Model estimate for 5:00 PM MDT (no recent station report)

Choteau, MT weather

Sunny and 43°6°, 11°6° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 24°−4°.

Forecasts differ

Now 43°6°

Sunny · Feels like 40°4°

Wind: 5 mph8 km/h; From the east-southeast. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 5 AM
Dew point: 30°−1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 0Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Hard freeze tonight 10 PM–11 AM (low 24°−4°)
Fog tonight midnight–1 AM
Low 24°−4° tomorrow at 8 AM
Above 30°−1° tomorrow by 10 AM
Hard freeze tomorrow night 8 PM–11 AM (low 23°−5°)

TonightDown to 26°−3° by 5 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 33°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 40°4° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 24°−4° by 4 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 35°2° by 11 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 45°7° by 3 PM · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	61%	3%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	8%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	82%	66%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	87%	71%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	87%	78%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	87%	79%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 33°1°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	79%	0
Sun 12a	Fog	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 32°0°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	92%	37%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	95%	52%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	95%	41%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	94%	45%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	93%	32%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	22°−6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	95%	32%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	22°−6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	95%	65%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)	21°−6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	95%	77%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	20°−7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	94%	69%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	20°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	91%	64%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 31°−1°)	26°−3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	80%	67%	1
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	71%	74%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	31°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	65%	82%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	62%	83%	3
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	39°4° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	58%	84%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	56%	87%	3
Sun 4p	Partly sunny	40°4° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	56%	86%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	58%	87%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	66%	88%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	77%	88%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	82%	86%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	78%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	85%	80%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	89%	92%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	94%	94%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	99%	96%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	25°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	98%	96%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)	25°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	98%	97%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	98%	95%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	94%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 31°−1°)	23°−5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	93%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	95%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	83%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	69%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	90%	84%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	76%	74%	2
Mon 12p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	64%	73%	2
Mon 1p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	85%	3
Mon 2p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	53%	86%	3
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	45°7° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	53%	94%	3
Mon 4p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	55%	90%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 43°6°, low 24°−4°. Typical 54°12° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 26°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 43. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Low, likely
21°−6°–27°−3°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 28°−2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 40°4°, low 22°−6°. Typical 54°12° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 24°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 24°−4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 40. North northeast wind around 6 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. North northeast wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
33°1°–40°4°
Low, likely
22°−6°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 27°−3°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 28°−2°. Typical 53°12° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 24°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 35°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Southeast wind 0 to 6 mph.
Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Northeast wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Low, likely
26°−3°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 27°−3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 51°11°, low 29°−2°. Typical 53°12° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 38°3°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. West southwest wind 1 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. West southwest wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
29°−2°–34°1°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 27°−3°
Wind
23 mph36 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 48°9°, low 25°−4°. Typical 52°11° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 29°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 48.
Night: A slight chance of snow after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–50°10°
Low, likely
25°−4°–34°1°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 26°−3°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 39°4°, low 23°−5°. Typical 52°11° / 26°−3°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 30°−1°
  20% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  30% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 32°0°
  40% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 25°−4°
  40% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39.
Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
33°1°–42°6°
Low, likely
23°−5°–29°−2°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 26°−3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 41°5°, low 23°−5°. Typical 51°11° / 26°−3°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 26°−3°
  40% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Fog, 37°3°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 31°0°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 29°−2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
30°−1°–42°6°
Low, likely
20°−7°–29°−2°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 26°−3°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 29°−2°. Typical 51°11° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
36°2°–53°12°
Low, likely
16°−9°–38°3°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 26°−3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 44°7°, low 30°−1°. Typical 50°10° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 44°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–51°11°
Low, likely
29°−2°–34°1°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 25°−4°
Wind
20 mph31 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 46°8°, low 32°0°. Typical 50°10° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–54°12°
Low, likely
27°−3°–36°2°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 25°−4°
Wind
26 mph42 km/h, gusts 49 mph80 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 43°, low 24°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 40°, low 22°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 45°, low 28°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 39–51°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Muddy Creek near Fairfield

14 mi

Level: 2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun River near Augusta

20 mi

Level: 2.2 ft

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Teton River near Choteau below South Fork

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.3 ft

Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun River at Willow Creek Reservoir

22 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4130 ft

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 24°−4°

Overnight low near 24°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 63% less heating than a typical week.

This week 65Typical 177

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 16 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Choteau · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 11°6° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 7°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+4°+2°SunOct 18
+8°+4°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+10°+6°WedOct 21
+13°+7°ThuOct 22
+8°+4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Choteau weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 22 min; Losing 3 min 22 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 58 min less
Golden hour: 5:40–6:43 PM; Morning 7:41–8:45 AM
Blue hour: 6:43–6:55 PM; Morning 7:29–7:41 AM; first light 7:29 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 54% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:15 AM · rises 5:24 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Choteau. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,200 ft, 29 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.