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Model estimate for 9:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Miller Colony, MT weather

Foggy and 25°−4°, 12°7° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 26°−3°.

Today: low 23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 28°−2°), high 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°).

Mostly agree

Now 25°−4°

Fog · Feels like 21°−6°

Wind
3 mph5 km/h
From the south. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 9 PM
Dew point
23°−5°
Dry · up to 32°0° by 1 PM
Humidity
94%
Air 25°−4°, dew point 23°−5° · frost likely
UV index
0Low
Moderate 12–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality
16Good
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Hard freeze until 11 AM (low 25°−4°)
  • Fog until 10 AM
  • Above 30°−1° today by 10 AM
  • Hard freeze tonight 8–1 PM (low 24°−4°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night from 7 PM (low 23°−5°)
  1. This morningUp to 33°1° by 11 AM · Clear · freezing, low 25°−4°
  2. This afternoonUp to 42°6° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 25°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 31°−1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Mostly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 36°2° by 5 PM · freezing, low 32°0° · Cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 23°−5° by 5 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Cloudy
  7. Monday morningNear 24°−4° · freezing, low 23°−5° · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 9aFog25°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 29°−2°)21°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h94%42%0
Sat 10aSunny30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)26°−3°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h83%23%1
Sat 11aMostly sunny33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)30°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h77%9%2
Sat 12pMostly sunny38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)34°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h74%47%3
Sat 1pPartly sunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)38°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h71%38%4
Sat 2pMostly sunny42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)39°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h69%15%4
Sat 3pPartly sunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)38°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h69%30%3
Sat 4pPartly sunny42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)39°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h68%34%3
Sat 5pMostly cloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)37°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h72%49%1
Sat 6pMostly cloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)36°2°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h81%64%0
Sat 7pCloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)35°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h90%70%0
Sat 8pCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)31°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h92%81%0
Sat 9pCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h92%83%0
Sat 10pCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)29°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h91%86%0
Sat 11pCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)28°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h91%93%0
Sun 12aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)28°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h94%90%0
Sun 1aCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)22°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h99%88%0
Sun 2aCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)22°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h96%82%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)22°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h97%53%0
Sun 4aClear27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)23°−5°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h89%36%0
Sun 5aMostly clear25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)21°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h92%41%0
Sun 6aPartly cloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)21°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h90%56%0
Sun 7aCloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)21°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h92%72%0
Sun 8aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°)20°−7°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h91%73%0
Sun 9aCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°)22°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h87%69%0
Sun 10aCloudy30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 30°−1°)26°−3°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h81%67%1
Sun 11aCloudy31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 31°−1°)28°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h74%73%2
Sun 12pCloudy32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°)27°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h71%87%3
Sun 1pCloudy34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h69%88%3
Sun 2pCloudy34°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h67%88%3
Sun 3pCloudy35°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)31°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h67%87%2
Sun 4pCloudy35°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)31°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h65%88%2
Sun 5pCloudy36°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)32°0°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h69%90%1
Sun 6pCloudy34°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)34°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h75%91%0
Sun 7pCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)31°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h83%93%0
Sun 8pCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)29°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h86%94%0
Sun 9pCloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°)27°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h87%93%0
Sun 10pCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h89%94%0
Sun 11pCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h91%96%0
Mon 12aCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h93%97%0
Mon 1aCloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h96%97%0
Mon 2aCloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)25°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h98%97%0
Mon 3aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)24°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%95%0
Mon 4aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°)24°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h99%88%0
Mon 5aCloudy23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 30°−1°)23°−5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h98%80%0
Mon 6aCloudy23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 30°−1°)23°−5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h96%77%0
Mon 7aMostly cloudy24°−4° (likely 20°−7° to 30°−1°)24°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%81%0
Mon 8aCloudy25°−4° (likely 20°−7° to 30°−1°)25°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%88%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 23°−5°. Typical 54°12° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 33°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 31°−1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 25°−4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Patchy fog before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Northeast wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    42°6°–47°8°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–28°−2°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 36°2°, low 22°−6°. Typical 54°12° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 24°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 23°−5°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. North northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Northeast wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    33°1°–37°3°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–29°−2°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 42°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 53°12° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 25°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 33°0°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 42. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Southwest wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    39°4°–42°6°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Drizzle. High 47°8°, low 28°−2°. Typical 53°12° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 10% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 35°2°

      30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 33°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. West wind 1 to 8 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. West northwest wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    46°8°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 41°5°, low 22°−6°. Typical 52°11° / 26°−3°. Snow 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 32°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 41.

    Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    40°4°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 37°3°, low 23°−5°. Typical 52°11° / 26°−3°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 28°−2°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 31°0°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 29°−2°

      30% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37.

    Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    30°−1°–37°3°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–29°−2°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 42°6°, low 24°−4°. Typical 51°11° / 26°−3°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 28°−2°

      30% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 32°0°

      30% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 30°−1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 26°−3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Night: A slight chance of snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around 24.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    28°−2°–42°6°
    Low, likely
    19°−7°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 36°2°, low 23°−5°. Typical 51°11° / 26°−3°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 24°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 34°1°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 29°−2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 25°−4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    29°−2°–42°6°
    Low, likely
    17°−8°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    31 mph50 km/h, gusts 44 mph70 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Mostly sunny. High 41°5°, low 25°−4°. Typical 50°10° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 40°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 33°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    32°0°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    17°−8°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    30 mph48 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 50°10° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    35°2°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 42°, low 23°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 36°, low 22°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 42°, low 28°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 36–47°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Teton River near Choteau below South Fork

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.3 ft

Reading from Sat 8:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Muddy Creek near Fairfield

23 mi
Level
2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 8:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 26°−3°

Overnight low near 26°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 61% less heating than a typical week.

This week 68Typical 177

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 11 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 23°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Choteau · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 12°7° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
54°12° / 28°−2°
Forecast high / low
42°6° / 23°−5°
Record high
80°27° in 1929
Record low
−15°−26° in 1919

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 7°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +4°+2°SunOct 18
  2. +8°+4°MonOct 19
  3. +2°+1°TueOct 20
  4. +10°+6°WedOct 21
  5. +13°+7°ThuOct 22
  6. +8°+4°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Miller Colony weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:02 AM, sunset 6:23 PM.

Daylight
10 h 22 min
Losing 3 min 17 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 59 min less
Golden hour
5:40–6:43 PM
Morning 7:42–8:45 AM
Blue hour
6:43–6:55 PM
Morning 7:30–7:42 AM; first light 7:30 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 71% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:15 AM · rises 5:25 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Miller Colony. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,100 ft, 68 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.