Observed 6:20 PM MDT at KBZN

Churchill, MT weather

Sunny and 34°1°, 14°8° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 22°−6°.

Mostly agree

Now 34°1°

Sunny · Feels like 30°−1°

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the northwest. Light through 6 AM
Dew point: 28°−2°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–5 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.22 inHg1023 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Hard freeze tonight 9 PM–11 AM (low 22°−6°)
Low 22°−6° tomorrow at 8 AM
Above 30°−1° tomorrow by 10 AM
High 43°6° tomorrow at 4 PM
Hard freeze tomorrow night 8 PM–11 AM (low 22°−6°)

TonightDown to 24°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 33°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 22°−6° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 43°6° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 24°−4° by 3 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 36°2° by 11 AM · freezing, low 22°−6° · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 49°9° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 6p	Clear	39°4° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	71%	2%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	36°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	81%	4%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	88%	2%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	91%	1%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	91%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	91%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 31°−1°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	90%	7%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	26°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	91%	9%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	25°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	91%	7%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	25°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	91%	10%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	26°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 0 mph1 km/h	89%	15%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	89%	20%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	88%	20%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 32°0°)	23°−5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	91%	20%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 32°0°)	22°−6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	91%	20%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	25°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°)	25°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	91%	20%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	88%	20%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	85%	11%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	7%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	74%	6%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	71%	6%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	67%	7%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	67%	6%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	67%	25%	1
Sun 6p	Partly cloudy	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	73%	31%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	81%	35%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	40%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	91%	40%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	90%	41%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	91%	43%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	91%	44%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	25°−4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	43%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	25°−4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	41%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	41%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	44%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	51%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 31°−1°)	22°−6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	73%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	23°−5° (likely 22°−6° to 31°−1°)	23°−5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	74%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	24°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 30°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	94%	79%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	26°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	93%	57%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	89%	46%	1
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	36°2° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	82%	37%	2
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	76%	37%	3
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	70%	81%	4
Mon 2p	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	65%	60%	3
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	63%	48%	2
Mon 4p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	63%	55%	2
Mon 5p	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	66%	42%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 39°4°, low 21°−6°. Typical 53°12° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 24°−4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Patchy fog between 1am and 4am. Mostly clear. Low around 21, with temperatures rising to around 24 overnight. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–41°5°
Low, likely
21°−6°–28°−2°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 26°−3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 43°6°, low 20°−7°. Typical 52°11° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 22°−6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 24°−4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog between 7am and 10am. Sunny, with a high near 43. Northwest wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy. Low around 20, with temperatures rising to around 24 overnight. South southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Low, likely
20°−7°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 26°−3°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 49°9°, low 27°−3°. Typical 52°11° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 24°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 40°4°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 34°1°
  70% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. South southwest wind around 1 mph.
Night: A chance of rain before 9pm, then rain and snow likely between 9pm and 3am, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. South wind 0 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
21°−6°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 26°−3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 47°8°, low 23°−5°. Typical 51°11° / 25°−4°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 34°1°
  70% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  50% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 39°4°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 29°−2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain and snow likely before 9am, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 3 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 23. South southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
46°8°–49°9°
Low, likely
23°−5°–36°2°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 25°−4°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 48°9°, low 24°−4°. Typical 51°11° / 25°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 27°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 28°−2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. South southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
22°−6°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 25°−4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 48°9°, low 25°−4°. Typical 50°10° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 29°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 33°0°
  40% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 48.
Night: A chance of rain before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–51°11°
Low, likely
23°−5°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 24°−4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 46°8°, low 23°−5°. Typical 50°10° / 24°−4°. Snow 0.11 in2.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 31°0°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 46.
Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
39°4°–46°8°
Low, likely
23°−5°–33°1°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 24°−4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 44°7°, low 29°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 24°−4°. Snow 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 31°−1°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 35°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 26°−3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 44. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
36°2°–52°11°
Low, likely
15°−9°–38°3°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 24°−4°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Snow. High 45°7°, low 25°−4°. Typical 49°9° / 23°−5°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–51°11°
Low, likely
11°−12°–32°0°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 23°−5°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 29°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 23°−5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
35°2°–52°11°
Low, likely
26°−3°–32°0°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 23°−5°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 39°, low 21°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 43°, low 20°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 49°, low 27°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 44–48°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

East Gallatin River near Manhattan

9.9 mi

Level: 3.1 ft

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Gallatin River at Logan

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.2 ft
Flow: 839 cfs

Reading from Sat 5 PM · NWS gauge page

East Gallatin River near abv Water Recl Fac nr Bozeman

12 mi

Level: 4.0 ft

Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Jefferson River near Three Forks

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.7 ft
Flow: 1,560 cfs

Reading from Sat 5 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 22°−6°

Overnight low near 22°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 65Typical 188

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 45
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 16 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

BOZEMAN GALLATIN FIELD AP · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1941–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 14°8° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 8°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+8°+4°MonOct 19
+6°+3°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+14°+8°ThuOct 22
+2°+1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Churchill weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 29 min; Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 49 min less
Golden hour: 5:42–6:42 PM; Morning 7:35–8:36 AM
Blue hour: 6:42–6:54 PM; Morning 7:23–7:35 AM; first light 7:23 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:54 PM–7:25 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:09 AM · rises 5:24 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Churchill. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,000 ft, 34 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.