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Model estimate for 7:00 PM MDT (no recent station report)

Joplin, MT weather

Clear and 37°3°, 12°7° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 25°−4°.

Today: low 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 29°−2°), high 40°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°).

Forecasts differ

Now 37°3°

Clear · Feels like 32°0°

Feels like
32°0°
Wind chill from 7 mph11 km/h wind · air 37°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h
From the east. Gusts to 25 mph41 km/h around 6 AM
Dew point
27°−3°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Hard freeze tonight 10 PM–11 AM (low 25°−4°)
  • Gusts to 25 mph40 km/h tomorrow 6–7 AM
  • Above 30°−1° tomorrow by 10 AM
  • High 44°7° tomorrow at 4 PM
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night 9 PM–10 AM (low 26°−3°)
  1. TonightDown to 27°−3° by 4 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Partly cloudy
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 34°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · gusts to 25 mph40 km/h · Partly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 44°7° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 27°−3° by 3 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Mostly cloudy
  5. Monday morningUp to 38°3° by 11 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Mostly cloudy
  6. Monday afternoonUp to 47°8° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 7pClear37°3° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)32°0°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h67%20%0
Sat 8pMostly cloudy35°2° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)28°−2°0%8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h71%35%0
Sat 9pMostly cloudy33°1° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)25°−4°0%9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h72%69%0
Sat 10pCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 33°1°)24°−4°0%9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h72%79%0
Sat 11pMostly cloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 33°1°)22°−6°0%10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h74%64%0
Sun 12aClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 32°0°)20°−7°0%12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h75%22%0
Sun 1aClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 32°0°)20°−7°0%13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h75%20%0
Sun 2aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 31°−1°)19°−7°0%13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h74%21%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 31°−1°)17°−8°0%13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h75%38%0
Sun 4aPartly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 31°−1°)16°−9°0%14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h77%43%0
Sun 5aPartly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 30°−1°)16°−9°0%14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h78%33%0
Sun 6aPartly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 30°−1°)16°−9°0%14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h78%28%0
Sun 7aMostly clear26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°)15°−9°0%13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h80%26%0
Sun 8aMostly sunny25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 30°−1°)14°−10°0%13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h80%26%0
Sun 9aPartly sunny27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°)17°−8°0%12 mph19 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h79%46%0
Sun 10aMostly sunny32°0° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)23°−5°0%13 mph21 km/h from ENE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h73%48%1
Sun 11aMostly sunny34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)25°−4°0%13 mph21 km/h from ENE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h67%54%2
Sun 12pPartly sunny37°3° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)29°−2°0%13 mph21 km/h from ENE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h63%46%2
Sun 1pMostly sunny40°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)33°1°0%13 mph21 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph31 km/h58%51%3
Sun 2pMostly sunny42°6° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)35°2°0%13 mph21 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h53%68%3
Sun 3pCloudy43°6° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)37°3°0%12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h50%70%3
Sun 4pPartly sunny44°7° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)38°3°0%12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h50%75%2
Sun 5pCloudy43°6° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)37°3°0%12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h50%71%1
Sun 6pCloudy40°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)33°1°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph25 km/h59%67%0
Sun 7pCloudy37°3° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)30°−1°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h66%71%0
Sun 8pMostly cloudy33°1° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)25°−4°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph22 km/h70%77%0
Sun 9pMostly cloudy32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 33°1°)24°−4°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h73%73%0
Sun 10pPartly cloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 33°1°)22°−6°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h74%78%0
Sun 11pCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 32°0°)21°−6°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h77%75%0
Mon 12aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 31°−1°)20°−7°0%10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h78%81%0
Mon 1aCloudy29°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 31°−1°)20°−7°0%10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h77%81%0
Mon 2aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 30°−1°)19°−7°0%10 mph16 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h78%78%0
Mon 3aPartly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 30°−1°)19°−7°0%8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h79%74%0
Mon 4aPartly cloudy27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 29°−2°)19°−7°0%8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h83%79%0
Mon 5aCloudy27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 29°−2°)19°−7°0%8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h85%77%0
Mon 6aCloudy26°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 28°−2°)18°−8°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h86%81%0
Mon 7aCloudy27°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 28°−2°)20°−7°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h87%85%0
Mon 8aCloudy27°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 28°−2°)20°−7°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h87%85%0
Mon 9aCloudy29°−2° (likely 25°−4° to 30°−1°)22°−6°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h86%83%0
Mon 10aCloudy33°1° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)27°−3°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h82%85%1
Mon 11aCloudy38°3° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)33°1°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h77%81%2
Mon 12pCloudy42°6° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)36°2°0%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h71%79%2
Mon 1pCloudy45°7° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)40°4°0%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h66%78%3
Mon 2pMostly cloudy46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)41°5°0%10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h61%76%3
Mon 3pMostly cloudy47°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)42°6°0%12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h59%67%3
Mon 4pCloudy47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)42°6°0%12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h60%71%2
Mon 5pMostly cloudy46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)41°5°0%12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h63%66%1
Mon 6pMostly cloudy44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)40°4°0%7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h68%68%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 40°4°, low 25°−4°. Typical 52°11° / 23°−5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly cloudy, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 27°−3°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. East northeast wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    37°3°–43°6°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–29°−2°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    14 mph22 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 44°7°, low 25°−4°. Typical 52°11° / 23°−5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 25°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly cloudy, 33°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 27°−3°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 44. East northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. East northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    36°2°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 47°8°, low 28°−2°. Typical 51°11° / 22°−6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. East wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. East wind around 7 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    43°6°–47°8°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–28°−2°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    15 mph25 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 49°9°, low 29°−2°. Typical 50°10° / 22°−6°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      30% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 44°7°

      30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      20% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. South southwest wind 3 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Night: A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. West wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    43°6°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    19 mph30 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 47°8°, low 24°−4°. Typical 50°10° / 22°−6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 31°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 30°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. West northwest wind around 8 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    45°7°–48°9°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 40°4°, low 23°−5°. Typical 49°9° / 21°−6°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 31°0°

      30% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 28°−2°

      40% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 40.

    Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    33°1°–40°4°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    16 mph25 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 40°4°, low 23°−5°. Typical 49°9° / 21°−6°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 28°−2°

      40% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 34°1°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 30°−1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 28°−2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 40. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Night: A chance of snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    29°−2°–40°4°
    Low, likely
    20°−7°–31°−1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Mostly cloudy. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 20°−7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 31°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 43.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    30°−1°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    14°−10°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 20°−7°
    Wind
    24 mph38 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 29°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 20°−7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    39°4°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    19°−7°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 20°−7°
    Wind
    25 mph40 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 32°0°. Typical 47°8° / 20°−7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 38°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 38°3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    41°5°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 20°−7°
    Wind
    32 mph51 km/h, gusts 55 mph89 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 40°, low 25°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 44°, low 25°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 47°, low 28°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 40–49°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Marias River near Chester

22 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.4 ft
Flow
537 cfs

Reading from Sat 5:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Marias River at Tiber Reservoir / Lake Elwell

23 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2986 ft

Reading from Sat 6 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 25°−4°

Overnight low near 25°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 61Typical 202

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 2 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 27°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Chester · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1900–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 12°7° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
52°11° / 23°−5°
Forecast high / low
40°4° / 25°−4°
Record high
75°24° in 1944
Record low
6°−14° in 1951

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 11°6° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +6°+3°MonOct 19
  2. +9°+5°TueOct 20
  3. +12°+6°WedOct 21
  4. +12°+6°ThuOct 22
  5. +16°+9°FriOct 23
  6. —SatOct 24
  7. —SunOct 25

Joplin weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:57 AM, sunset 6:16 PM.

Daylight
10 h 20 min
Losing 3 min 22 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 2 min less
Golden hour
5:32–6:36 PM
Morning 7:37–8:41 AM
Blue hour
6:36–6:48 PM
Morning 7:24–7:37 AM; first light 7:24 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 12–3 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:10 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northwest from Joplin. The highest point on the skyline is about 6,900 ft, 27 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.