Model estimate for 11:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Roscoe, MT weather

Sunny and 38°3°.

Mostly agree

Now 38°3°

Sunny · Feels like 32°0°

Feels like: 32°0°; Wind chill from 8 mph13 km/h wind · air 38°3°
Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the east-southeast. 35–8 mph13 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point: 20°−7°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4

Light snow now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 47°8° today at 4 PM
Below 40°4° tonight after 7 PM
Below freezing tonight midnight–9 AM (low 30°−1°)
Low 30°−1° tonight at 5 AM
Below freezing tomorrow night 10 PM–10 AM (low 29°−2°)

This afternoonUp to 47°8° by 4 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 30°−1° by 5 AM · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 39°4° by 11 AM · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 45°7° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 29°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 35°2° by 10 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	48%	3%	1
Sat 12p	Sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	47%	16%	2
Sat 1p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	46%	22%	2
Sat 2p	Sunny	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	44%	15%	2
Sat 3p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	41%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	41%	1%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	41%	1%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	47%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	53%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	29°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	34°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	53%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	49%	0%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	47%	0%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	46%	1%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	42%	9%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	42%	20%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	42%	18%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	42%	22%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	49%	21%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	34°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	21%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	56%	22%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	56%	24%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	32°0° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	56%	20%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	32°0° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	58%	19%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	63%	16%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	32°0° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	64%	21%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	32°0° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	66%	27%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	67%	36%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	69%	51%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	29°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	71%	53%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	29°−2° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	72%	45%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 21°−6° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	72%	21%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 21°−6° to 39°4°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	70%	14%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	32°0° (likely 24°−4° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	67%	16%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	35°2° (likely 29°−2° to 45°7°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	62%	22%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Snow. High 47°8°, low 30°−1°. Typical 48°9° / 30°−1°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 0% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 30°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 47, with temperatures falling to around 45 in the afternoon. East southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 30. West southwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
46°8°–49°9°
Low, likely
24°−4°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 30°−1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 45°7°, low 29°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 29°−2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 45, with temperatures falling to around 43 in the afternoon. North northeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 29. West southwest wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Low, likely
28°−2°–33°1°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 30°−1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 34°1°. Typical 48°9° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 45 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain and snow showers after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–54°12°
Low, likely
24°−4°–34°1°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 30°−1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 49°9°, low 33°1°. Typical 47°8° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.03 in0.8 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 45 in the afternoon. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of rain showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Low, likely
31°−1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 29°−2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 51°11°, low 31°−1°. Typical 47°8° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 51, with temperatures falling to around 48 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. South southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
50°10°–52°11°
Low, likely
31°−1°–35°2°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 29°−2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 48°9°, low 32°0°. Typical 47°8° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 33°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 48, with temperatures falling to around 45 in the afternoon. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: A slight chance of snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. South southwest wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–56°13°
Low, likely
29°−2°–35°2°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 29°−2°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 50°10°, low 34°1°. Typical 46°8° / 28°−2°. Snow 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 41°5°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 36°2°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 31°−1°
  20% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow showers before 3pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny. High near 50, with temperatures falling to around 46 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
33°1°–50°10°
Low, likely
26°−3°–35°2°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 28°−2°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 40°4°, low 31°−1°. Typical 46°8° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 31°−1°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 34°1°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°−1°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–44°7°
Low, likely
27°−3°–36°2°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 28°−2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 29°−2°. Typical 46°8° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Low, likely
25°−4°–37°3°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 28°−2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 44°7°, low 32°0°. Typical 45°7° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–50°10°
Low, likely
31°−1°–33°1°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 28°−2°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 47°, low 30°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 45°, low 29°.
Monday
Dry, high 49°, low 34°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 40–51°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BYZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

East Rosebud Creek near Roscoe

3.4 mi

Level: 3.9 ft

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

West Rosebud Creek near Emerald Lake Campground

12 mi

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: 95 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:05 AM · NWS gauge page

Red Lodge Creek above Cooney Reservoir near Boyd

13 mi

Level: 2.0 ft
Flow: 53 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Stillwater River (South Central MT) near Absarokee

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.6 ft
Flow: 434 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 57Typical 187

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 20°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Mystic Lake · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1924–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 13°7° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+11°+6°SunOct 18
+13°+7°MonOct 19
+14°+8°TueOct 20
+14°+8°WedOct 21
+16°+9°ThuOct 22
+10°+6°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Roscoe weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 31 min; Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 48 min less
Golden hour: 5:35–6:35 PM; Morning 7:27–8:27 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:47 PM; Morning 7:16–7:27 AM; first light 7:16 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:47 PM–7:17 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:01 AM · rises 5:17 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Roscoe. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,400 ft, 16 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.