Model estimate for 10:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Pony, MT weather

Sunny and 27°−3°.

Mostly agree

Now 27°−3°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Light through 10 PM
Dew point: 25°−4°; Dry · up to 34°1° by 1 PM
Humidity: 93%; Air 27°−3°, dew point 25°−4° · frost likely
UV index: 1Low; Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Hard freeze until 1 PM (low 27°−3°)
High 38°3° today at 4 PM
Hard freeze tonight 7 PM–tomorrow 1 PM (low 26°−3°)
Low 26°−3° tomorrow at 8 AM
Hard freeze tomorrow night from 8 PM (low 27°−3°)

This morningNear 28°−2° · freezing, low 27°−3° · Clear
This afternoonUp to 38°3° by 4 PM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
TonightDown to 28°−2° by 3 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Clear
Tomorrow morningNear 29°−2° · freezing, low 26°−3° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 37°3° by 5 PM · freezing, low 32°0° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 27°−3° by 4 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningNear 28°−2° · freezing, low 27°−3° · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10a	Sunny	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	2%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	29°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	94%	11%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	5%	2
Sat 1p	Sunny	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	6%	3
Sat 2p	Sunny	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	4%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	2%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	99%	2%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	2%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	97%	8%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	98%	6%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	90%	5%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	2%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	1%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	75%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	82%	1%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	26°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	87%	1%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	95%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 37°3°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	15%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	17%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	20%	3
Sun 2p	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	24%	3
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	25%	3
Sun 4p	Partly sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	52%	2
Sun 5p	Partly sunny	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	99%	49%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	57%	1
Sun 7p	Mostly cloudy	33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	50%	0
Sun 8p	Mostly cloudy	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	98%	56%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	95%	60%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	91%	59%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	88%	64%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	86%	64%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	29°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	87%	65%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	88%	65%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	90%	68%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	90%	70%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	79%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	63%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 23°−5° to 39°4°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	54%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 23°−5° to 38°3°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	95%	59%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	28°−2° (likely 25°−4° to 40°4°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	98%	55%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 38°3°, low 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 29°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 28°−2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy fog before noon. Sunny, with a high near 38. Wind around 0 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 26. Wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–42°6°
Low, likely
18°−8°–26°−3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 37°3°, low 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 26°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 31°−1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 27°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Wind around 0 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–44°7°
Low, likely
26°−3°–34°1°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 45°7°, low 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 27°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 47°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  60% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 45. Wind around 0 mph.
Night: A chance of rain before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. South southwest wind 0 to 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Low, likely
25°−4°–34°1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 41°5°, low 27°−3°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 35°2°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain and snow likely before 9am, then rain and snow likely between 9am and noon, then rain and snow likely between noon and 3pm, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. South southwest wind 0 to 3 mph. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Night: A chance of rain before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Southwest wind 2 to 7 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–46°8°
Low, likely
27°−3°–37°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 39 mph62 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 41°5°, low 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 41.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Low, likely
27°−3°–34°1°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 41°5°, low 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 39°4°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 35°2°
  40% chance · 0.4 in1.1 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 41.
Night: A slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Low, likely
28°−2°–35°2°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 43°6°, low 30°−1°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 35°2°
  40% chance · 0.5 in1.2 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 42°5°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 35°2°
  40% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow showers, 31°−1°
  30% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before noon, then a chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 43.
Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
35°2°–46°8°
Low, likely
26°−3°–35°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Snow showers. High 35°2°, low 26°−3°. Snow 0–5 in0–13 cm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow showers, 32°0°
  30% chance · 0.5 in1.1 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 35°2°
  30% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 30°−1°
  20% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 26°−3°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
33°1°–39°4°
Low, likely
23°−5°–29°−2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 38°3°, low 25°−4°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 27°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
34°1°–47°8°
Low, likely
21°−6°–29°−2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 31°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
32°0°–54°12°
Low, likely
28°−2°–34°1°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 38°, low 26°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 37°, low 26°.
Monday
Dry, high 45°, low 32°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 35–43°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Willow Creek (Southwest MT) near Harrison

8.0 mi

Level: 1.8 ft

Reading from Sat 12:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Jefferson River near Silver Star at Parsons Bridge

16 mi

Level: 4.2 ft
Flow: 1,020 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Madison River below Ennis Lake near McAllister

17 mi

Level: 4.0 ft
Flow: 1,390 cfs

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

Madison River above Powerplant near McAllister

17 mi

Level: 3.1 ft
Flow: 2,980 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 30 min; Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 49 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:44 PM; Morning 7:37–8:38 AM
Blue hour: 6:44–6:56 PM; Morning 7:26–7:37 AM; first light 7:26 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:56 PM–7:27 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:11 AM · rises 5:26 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Pony. The highest point on the skyline is about 10,500 ft, 7 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.