Muddy Creek near Fairfield
7.5 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
Reading from Sat 8:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 9:00 AM MDT at KGTF
Sunny and 30°−1°, 12°7° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 27°−3°.
Today: low 24°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 28°−2°), high 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°).
Now 30°−1°
Sunny · Feels like 20°−7°
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9a | Mostly sunny | 27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 30°−1°) | 19°−7° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 93% | 40% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Mostly sunny | 30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°) | 23°−5° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph31 km/h | 86% | 22% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 84% | 10% | 1 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph35 km/h | 83% | 10% | 2 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°) | 33°1° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 79% | 16% | 2 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 34°1° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 78% | 7% | 2 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 34°1° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 76% | 6% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°) | 36°2° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 77% | 8% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°) | 34°1° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 79% | 40% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Mostly cloudy | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 33°1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 88% | 46% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Mostly cloudy | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 92% | 60% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 94% | 73% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 93% | 71% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Mostly cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°) | 24°−4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 94% | 61% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Mostly clear | 28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°) | 24°−4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 92% | 48% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Partly cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°) | 22°−6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 95% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Mostly cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°) | 20°−7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 97% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°) | 20°−7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 96% | 73% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°) | 20°−7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 95% | 69% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Mostly cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 31°−1°) | 20°−7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 91% | 44% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°) | 19°−7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 93% | 67% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°) | 19°−7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 90% | 63% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°) | 18°−8° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 92% | 61% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°) | 17°−8° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 93% | 60% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°) | 19°−7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 92% | 60% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 30°−1°) | 23°−5° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 87% | 63% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 31°−1°) | 24°−4° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 82% | 69% | 2 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 80% | 78% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 75% | 80% | 3 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 74% | 81% | 3 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 73% | 80% | 2 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 73% | 83% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 35°2° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 76% | 86% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°) | 33°1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 85% | 86% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 88% | 85% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 91% | 87% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 93% | 87% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 94% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 34°1°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph10 km/h | 95% | 97% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 96% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 97% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from WNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 98% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 98% | 95% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Mostly cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 97% | 83% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Mostly cloudy | 24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°) | 24°−4° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 96% | 77% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Mostly cloudy | 24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°) | 24°−4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 95% | 76% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Mostly cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 19°−7° to 30°−1°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 97% | 73% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Mostly cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 19°−7° to 29°−2°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 98% | 69% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 40. South southeast wind around 8 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. North wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. North northeast wind around 6 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. North wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 40. South southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. West wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. West southwest wind 3 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: A chance of rain before midnight, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. West wind around 9 mph. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 41.
Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37.
Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 41.
Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Dry, high 40°, low 24°.
Dry, high 35°, low 23°, cooling off.
Dry, high 40°, low 29°, warming up.
Mostly dry, highs 37–47°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 8:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 8:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 8:15 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Tonight’s low: 27°−3°
Overnight low near 27°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.
About 60% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 15 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 21°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 12°7° colder than typical.
Fairfield weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 8:00 AM, sunset 6:23 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 63% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing