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Observed 5:45 AM MDT at KCTB

Shelby, MT weather

Overcast and 28°−2°, 10°6° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Today: low 23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 30°−1°), high 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°).

Mostly agree

Now 28°−2°

Cloudy · Feels like 23°−5°

Feels like
23°−5°
Wind chill from 5 mph7 km/h wind · air 28°−2°
Wind
5 mph7 km/h
From the southeast. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 6 PM
Dew point
25°−4°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 3
Air quality
5Good
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure
30.29 inHg1026 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Hard freeze until 11 AM (low 24°−4°)
  • Fog until 7 AM
  • Above 30°−1° today by 10 AM
  • Hard freeze tonight 9 PM–noon (low 23°−5°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night from 8 PM (low 24°−4°)
  1. This morningUp to 34°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Partly cloudy
  2. This afternoonUp to 42°6° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 25°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 32°0° by 11 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Partly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 40°4° by 5 PM · Mostly cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 24°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 6aFog25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)25°−4°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%66%0
Sat 7aCloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)24°−4°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph2 km/h99%79%0
Sat 8aPartly sunny25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)25°−4°0%2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h99%60%0
Sat 9aSunny27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)27°−3°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h98%34%0
Sat 10aPartly sunny31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)28°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h83%26%1
Sat 11aMostly sunny34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h77%15%1
Sat 12pMostly sunny38°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)34°1°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h71%26%2
Sat 1pMostly sunny40°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)35°2°0%7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h64%33%2
Sat 2pSunny42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)37°3°0%7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h60%10%2
Sat 3pSunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)36°2°0%8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h56%15%2
Sat 4pMostly sunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)36°2°0%7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h55%62%1
Sat 5pPartly sunny42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)38°3°0%7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h58%37%0
Sat 6pCloudy39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)35°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h67%84%0
Sat 7pCloudy37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)32°0°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h74%93%0
Sat 8pCloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)30°−1°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h78%96%0
Sat 9pCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)27°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h80%94%0
Sat 10pCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)27°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h80%95%0
Sat 11pCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)27°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h80%89%0
Sun 12aCloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)26°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h81%77%0
Sun 1aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)25°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h81%71%0
Sun 2aPartly cloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)24°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h82%65%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)23°−5°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h85%38%0
Sun 4aPartly cloudy27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 31°−1°)22°−6°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h87%63%0
Sun 5aPartly cloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)21°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h89%75%0
Sun 6aMostly cloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)21°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h90%50%0
Sun 7aClear24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)20°−7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h91%34%0
Sun 8aCloudy23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 31°−1°)18°−8°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h92%64%0
Sun 9aMostly cloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)18°−8°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h91%45%0
Sun 10aMostly cloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 31°−1°)23°−5°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h85%46%1
Sun 11aMostly cloudy32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 33°1°)26°−3°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h79%64%2
Sun 12pCloudy34°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)27°−3°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h73%85%3
Sun 1pCloudy36°2° (likely 35°2° to 37°3°)29°−2°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h65%90%3
Sun 2pCloudy38°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)32°0°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h60%79%3
Sun 3pCloudy39°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)33°1°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h55%80%3
Sun 4pCloudy39°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)33°1°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h54%79%2
Sun 5pCloudy40°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)34°1°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h56%79%1
Sun 6pCloudy38°3° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)34°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h65%88%0
Sun 7pCloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h73%89%0
Sun 8pCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)27°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h80%87%0
Sun 9pCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)25°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h84%88%0
Sun 10pCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 32°0°)24°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h86%87%0
Sun 11pCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)23°−5°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h86%82%0
Mon 12aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 31°−1°)23°−5°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h86%84%0
Mon 1aMostly cloudy27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)22°−6°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h87%73%0
Mon 2aMostly cloudy27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)22°−6°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h88%63%0
Mon 3aMostly cloudy26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)20°−7°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h89%75%0
Mon 4aMostly cloudy25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)19°−7°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h91%59%0
Mon 5aMostly cloudy24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°)18°−8°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h94%55%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 23°−5°. Typical 52°11° / 25°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 25°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 25°−4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Areas of fog before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. South wind 1 to 8 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Northeast wind around 6 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    42°6°–46°8°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 40°4°, low 23°−5°. Typical 51°11° / 25°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly cloudy, 23°−5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly cloudy, 24°−4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. East northeast wind 3 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. East wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    37°3°–40°4°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–31°−1°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 27°−3°. Typical 51°11° / 24°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 42°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 33°0°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 42. East southeast wind 3 to 9 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    41°5°–43°6°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–29°−2°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Drizzle. High 47°8°, low 27°−3°. Typical 50°10° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 5% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 33°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 42°6°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 2 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of rain before 9pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. West northwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    44°7°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    20 mph32 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 41°5°, low 22°−6°. Typical 50°10° / 24°−4°. Snow 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 31°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 29°−1°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 41.

    Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    37°3°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 38°3°, low 21°−6°. Typical 49°9° / 23°−5°. Snow 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 28°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 31°−1°

      20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 29°−2°

      30% chance · 0.3 in0.9 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38.

    Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    31°−1°–39°4°
    Low, likely
    21°−6°–29°−2°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 41°5°, low 22°−6°. Typical 49°9° / 23°−5°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 29°−2°

      20% chance · 0.5 in1.3 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 30°−1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 25°−4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    28°−2°–43°6°
    Low, likely
    19°−7°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 36°2°, low 24°−4°. Typical 48°9° / 22°−6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 24°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 35°2°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 29°−2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 25°−4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    31°−1°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    14°−10°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    20 mph32 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 41°5°, low 24°−4°. Typical 48°9° / 22°−6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 30°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    32°0°–50°10°
    Low, likely
    13°−11°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    20 mph32 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Partly sunny. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 22°−6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 35°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    31°−1°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    18°−8°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 42°, low 23°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 40°, low 23°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 42°, low 27°.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 36–47°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Marias River near Shelby

5.3 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.9 ft
Flow
431 cfs

Reading from Sat 4:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Cut Bank Creek at Cut Bank

24 mi
Level
1.9 ft
Flow
117 cfs

Reading from Sat 4:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 67% less heating than a typical week.

This week 65Typical 195

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 14 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 25°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Shelby · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1950–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 10°6° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
52°11° / 25°−4°
Forecast high / low
42°6° / 23°−5°
Record high
75°24° in 2005
Record low
7°−14° in 2012

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 11°6° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +13°+7°SunOct 18
  2. +4°+2°MonOct 19
  3. +8°+4°TueOct 20
  4. +14°+8°WedOct 21
  5. +17°+9°ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Shelby weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:01 AM, sunset 6:21 PM.

Daylight
10 h 20 min
Losing 3 min 17 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 2 min less
Golden hour
5:36–6:40 PM
Morning 7:41–8:45 AM
Blue hour
6:40–6:53 PM
Morning 7:29–7:41 AM; first light 7:29 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 72% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:14 AM · rises 5:22 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking southwest from Shelby. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,800 ft, 79 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.