Model estimate for 8:00 PM MDT (no recent station report)

Rader Creek, MT weather

Clear and 31°−1°, 11°6° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 26°−3°.

Mostly agree

Now 31°−1°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 8 AM
Dew point: 26°−3°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 3

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Hard freeze until 11 AM tomorrow (low 26°−3°)
Low 26°−3° tomorrow at 8 AM
High 40°4° tomorrow at 3 PM
Hard freeze tomorrow night 9 PM–11 AM (low 26°−3°)

TonightDown to 27°−3° by 5 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 33°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 40°4° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 27°−3° by 3 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 37°3° by 11 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 47°8° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8p	Clear	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 32°0°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	81%	4%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	31°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	76%	2%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	2%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 31°−1°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	7%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	79%	1%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	79%	4%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 31°−1°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	78%	1%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	77%	3%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	76%	4%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	26°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly sunny	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	82%	11%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	79%	2%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	9%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	73%	13%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	71%	12%	3
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	66%	39%	3
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	63%	64%	3
Sun 4p	Partly sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	63%	58%	2
Sun 5p	Partly sunny	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	63%	61%	1
Sun 6p	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	73%	62%	1
Sun 7p	Mostly cloudy	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	81%	65%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	81%	69%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	75%	63%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	81%	63%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly clear	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	62%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	29°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)	29°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	84%	73%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	84%	76%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	85%	79%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	84%	83%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	84%	80%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	87%	88%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	26°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	86%	79%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	84%	85%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	92%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	87%	94%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	83%	92%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	77%	90%	2
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	41°5° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	43%	2
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	66%	36%	3
Mon 2p	Partly sunny	46°8° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	61%	45%	3
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	60%	46%	3
Mon 4p	Partly sunny	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	63%	39%	3
Mon 5p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	69%	58%	1
Mon 6p	Clear	42°6° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	40°4°	40%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	75%	31%	1
Mon 7p	Rain	40°4° (likely 34°1° to 43°6°)	38°3°	40%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	79%	56%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 39°4°, low 25°−4°. Typical 50°10° / 24°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 27°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 25. North northwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
37°3°–40°4°
Low, likely
18°−8°–25°−4°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 24°−4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 40°4°, low 25°−4°. Typical 50°10° / 24°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 26°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 27°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 40. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. North northeast wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Low, likely
25°−4°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 24°−4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 47°8°, low 30°−1°. Typical 50°10° / 23°−5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 37°3°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 34°1°
  60% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. South wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain before 9pm, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. South southwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–51°11°
Low, likely
24°−4°–32°0°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 23°−5°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 42°6°, low 25°−4°. Typical 49°9° / 23°−5°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  60% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 44°7°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 29°−2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 42. West southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. West southwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
42°6°–45°7°
Low, likely
25°−4°–32°0°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 23°−5°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 43°6°, low 27°−3°. Typical 49°9° / 22°−6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 30°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 43. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
42°6°–45°7°
Low, likely
24°−4°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 22°−6°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 22°−6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 29°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 29°−2°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 43.
Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Low, likely
26°−3°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 22°−6°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 43°6°, low 26°−3°. Typical 48°9° / 22°−6°. Snow 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 27°−3°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 35°2°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 29°−1°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before noon, then a chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 43.
Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–44°7°
Low, likely
22°−6°–32°0°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 22°−6°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 42°6°, low 26°−3°. Typical 47°8° / 21°−6°. Snow 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 30°−1°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 38°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 27°−3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 42.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
34°1°–47°8°
Low, likely
13°−11°–34°1°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 21°−6°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Partly sunny. High 42°6°, low 26°−3°. Typical 47°8° / 21°−6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 29°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 28°−2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–46°8°
Low, likely
19°−7°–29°−2°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 21°−6°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 41°5°, low 28°−2°. Typical 46°8° / 21°−6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 31°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
33°1°–47°8°
Low, likely
24°−4°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 21°−6°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 45 mph72 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 39°, low 25°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 40°, low 25°.
Monday
Dry, high 47°, low 30°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 41–43°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Jefferson River near Silver Star at Parsons Bridge

9.3 mi

Level: 4.3 ft
Flow: 1,030 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Ruby River near Harrington

11 mi

Level: 2.6 ft

Reading from Sat 7 PM · NWS gauge page

Blacktail Creek above Grove Gulch at Butte

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.8 ft
Flow: 7 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Jefferson River near Twin Bridges

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.1 ft
Flow: 1,400 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 26°−3°

Overnight low near 26°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 63Typical 203

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 12 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 26°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

BUTTE BERT MOONEY AP · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1894–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 11°6° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 8°5° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+8°+4°MonOct 19
+9°+5°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+12°+7°ThuOct 22
+5°+3°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Rader Creek weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 29 min; Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 50 min less
Golden hour: 5:45–6:46 PM; Morning 7:39–8:40 AM
Blue hour: 6:46–6:58 PM; Morning 7:27–7:39 AM; first light 7:27 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 8:44 PM–7:29 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:13 AM · rises 5:28 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Rader Creek. The highest point on the skyline is about 10,400 ft, 19 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.