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Observed 4:50 PM MDT at KHLN

Helena Valley Southeast, MT weather

Sunny and 41°5°, 10°6° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 21°−6°.

Today: low 20°−7° (likely 18°−8° to 28°−2°), high 43°6° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°).

Forecasts agree

Now 41°5°

Sunny · Feels like 38°3°

Wind
5 mph7 km/h
From the west. Light through 5 AM
Dew point
30°−1°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 3
Air quality
57Moderate
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Hard freeze tonight 9 PM–noon (low 21°−6°)
  • Low 21°−6° tomorrow at 8 AM
  • Fog tomorrow 10 AM–noon
  • Above 30°−1° tomorrow by 11 AM
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night 8 PM–11 AM (low 20°−7°)
  1. TonightDown to 23°−5° by 5 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Clear
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 30°−1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 21°−6° · Partly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 39°4° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 22°−6° by 4 AM · freezing, low 22°−6° · Mostly cloudy
  5. Monday morningUp to 34°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 20°−7° · Cloudy
  6. Monday afternoonUp to 47°8° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 5pSunny43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)40°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h69%6%1
Sat 6pClear39°4° (likely 38°3° to 39°4°)37°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h73%9%1
Sat 7pMostly clear35°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)32°0°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h86%24%0
Sat 8pClear33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)33°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h90%10%0
Sat 9pClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)26°−3°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h88%7%0
Sat 10pClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)29°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h91%11%0
Sat 11pClear27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)27°−3°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%13%0
Sun 12aClear27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)27°−3°0%1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h94%15%0
Sun 1aClear25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°)25°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%19%0
Sun 2aClear25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°)25°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%19%0
Sun 3aClear24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)24°−4°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%10%0
Sun 4aClear24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°)20°−7°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%2%0
Sun 5aClear23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 33°1°)18°−8°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%17%0
Sun 6aClear23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 32°0°)17°−8°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h100%20%0
Sun 7aClear22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 33°1°)16°−9°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%20%0
Sun 8aSunny21°−6° (likely 21°−6° to 33°1°)15°−9°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h100%34%0
Sun 9aSunny24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°)18°−8°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h100%37%0
Sun 10aFog28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)24°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%41%1
Sun 11aFog30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)26°−3°0%3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h98%41%2
Sun 12pMostly sunny33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)30°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h87%45%3
Sun 1pMostly sunny35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)32°0°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h83%53%3
Sun 2pMostly sunny37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)34°1°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h76%67%3
Sun 3pMostly sunny39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)37°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h70%66%3
Sun 4pMostly sunny39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)37°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h70%64%2
Sun 5pMostly sunny39°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)37°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h70%53%1
Sun 6pMostly cloudy37°3° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)34°1°0%3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h73%54%0
Sun 7pMostly cloudy33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)30°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h86%55%0
Sun 8pMostly cloudy31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°)28°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h91%65%0
Sun 9pMostly cloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)28°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h91%68%0
Sun 10pMostly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)27°−3°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h93%69%0
Sun 11pCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)26°−3°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h97%89%0
Mon 12aCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)26°−3°0%1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h96%88%0
Mon 1aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)24°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%92%0
Mon 2aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)24°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%95%0
Mon 3aCloudy23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 32°0°)23°−5°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%95%0
Mon 4aCloudy22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 32°0°)22°−6°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%97%0
Mon 5aCloudy22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 32°0°)22°−6°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%97%0
Mon 6aCloudy20°−7° (likely 20°−7° to 32°0°)20°−7°0%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h100%97%0
Mon 7aCloudy22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 32°0°)22°−6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%97%0
Mon 8aCloudy23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 32°0°)23°−5°0%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%98%0
Mon 9aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)24°−4°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph2 km/h100%86%0
Mon 10aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)28°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h95%77%1
Mon 11aPartly sunny34°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)34°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h87%74%2
Mon 12pPartly sunny39°4° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h79%61%3
Mon 1pPartly sunny43°6° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°)43°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h72%88%3
Mon 2pPartly sunny46°8° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)46°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h67%64%4
Mon 3pPartly sunny47°8° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h64%64%3
Mon 4pPartly sunny47°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h64%54%2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 43°6°, low 20°−7°. Typical 53°12° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 33°1°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 23°−5°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 43. East southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Tonight: Areas of fog after midnight. Mostly clear. Low around 20, with temperatures rising to around 23 overnight. Southwest wind around 3 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    41°5°–43°6°
    Low, likely
    18°−8°–28°−2°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    14 mph22 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 39°4°, low 19°−7°. Typical 53°12° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 21°−6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly cloudy, 31°−1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 22°−6°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Patchy fog before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 39. West northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. West southwest wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    38°3°–41°5°
    Low, likely
    19°−7°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 47°8°, low 26°−3°. Typical 52°11° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 23°−5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 38°3°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 36°2°

      50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 47. Southeast wind around 3 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    47°8°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 48°9°, low 23°−5°. Typical 52°11° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 37°3°

      50% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 49°9°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 31°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. West southwest wind 3 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of rain before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    47°8°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    18 mph29 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 48°9°, low 22°−6°. Typical 51°11° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 38°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 30°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 48.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    47°8°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 45°7°, low 22°−6°. Typical 51°11° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 31°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      40% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 45.

    Night: A slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    44°7°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–31°−1°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 45°7°, low 22°−6°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Snow 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 35°2°

      20% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 28°−2°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before noon, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 45.

    Night: A slight chance of rain and snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    36°2°–45°7°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 41°5°, low 27°−3°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    38°3°–45°7°
    Low, likely
    14°−10°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Snow. High 45°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 49°9° / 27°−3°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 10% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 36°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    42°6°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 47°8°, low 31°−1°. Typical 49°9° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    42°6°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
    UV peak
    2

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 43°, low 20°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 39°, low 19°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 47°, low 26°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 41–48°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Missouri River at Helena Valley Reservoir

1.4 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3818 ft

Reading from Sat 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Prickly Pear Creek near Clancy

7.5 mi
Level
0.9 ft
Flow
39 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Missouri River at Canyon Ferry Reservoir

8.4 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3785 ft

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Tenmile Creek (MT) near Helena

9.0 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.7 ft
Flow
43 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 21°−6°

Overnight low near 21°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 60% less heating than a typical week.

This week 69Typical 172

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 13 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Helena Airport Asos · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1880–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 10°6° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
53°12° / 30°−1°
Forecast high / low
43°6° / 20°−7°
Record high
72°22° in 1959
Record low
−1°−18° in 1919

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +6°+3°SunOct 18
  2. +5°+3°MonOct 19
  3. +6°+3°TueOct 20
  4. +5°+3°WedOct 21
  5. +8°+4°ThuOct 22
  6. −1°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Helena Valley Southeast weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:58 AM, sunset 6:24 PM.

Daylight
10 h 26 min
Losing 3 min 8 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 53 min less
Golden hour
5:42–6:43 PM
Morning 7:39–8:40 AM
Blue hour
6:43–6:55 PM
Morning 7:27–7:39 AM; first light 7:27 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:55 PM–7:28 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:12 AM · rises 5:25 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking south from Helena Valley Southeast. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,400 ft, 22 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.