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Model estimate for 8:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Polson, MT weather

Sunny and 29°−2°.

Today: low 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 38°3°), high 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°).

Mostly agree

Now 29°−2°

Sunny · Feels like 24°−4°

Feels like
24°−5°
Wind chill from 5 mph8 km/h wind · air 29°−2°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h
From the south. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point
29°−2°
Dry · up to 37°3° by 10 AM (comfortable)
Humidity
100%
Air 29°−2°, dew point 29°−2° · frost likely
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Below freezing until 10 AM (low 29°−2°)
  • Above 40°4° today by 10 AM
  • Fog tonight midnight–1 AM
  • Hard freeze tonight 1–10 AM (low 27°−3°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night from 10 PM (low 28°−2°)
  1. This morningUp to 43°6° by 11 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear
  2. This afternoonUp to 50°10° by 5 PM · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 29°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 43°6° by 11 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Partly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 50°10° by 5 PM · Mostly cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 29°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 8aSunny29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 39°4°)24°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h100%17%0
Sat 9aSunny31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)26°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%15%0
Sat 10aPartly sunny40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)38°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h88%21%0
Sat 11aPartly sunny43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)41°5°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h81%15%1
Sat 12pSunny45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h77%22%1
Sat 1pMostly sunny45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h72%18%2
Sat 2pSunny47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h65%5%2
Sat 3pSunny49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)48°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h58%40%2
Sat 4pSunny49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)49°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h56%43%1
Sat 5pPartly sunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h56%47%0
Sat 6pPartly sunny48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)48°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h61%66%0
Sat 7pCloudy43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h77%73%0
Sat 8pCloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)40°4°0%1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h90%81%0
Sat 9pCloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 45°7°)35°2°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%84%0
Sat 10pCloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 45°7°)34°1°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h99%78%0
Sat 11pPartly cloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 45°7°)34°1°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h98%75%0
Sun 12aFog33°1° (likely 33°1° to 45°7°)33°1°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%72%0
Sun 1aCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 44°7°)32°0°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h98%71%0
Sun 2aFog32°0° (likely 32°0° to 44°7°)32°0°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%62%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 44°7°)31°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%59%0
Sun 4aMostly clear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 43°6°)28°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h100%45%0
Sun 5aPartly cloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 43°6°)24°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph14 km/h100%44%0
Sun 6aMostly cloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 42°6°)24°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%42%0
Sun 7aMostly clear28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 41°5°)23°−5°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%25%0
Sun 8aMostly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 40°4°)22°−6°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%55%0
Sun 9aMostly cloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 40°4°)25°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%56%0
Sun 10aMostly cloudy39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)36°2°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h87%56%1
Sun 11aMostly cloudy43°6° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)40°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h77%56%2
Sun 12pMostly cloudy44°7° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)44°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h73%57%2
Sun 1pMostly cloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 55°13°)45°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h68%62%3
Sun 2pCloudy47°8° (likely 47°8° to 57°14°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h62%71%3
Sun 3pCloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h58%75%3
Sun 4pCloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h57%73%2
Sun 5pCloudy50°10° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)48°9°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h57%71%1
Sun 6pCloudy48°9° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)47°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h63%72%0
Sun 7pCloudy43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)41°5°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h81%74%0
Sun 8pCloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 49°9°)36°2°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph6 km/h93%76%0
Sun 9pCloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 45°7°)31°−1°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%78%0
Sun 10pCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 44°7°)29°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%80%0
Sun 11pCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 43°6°)29°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%77%0
Mon 12aCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 43°6°)29°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%79%0
Mon 1aCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 43°6°)28°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%79%0
Mon 2aCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 42°6°)28°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%88%0
Mon 3aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 41°5°)30°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%91%0
Mon 4aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 41°5°)30°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%91%0
Mon 5aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 41°5°)29°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h99%90%0
Mon 6aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 40°4°)29°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h99%94%0
Mon 7aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 40°4°)28°−2°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h99%87%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 26°−3°. Typical 51°11° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 29°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. South wind around 5 mph.

    Tonight: Patchy fog between midnight and 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    50°10°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 36°2°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 51°11°, low 26°−3°. Typical 50°10° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly cloudy, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. North wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northeast wind around 3 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    50°10°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 36°2°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 51°11°, low 28°−2°. Typical 50°10° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 40°5°

      60% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 51. North wind around 2 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 36°2°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 48°9°, low 28°−2°. Typical 49°9° / 35°2°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 40°5°

      60% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      60% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 42°6°

      60% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48.

    Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    43°6°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 35°2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 48°9°, low 24°−4°. Typical 49°9° / 35°2°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 41°5°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 37°3°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    44°7°–50°10°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 35°2°
    Wind
    10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 46°8°, low 23°−5°. Typical 48°9° / 35°2°. Snow 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 37°3°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 42°6°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 46.

    Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    42°6°–48°9°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 35°2°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 46°8°, low 23°−5°. Typical 48°9° / 35°2°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 36°2°

      20% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 41°5°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 46.

    Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    39°4°–46°8°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 35°2°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 40°4°, low 31°−1°. Typical 48°9° / 34°1°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 32°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 36°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 30°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    38°3°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 34°1°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Partly sunny. High 41°5°, low 30°−1°. Typical 47°8° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 42°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 38°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 33°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    38°3°–46°8°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 34°1°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 41°5°, low 32°0°. Typical 47°8° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 35°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    36°2°–46°8°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 34°1°
    Wind
    5 mph9 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 51°, low 26°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 51°, low 26°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 51°, low 28°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 40–48°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MSO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Flathead River near Polson

4.9 mi
Below flood stage
Level
5.5 ft
Flow
7,280 cfs

Forecast peak 5.5 ft Sat 12 PM

Reading from Sat 6:50 AM · NWS gauge page

Swan River near Bigfork

24 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.3 ft
Flow
450 cfs

Forecast peak 2.3 ft Wed 6 PM

Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page

Flathead Lake at Polson

1.1 mi
Level
2892 ft

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 54Typical 159

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
39
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 28 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 29°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Bigfork 13 S · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1938–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
51°11° / 36°2°
Forecast high / low
51°11° / 26°−3°
Record high
72°22° in 1944
Record low
21°−6° in 2020

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Polson weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:09 AM, sunset 6:31 PM.

Daylight
10 h 23 min
Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 58 min less
Golden hour
5:48–6:51 PM
Morning 7:49–8:52 AM
Blue hour
6:51–7:03 PM
Morning 7:37–7:49 AM; first light 7:37 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 62% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:23 AM · rises 5:33 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking east from Polson. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,700 ft, 18 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.