Model estimate for 10:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Melstone, MT weather

Sunny and 35°2°.

Forecasts agree

Now 35°2°

Sunny · Feels like 30°−1°

Feels like: 30°−1°; Wind chill from 6 mph10 km/h wind · air 35°2°
Wind: 6 mph10 km/hgusts 11 mph18 km/h; From the west-southwest. 58–8 mph13 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point: 28°−2°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 40°4° today by 11 AM
High 51°11° today at 4 PM
Below 40°4° tonight after 8 PM
Hard freeze tonight 11 PM–10 AM (low 23°−5°)
Below freezing Monday 4–9 AM (low 31°−1°)

This morningUp to 40°4° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 51°11° by 4 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 25°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 39°4° by 11 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 51°11° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 31°−1° by 5 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Partly cloudy
Monday morningNear 33°1° · freezing, low 31°−1° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	30°−1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	74%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	55%	0%	1
Sat 12p	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	44%	0%	2
Sat 1p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	39%	0%	2
Sat 2p	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	36%	0%	2
Sat 3p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	34%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	34%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	37%	0%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	46%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	56%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	27°−3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	26°−3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	26°−3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	25°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	75%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°)	21°−6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 33°1°)	21°−6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 32°0°)	20°−7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	23°−5° (likely 21°−6° to 32°0°)	18°−8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	26°−3° (likely 23°−5° to 34°1°)	19°−7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)	28°−2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	69%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	57%	0%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	49%	1%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	43%	2%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	41%	4%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	39%	3%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	39%	4%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	39%	3%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	47%	5%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	52%	12%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	57%	21%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	40°4° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	61%	22%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)	30°−1°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	69%	22%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)	29°−2°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	75%	28%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	28°−2°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	81%	29%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	35°2° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	28°−2°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	84%	32%	0
Mon 2a	Partly cloudy	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 40°4°)	26°−3°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	87%	50%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	25°−4°	10%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	90%	69%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	24°−4°	10%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	93%	79%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	23°−5°	10%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	97%	90%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	23°−5°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	99%	84%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	23°−5°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	100%	82%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	24°−4°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	100%	86%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	26°−3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	100%	80%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 51°11°, low 23°−5°. Typical 56°13° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 25°−4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 51, with temperatures falling to around 49 in the afternoon. South southwest wind around 8 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 23, with temperatures rising to around 25 overnight. East wind 2 to 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
49°9°–51°11°
Low, likely
23°−5°–32°0°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 32°0°
Wind
20 mph31 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 51°11°, low 31°−1°. Typical 55°13° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 23°−5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 31°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 51. East northeast wind 3 to 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. East wind 8 to 12 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
48°9°–52°11°
Low, likely
21°−6°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 31°−1°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 29°−2°. Typical 55°13° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 50, with temperatures falling to around 48 in the afternoon. East southeast wind 9 to 13 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. East southeast wind 6 to 14 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
29°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 31°−1°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Showers. High 51°11°, low 30°−1°. Typical 54°12° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  50% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  50% chance · 0.1 in0.4 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. High near 51, with temperatures falling to around 49 in the afternoon. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. West northwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–51°11°
Low, likely
30°−1°–35°2°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 30°−1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 50°10°, low 25°−4°. Typical 54°12° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 50, with temperatures falling to around 47 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy. Low around 25, with temperatures rising to around 27 overnight. North northeast wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Low, likely
25°−4°–39°4°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 30°−1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 38 mph62 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 46°8°, low 26°−3°. Typical 53°12° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 46, with temperatures falling to around 44 in the afternoon. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–52°11°
Low, likely
26°−3°–34°1°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 30°−1°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 48°9°, low 27°−3°. Typical 53°12° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 35°1°
  30% chance · 0.5 in1.3 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 48, with temperatures falling to around 45 in the afternoon. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy. Low around 27, with temperatures rising to around 29 overnight. North wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
36°2°–54°12°
Low, likely
27°−3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 29°−2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 32°0°. Typical 52°11° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 35°1°
  30% chance · 0.1 in0.4 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
32°0°–52°11°
Low, likely
19°−7°–41°5°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 29°−2°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 30°−1°. Typical 52°11° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
36°2°–48°9°
Low, likely
15°−9°–36°2°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 29°−2°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 36°2°. Typical 52°11° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–63°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 28°−2°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 51°, low 23°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 51°, low 31°.
Monday
Dry, high 50°, low 29°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 43–51°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BYZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Musselshell River at Musselshell

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Flatwillow Creek above Mosby

23 mi

Level: 3.8 ft

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 54Typical 159

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 39
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 10 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Melstone · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1909–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Melstone weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 27 min; Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 53 min less
Golden hour: 5:26–6:27 PM; Morning 7:22–8:24 AM
Blue hour: 6:27–6:39 PM; Morning 7:10–7:22 AM; first light 7:10 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:39 PM–7:12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:55 AM · rises 5:09 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Melstone. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,600 ft, 69 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.