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Model estimate for 8:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Conrad, MT weather

Sunny and 22°−6°, 11°6° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Today: low 22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 30°−1°), high 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°).

Forecasts differ

Now 22°−6°

Sunny

Wind
Calm
Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point
22°−6°
Dry · up to 30°−1° by 1 PM
Humidity
97%
Air 22°−6°, dew point 22°−6° · frost likely
UV index
0Low
Moderate 1–2 PM · peak 3

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Hard freeze until 11 AM (low 22°−6°)
  • Above 30°−1° today by 10 AM
  • High 42°6° today at 2 PM
  • Hard freeze tonight 9 PM–noon (low 22°−6°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night from 8 PM (low 22°−6°)
  1. This morningUp to 34°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 22°−6° · Clear
  2. This afternoonUp to 42°6° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 24°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 32°0° by 11 AM · freezing, low 22°−6° · Partly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 39°4° by 5 PM · Cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 22°−6° by 5 AM · freezing, low 22°−6° · Cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 8aSunny22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 30°−1°)22°−6°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h97%19%0
Sat 9aMostly sunny25°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 31°−1°)19°−7°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h96%26%0
Sat 10aSunny30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)25°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h82%15%1
Sat 11aSunny34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h74%6%1
Sat 12pMostly sunny37°3° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)33°1°0%6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h69%25%2
Sat 1pSunny41°5° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)37°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h65%6%3
Sat 2pSunny42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)38°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h61%5%2
Sat 3pSunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)37°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h59%41%2
Sat 4pMostly sunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)37°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h59%22%1
Sat 5pMostly sunny42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)38°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h61%67%1
Sat 6pMostly cloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)34°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h70%74%1
Sat 7pCloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)32°0°0%3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h79%88%0
Sat 8pCloudy33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)33°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h82%86%0
Sat 9pCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)31°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h82%86%0
Sat 10pCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)30°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h83%82%0
Sat 11pCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h84%90%0
Sun 12aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h87%89%0
Sun 1aCloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°)23°−5°0%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h91%86%0
Sun 2aCloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)23°−5°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h90%78%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)22°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h92%59%0
Sun 4aPartly cloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)21°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h92%36%0
Sun 5aMostly cloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)20°−7°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h94%39%0
Sun 6aMostly clear24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)20°−7°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h96%40%0
Sun 7aCloudy22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 31°−1°)17°−8°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h97%67%0
Sun 8aMostly cloudy22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 30°−1°)17°−8°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h97%61%0
Sun 9aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°)18°−8°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h93%49%0
Sun 10aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 31°−1°)24°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h83%64%1
Sun 11aCloudy32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 32°0°)27°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h74%69%2
Sun 12pCloudy34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)28°−2°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h69%85%3
Sun 1pCloudy36°2° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h62%88%4
Sun 2pCloudy37°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)32°0°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h58%86%4
Sun 3pCloudy38°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)33°1°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h56%84%3
Sun 4pCloudy38°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)33°1°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h56%87%2
Sun 5pCloudy39°4° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)34°1°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h58%92%1
Sun 6pCloudy36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)33°1°0%3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h67%97%0
Sun 7pCloudy33°1° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h77%98%0
Sun 8pCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)26°−3°0%3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h82%98%0
Sun 9pCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)28°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h85%98%0
Sun 10pCloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)27°−3°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h88%95%0
Sun 11pCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)26°−3°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h90%92%0
Mon 12aCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)26°−3°0%1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h92%89%0
Mon 1aCloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)25°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h95%87%0
Mon 2aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)24°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h97%85%0
Mon 3aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)24°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h99%86%0
Mon 4aCloudy23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 31°−1°)23°−5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h100%73%0
Mon 5aMostly cloudy22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 31°−1°)22°−6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%66%0
Mon 6aMostly cloudy22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 30°−1°)22°−6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%60%0
Mon 7aMostly cloudy22°−6° (likely 20°−7° to 30°−1°)22°−6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h100%70%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 22°−6°. Typical 53°12° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 22°−6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 24°−4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Areas of fog before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. South southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    42°6°–47°8°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 39°4°, low 22°−6°. Typical 53°12° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 22°−6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 30°−1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 22°−6°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    34°1°–40°4°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 26°−3°. Typical 52°11° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 42. East wind 0 to 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. South southwest wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    39°4°–42°6°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 48°9°, low 27°−3°. Typical 52°11° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 42°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Fog, 33°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 48. West wind 1 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain before midnight, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. West northwest wind around 9 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    18 mph29 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 43°6°, low 22°−6°. Typical 51°11° / 26°−3°. Snow 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 32°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 30°−1°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 43.

    Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    39°4°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 39°4°, low 22°−6°. Typical 51°11° / 26°−3°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 28°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 30°−1°

      20% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39.

    Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    31°−1°–39°4°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–31°−1°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 42°6°, low 22°−6°. Typical 50°10° / 25°−4°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 30°−1°

      20% chance · 0.4 in1 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      20% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 30°−1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 26°−3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before 3pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Night: A slight chance of rain and snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    30°−1°–42°6°
    Low, likely
    21°−6°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 36°2°, low 24°−4°. Typical 50°10° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 24°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 35°2°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 30°−1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 24°−4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    32°0°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    17°−8°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    21 mph33 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Sunny. High 41°5°, low 24°−4°. Typical 49°9° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 40°4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 32°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    31°−1°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    16°−9°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    17 mph28 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Partly sunny. High 43°6°, low 29°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    31°−1°–52°11°
    Low, likely
    20°−7°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 42°, low 22°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 39°, low 22°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 42°, low 26°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 36–48°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Marias River near Shelby

18 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.9 ft
Flow
434 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Teton River near Dutton

25 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.1 ft
Flow
34 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 63% less heating than a typical week.

This week 68Typical 182

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 9 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 22°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Conrad · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1911–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 11°6° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
53°12° / 28°−2°
Forecast high / low
42°6° / 22°−6°
Record high
80°27° in 1929
Record low
7°−14° in 1975

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Conrad weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:01 AM, sunset 6:22 PM.

Daylight
10 h 21 min
Losing 3 min 17 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 0 min less
Golden hour
5:38–6:41 PM
Morning 7:41–8:45 AM
Blue hour
6:41–6:54 PM
Morning 7:29–7:41 AM; first light 7:29 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 71% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:14 AM · rises 5:23 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking southwest from Conrad. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,200 ft, 46 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.