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Observed 11:30 AM MDT at KMSO

Florence, MT weather

Partly cloudy and 43°6°, freeze watch tonight, low 24°−4°.

Today: low 21°−6° (likely 21°−6° to 37°3°), high 54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°).

Mostly agree

Now 43°6°

Partly sunny · Feels like 35°2°

Feels like
35°2°
Wind chill from 15 mph24 km/h wind · air 43°6°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h
From the east-southeast. Easing to 2 mph3 km/h by 12 PM
Dew point
30°−1°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV index
3Moderate
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality
15Good
Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure
30.27 inHg1025 hPa
Falling · −0.07 inHg−2.3 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

7°4° cooler than this time yesterday (50°10° then, 43°6° now)

Good hours for
  • Above 40°4° today by noon
  • Fog tonight 9–10 PM
  • Hard freeze tonight 10 PM–11 AM (low 22°−6°)
  • Drops 12°7° tomorrow 5–8 PM (53°12° → 41°5°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night from 10 PM (low 24°−4°)
  1. This afternoonUp to 53°12° by 5 PM · Partly cloudy
  2. TonightDown to 24°−4° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy · freezing, low 24°−4°
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 37°3° by 11 AM · freezing, low 22°−6° · Clear
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 53°12° by 5 PM · Mostly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 25°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Mostly cloudy
  6. Monday morningUp to 32°0° by 10 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 11aPartly sunny37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)37°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h100%52%2
Sat 12pSunny42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)42°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h85%28%3
Sat 1pSunny46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)46°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h73%21%3
Sat 2pSunny50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)50°10°0%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h63%19%4
Sat 3pSunny52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)52°11°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h58%23%3
Sat 4pSunny52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)52°11°0%1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h53%27%2
Sat 5pPartly sunny53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)53°12°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h52%60%2
Sat 6pCloudy49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)49°9°0%1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h63%77%1
Sat 7pPartly cloudy42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)42°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h85%75%0
Sat 8pPartly cloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)40°4°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h92%69%0
Sat 9pFog34°1° (likely 34°1° to 45°7°)34°1°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h97%58%0
Sat 10pPartly cloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 44°7°)32°0°0%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%54%0
Sat 11pClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 43°6°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%27%0
Sun 12aFog30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 42°6°)30°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%54%0
Sun 1aFog29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 41°5°)29°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%56%0
Sun 2aFog28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 40°4°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%46%0
Sun 3aFog27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 40°4°)27°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%48%0
Sun 4aFog26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 39°4°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%46%0
Sun 5aClear24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 39°4°)24°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h100%5%0
Sun 6aClear24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 39°4°)24°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%7%0
Sun 7aClear23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 38°3°)23°−5°0%1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%9%0
Sun 8aSunny22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 38°3°)22°−6°0%1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%6%0
Sun 9aSunny25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 38°3°)25°−4°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%7%0
Sun 10aFog31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 42°6°)31°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%39%1
Sun 11aPartly sunny37°3° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)37°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h96%50%2
Sun 12pMostly cloudy43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)43°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h77%63%3
Sun 1pMostly cloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)46°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h67%66%3
Sun 2pCloudy51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)51°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h59%69%3
Sun 3pCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)52°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h55%72%3
Sun 4pCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)52°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h53%75%2
Sun 5pCloudy53°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)53°12°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h55%77%1
Sun 6pCloudy49°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)49°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h66%78%1
Sun 7pCloudy41°5° (likely 41°5° to 51°11°)41°5°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h90%78%0
Sun 8pCloudy36°2° (likely 36°2° to 50°10°)36°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%77%0
Sun 9pCloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 48°9°)34°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%77%0
Sun 10pCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 47°8°)32°0°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%77%0
Sun 11pCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 45°7°)31°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%78%0
Mon 12aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 44°7°)30°−1°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h100%78%0
Mon 1aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 43°6°)29°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%77%0
Mon 2aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 43°6°)28°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%75%0
Mon 3aPartly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 42°6°)27°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%72%0
Mon 4aPartly cloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 42°6°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%79%0
Mon 5aCloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 42°6°)25°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%78%0
Mon 6aMostly cloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 42°6°)25°−4°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%74%0
Mon 7aMostly cloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 43°6°)24°−4°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%72%0
Mon 8aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 43°6°)24°−4°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%86%0
Mon 9aCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 44°7°)26°−3°5%1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%88%0
Mon 10aMostly cloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 46°8°)32°0°5%1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h94%80%1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 21°−6°. Typical 54°12° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 53°12°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Fog, 40°4°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Fog, 24°−4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. East wind around 2 mph.

    Tonight: Areas of fog after 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. North northeast wind around 1 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    51°11°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    21°−6°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 21°−6°. Typical 53°12° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 22°−6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 25°−4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Areas of fog before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 54. East northeast wind around 2 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. East wind around 2 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    52°11°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    21°−6°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 56°13°, low 25°−4°. Typical 52°11° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 24°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 45°7°

      80% chance · 0.12 in3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 42°5°

      70% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 56. East wind around 1 mph.

    Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    50°10°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 49°9°, low 22°−6°. Typical 52°11° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.2 in5.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 40°4°

      60% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      40% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 38°4°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely before 9am, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    44°7°–50°10°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 51°11°, low 19°−7°. Typical 51°11° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.11 in2.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 37°3°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 40°5°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 35°2°

      30% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before 9am, then a chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 51.

    Night: A chance of rain before midnight, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    45°7°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    19°−7°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 49°9°, low 19°−7°. Typical 51°11° / 28°−2°. Snow 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 35°2°

      20% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      50% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 49.

    Night: A chance of rain before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    44°7°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    19°−7°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 50°10°, low 20°−7°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 36°2°

      30% chance · 0.4 in0.9 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 41°5°

      30% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 37°3°

      30% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 32°0°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 50.

    Night: A chance of rain before midnight, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    39°4°–50°10°
    Low, likely
    20°−7°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 41°5°, low 27°−3°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 33°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 28°−2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    39°4°–42°6°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 33°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    39°4°–47°8°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–31°−1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    5 mph7 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 42°6°, low 29°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 37°3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    38°3°–45°7°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–31°−1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    4 mph7 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    2

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 54°, low 21°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 54°, low 21°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 56°, low 25°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 41–51°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MSO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Bitterroot River at Bell Crossing near Victor

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.8 ft
Flow
520 cfs

Forecast peak 5.1 ft Sun 12 AM

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Bitterroot River near Missoula

14 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.3 ft
Flow
882 cfs

Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sun 6 PM

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

Clark Fork River below Missoula

16 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.4 ft
Flow
2,500 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sun 6 PM

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

Clark Fork River above Missoula

18 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.9 ft
Flow
1,850 cfs

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sun 12 PM

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 24°−4°

Overnight low near 24°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 58Typical 172

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
37
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Stevensville · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1911–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
54°12° / 30°−1°
Forecast high / low
54°12° / 21°−6°
Record high
75°24° in 1944
Record low
11°−12° in 1919

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Florence weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:06 AM, sunset 6:33 PM.

Daylight
10 h 26 min
Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 53 min less
Golden hour
5:50–6:52 PM
Morning 7:47–8:49 AM
Blue hour
6:52–7:04 PM
Morning 7:35–7:47 AM; first light 7:35 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 5–7:37 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:21 AM · rises 5:34 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Florence. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,300 ft, 11 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.