Forecast high / low
52°11° / 33°1°
Record high
75°24° in 1944
Record low
11°−12° in 1919

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —MonOct 19
  2. —TueOct 20
  3. —WedOct 21
  4. —ThuOct 22
  5. —FriOct 23
  6. —SatOct 24
  7. —SunOct 25

Carlton weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:06 AM, sunset 6:33 PM.

Daylight
10 h 26 min
Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 53 min less
Golden hour
5:50–6:52 PM
Morning 7:47–8:49 AM
Blue hour
6:52–7:04 PM
Morning 7:35–7:47 AM; first light 7:35 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10 PM–3 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:21 AM · rises 5:34 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Carlton. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,900 ft, 56 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.