Model estimate for 8:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Pablo, MT weather

Sunny and 29°−2°.

Mostly agree

Now 29°−2°

Sunny · Feels like 24°−4°

Feels like: 24°−5°; Wind chill from 5 mph8 km/h wind · air 29°−2°
Wind: 5 mph8 km/h; From the south. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point: 29°−2°; Dry · up to 37°3° by 10 AM (comfortable)
Humidity: 100%; Air 29°−2°, dew point 29°−2° · frost likely
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below freezing until 10 AM (low 29°−2°)
Above 40°4° today by 11 AM
Below 40°4° tonight after 8 PM
Hard freeze tonight 1–10 AM (low 26°−3°)
Hard freeze tomorrow night from 11 PM (low 27°−3°)

This morningUp to 41°5° by 11 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear
This afternoonUp to 51°11° by 4 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 28°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 41°5° by 11 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 51°11° by 5 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 28°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 39°4°)	24°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 39°4°)	26°−3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	99%	14%	0
Sat 11a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	13%	1
Sat 12p	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	18%	2
Sat 1p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	70%	14%	2
Sat 2p	Sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	62%	4%	2
Sat 3p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	56%	40%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	54%	42%	1
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	54%	47%	1
Sat 6p	Partly sunny	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	61%	65%	1
Sat 7p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	75%	73%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	87%	78%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	82%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 44°7°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	79%	0
Sat 11p	Partly cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 44°7°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	74%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 44°7°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	67%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 44°7°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	63%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 43°6°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	39%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 42°6°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	44%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 41°5°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	44%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 40°4°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	26%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 40°4°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	23%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 39°4°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 39°4°)	22°−6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	43%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly cloudy	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 39°4°)	25°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	52%	0
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	99%	60%	1
Sun 11a	Mostly cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	85%	58%	2
Sun 12p	Mostly cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	76%	56%	2
Sun 1p	Mostly cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	65%	63%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	59%	70%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	55%	72%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	54%	69%	2
Sun 5p	Mostly cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	55%	62%	1
Sun 6p	Mostly cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	62%	65%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	70%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	92%	72%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	74%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	30°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	75%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	67%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)	29°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	76%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	28°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	82%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	28°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	90%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	92%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	93%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 38°3°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	92%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 38°3°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	95%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 38°3°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	90%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 25°−4°. Typical 50°10° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 29°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 28°−2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. South wind 1 to 5 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. East northeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–53°12°
Low, likely
25°−4°–37°3°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 31°−1°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 52°11°, low 25°−4°. Typical 49°9° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 26°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 28°−2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. North wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–57°14°
Low, likely
25°−4°–38°3°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 31°−1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 52°11°, low 28°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 39°4°
  70% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 52. North northeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–53°12°
Low, likely
28°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 30°−1°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 48°9°, low 27°−3°. Typical 48°9° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  60% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  70% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  70% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 38°3°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48.
Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Low, likely
27°−3°–40°4°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 30°−1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 48°9°, low 23°−5°. Typical 48°9° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 37°3°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 47°8°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  40% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48.
Night: A chance of rain before 3am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–49°9°
Low, likely
23°−5°–38°3°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 30°−1°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 46°8°, low 22°−6°. Typical 47°8° / 30°−1°. Snow 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 34°1°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  30% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 46.
Night: A chance of snow before 9pm, then a chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–49°9°
Low, likely
22°−6°–35°2°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 30°−1°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 47°8°, low 22°−6°. Typical 47°8° / 29°−2°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 35°2°
  20% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 41°5°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Fog, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Low, likely
22°−6°–35°2°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 29°−2°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
1
Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 40°4°, low 28°−2°. Typical 46°8° / 29°−2°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  20% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 34°1°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 30°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Low, likely
22°−6°–33°1°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 29°−2°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 46°8° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 35°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
40°4°–46°8°
Low, likely
26°−3°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 29°−2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 44°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 45°7° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–52°11°
Low, likely
28°−2°–34°1°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 29°−2°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 52°, low 25°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 52°, low 25°.
Monday
Dry, high 52°, low 28°.
Rest of week
Highs 40–48°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MSO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Flathead River near Polson

8.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.5 ft
Flow: 7,280 cfs

Forecast peak 5.5 ft Sat 12 PM

Reading from Sat 6:50 AM · NWS gauge page

Flathead Lake at Polson

6.9 mi

Level: 2892 ft

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 54Typical 181

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 37
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 29 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 29°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Skq Dam · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1951–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+8°+4°SunOct 18
+2°+1°MonOct 19
+4°+2°TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
+6°+3°ThuOct 22
+10°+5°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Pablo weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 23 min; Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 58 min less
Golden hour: 5:48–6:51 PM; Morning 7:49–8:52 AM
Blue hour: 6:51–7:03 PM; Morning 7:37–7:49 AM; first light 7:37 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6–7:38 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:23 AM · rises 5:33 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Pablo. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,700 ft, 18 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.