Model estimate for 12:00 PM MDT (no recent station report)

Hardy, MT weather

Sunny and 41°5°, freeze watch tonight, low 24°−4°.

Forecasts differ

Now 41°5°

Sunny · Feels like 35°2°

Feels like: 35°2°; Wind chill from 10 mph16 km/h wind · air 41°5°
Wind: 10 mph16 km/hgusts 27 mph43 km/h; From the southwest. 35–10 mph16 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 36°2°; Comfortable · down to 28°−2° by 10 PM (dry)
UV index: 2Low; Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Gusts to 27 mph43 km/h until 2 PM
Hard freeze tonight 8 PM–11 AM (low 23°−5°)
Fog tonight 5–9 AM
Above 30°−1° tomorrow by 10 AM
Hard freeze tomorrow night 7 PM–11 AM (low 23°−5°)

This afternoonNear 41°5° · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h · Clear
TonightDown to 24°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 33°1° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy · freezing, low 23°−5°
Tomorrow afternoonNear 37°3° · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 24°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 36°2° by 11 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Sunny	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	84%	3%	2
Sat 1p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	82%	3%	3
Sat 2p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	81%	2%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	78%	1%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	79%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	80%	2%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	90%	6%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	96%	42%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	94%	46%	0
Sat 9p	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 39°4°)	30°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	96%	44%	0
Sat 10p	Partly cloudy	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 39°4°)	29°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	96%	40%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 40°4°)	29°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	96%	33%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 39°4°)	28°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	96%	19%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 39°4°)	27°−3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	16%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 38°3°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	95%	28%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	38%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	38%	0
Sun 5a	Fog	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	53%	0
Sun 6a	Fog	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	80%	0
Sun 7a	Fog	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°)	24°−4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	97%	80%	0
Sun 8a	Fog	23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 33°1°)	23°−5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	98%	80%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)	26°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	93%	81%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	81%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	84%	83%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	84%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	78%	86%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	80%	87%	2
Sun 3p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	81%	89%	2
Sun 4p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	77%	88%	1
Sun 5p	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	75%	85%	1
Sun 6p	Mostly cloudy	34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	82%	83%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	88%	87%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	91%	90%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	93%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	95%	94%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	94%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	95%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	95%	89%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	26°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	82%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	86%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 34°1°)	25°−4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	84%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°)	24°−4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	87%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 32°0°)	23°−5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	93%	81%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	24°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 28°−2°)	24°−4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	64%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly cloudy	25°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 28°−2°)	25°−4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	74%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	91%	78%	0
Mon 10a	Mostly cloudy	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	87%	77%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	83%	84%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 43°6°, low 22°−6°. Typical 50°10° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 24°−4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 43. Southwest wind 3 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. West northwest wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Low, likely
20°−7°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 29°−2°
Wind
20 mph33 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 38°3°, low 22°−6°. Typical 50°10° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 23°−5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 30°−1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 24°−4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Low, likely
22°−6°–32°0°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 29°−2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 25°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 43. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. South southwest wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Low, likely
23°−5°–28°−2°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 29°−2°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 47°8°, low 28°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 47°8°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Night: A chance of rain before 3am, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. West southwest wind 8 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Low, likely
28°−2°–35°2°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 28°−2°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 40 mph64 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 44°7°, low 24°−4°. Typical 48°9° / 28°−2°. Snow, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 44.
Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Low, likely
24°−4°–37°3°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 28°−2°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 41°5°, low 24°−4°. Typical 48°9° / 28°−2°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 35°1°
  30% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 30°−1°
  40% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41.
Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
36°2°–42°6°
Low, likely
24°−4°–32°0°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 28°−2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 45°7°, low 26°−3°. Typical 48°9° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 29°−2°
  30% chance · 0.4 in0.9 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 31°0°
  20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 28°−2°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 45.
Night: A slight chance of snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
32°0°–45°7°
Low, likely
25°−4°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 28°−2°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 37°3°, low 26°−3°. Typical 48°9° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 27°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 31°0°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 30°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
31°−1°–40°4°
Low, likely
20°−7°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 27°−3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 44°7°, low 29°−2°. Typical 47°8° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–50°10°
Low, likely
25°−4°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 27°−3°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 46°8°, low 33°1°. Typical 47°8° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–53°12°
Low, likely
27°−3°–38°3°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 27°−3°
Wind
24 mph39 km/h, gusts 62 mph99 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 43°, low 22°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 38°, low 22°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 43°, low 28°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 37–47°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Missouri River at Cascade

8.2 mi

Level: 6.9 ft
Flow: 3,600 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Dearborn River near Craig

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.7 ft
Flow: 130 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Missouri River below Holter Dam near Wolf Creek

16 mi

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 4,970 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Little Prickly Pear Creek at Wolf Creek

17 mi

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 99 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 24°−4°

Overnight low near 24°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 64% less heating than a typical week.

This week 67Typical 185

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Adel · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1898–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Hardy weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 25 min; Losing 3 min 8 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 55 min less
Golden hour: 5:40–6:42 PM; Morning 7:39–8:41 AM
Blue hour: 6:42–6:54 PM; Morning 7:27–7:39 AM; first light 7:27 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 12–2 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:12 AM · rises 5:24 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Hardy. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,100 ft, 9 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.