Model estimate for 10:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Muddy, MT weather

Sunny and 38°3°.

Forecasts agree

Now 38°3°

Sunny · Feels like 33°1°

Feels like: 33°0°; Wind chill from 7 mph11 km/h wind · air 38°3°
Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the west. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point: 25°−4°; Dry · down to 17°−8° by 1 PM
UV index: 1Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 49°9° today at 4 PM
Below 40°4° tonight after 9 PM
Low 33°1° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 40°4° tomorrow by 10 AM

This morningNear 39°4° · Clear
This afternoonUp to 49°9° by 4 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 44°7° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 48°9° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 4 AM · rain chance 20% · Cloudy
Monday morningNear 38°3° · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	58%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	47%	0%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	38%	0%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	31%	0%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	28%	0%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	26%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	26%	2%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	26%	5%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	30%	7%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	32%	10%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	34%	13%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	35%	54%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	35%	14%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	37%	12%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	37°3° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	38%	10%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	38%	7%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	41%	3%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	43%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	35°2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	34°1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	48%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	33°1° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	50%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	34°1° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 26°−3° to 36°2°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	53%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 30°−1° to 39°4°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	50%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	46%	40%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	44%	40%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	40%	42%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	38%	45%	4
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	40%	49%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	47°8°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	41%	65%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	45°7°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	43%	68%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	44%	74%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	54%	80%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	38°3°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	59%	88%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	62%	98%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	35°2°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	67%	95%	0
Sun 10p	Drizzle	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	35°2°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	68%	87%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	33°1°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	72%	87%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	36°2°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	76%	91%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	36°2°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	76%	86%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	35°2°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	78%	84%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	34°1°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	81%	86%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	34°1°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	82%	84%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	34°1°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	78%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly cloudy	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	34°1°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	70%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly cloudy	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	34°1°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	84%	83%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	35°2°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	84%	94%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	35°2°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	83%	95%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 49°9°, low 33°1°. Typical 56°13° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 47 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 2 to 7 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 33. East southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
48°9°–50°10°
Low, likely
29°−2°–33°1°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 27°−3°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 37°3°. Typical 56°13° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 5% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 50, with temperatures falling to around 48 in the afternoon. East southeast wind 0 to 7 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Low, likely
26°−3°–37°3°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 27°−3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 34°1°. Typical 56°13° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 47 in the afternoon. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–50°10°
Low, likely
34°1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 26°−3°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Showers. High 49°9°, low 36°2°. Typical 55°13° / 26°−3°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 34°1°
  50% chance · 0.5 in1.2 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 48°9°
  50% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 47 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. West northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Low, likely
30°−1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 26°−3°
Wind
26 mph42 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 52°11°, low 33°1°. Typical 55°13° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before noon. Mostly sunny. High near 52, with temperatures falling to around 48 in the afternoon. West northwest wind 2 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. North northeast wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Low, likely
30°−1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 26°−3°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 33°1°. Typical 54°12° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 50, with temperatures falling to around 47 in the afternoon. East wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–59°15°
Low, likely
28°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 25°−4°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 35°2°. Typical 54°12° / 25°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 51, with temperatures falling to around 48 in the afternoon. North wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain and snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. North northeast wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–57°14°
Low, likely
30°−1°–43°6°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 25°−4°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 43°6°, low 33°1°. Typical 53°12° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 36°2°
  20% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 40°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 31°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–51°11°
Low, likely
21°−6°–41°5°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 24°−4°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 44°7°, low 30°−1°. Typical 53°12° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Low, likely
18°−8°–36°2°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 24°−4°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 34°1°. Typical 52°11° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–63°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–35°2°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 24°−4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 49°, low 33°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 50°, low 37°.
Monday
Dry, high 49°, low 34°.
Rest of week
Highs 43–52°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BYZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rosebud Creek near Lame Deer

7.6 mi

Level: 4.5 ft
Flow: 15 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Rosebud Creek at Reservation Boundary near Kirby

18 mi

Level: 3.3 ft
Flow: 16 cfs

Reading from Sat 8:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Tongue River at Birney Day School near Birney

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.0 ft
Flow: 86 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Tongue River at Ashland

24 mi

Level: 9.8 ft

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 72% less heating than a typical week.

This week 47Typical 171

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 40
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 7 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 25°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Busby · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1907–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Muddy weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 30 min; Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 48 min less
Golden hour: 5:24–6:24 PM; Morning 7:17–8:17 AM
Blue hour: 6:24–6:36 PM; Morning 7:05–7:17 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 10 PM–7:06 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:50 AM · rises 5:06 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Muddy. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,500 ft, 8 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.