Model estimate for 1:00 PM MDT (no recent station report)

Surprise Creek Colony, MT weather

Sunny and 40°4°, 12°7° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts differ

Now 40°4°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the east. Light through 1 AM
Dew point: 26°−3°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 42°6° today at 2 PM
Hard freeze tonight 8 PM–11 AM (low 24°−4°)
Below 30°−1° tonight after 9 PM
Above 30°−1° tomorrow by 10 AM
Hard freeze tomorrow night 7 PM–10 AM (low 24°−4°)

This afternoonNear 41°5° · Clear
TonightDown to 27°−3° by 5 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 34°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 40°4° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 27°−3° by 4 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 38°3° by 11 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1p	Sunny	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	58%	1%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	52%	2%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	49%	2%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	50%	1%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	49%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	67%	11%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	67%	17%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	67%	24%	0
Sat 11p	Partly cloudy	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	29°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	67%	26%	0
Sun 12a	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	65%	44%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	62%	47%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	63%	31%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	16%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	16%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	62%	14%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	26°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	67%	14%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from WNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	67%	16%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	67%	18%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	67%	26%	0
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	32°0° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	60%	42%	1
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	59%	61%	2
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	36°2° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	30°−1°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	61%	45%	3
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	33°1°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	64%	34%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	60%	17%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	55%	7%	3
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	57%	16%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	32°0°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	55%	2%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	29°−2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	66%	4%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	24°−4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	70%	18%	0
Sun 8p	Mostly clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	22°−6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	72%	19%	0
Sun 9p	Mostly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	20°−7°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	72%	37%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	20°−7°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	72%	47%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	20°−7°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	72%	52%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)	22°−6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	71%	50%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)	24°−4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	69%	48%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)	23°−5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	70%	43%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	71%	41%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 22°−6° to 32°0°)	23°−5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	71%	39%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 22°−6° to 32°0°)	23°−5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	68%	38%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 32°0°)	20°−7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	72%	29%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 21°−6° to 33°1°)	23°−5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	71%	12%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	29°−2° (likely 20°−7° to 33°1°)	25°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	72%	22%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	29°−2° (likely 22°−6° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	72%	11%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	33°1° (likely 27°−3° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	70%	18%	1
Mon 11a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	67%	12%	2
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	63%	7%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 23°−5°. Typical 54°12° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 30°−1°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 27°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 42. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 23, with temperatures rising to around 27 overnight. West wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Low, likely
22°−6°–25°−4°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 30°−1°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 40°4°, low 22°−6°. Typical 53°12° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 24°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly cloudy, 29°−2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 27°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 40. North wind 0 to 9 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–42°6°
Low, likely
22°−6°–30°−1°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 29°−2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 48°9°, low 29°−2°. Typical 53°12° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 29°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. South southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain and snow after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. South wind 3 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
47°8°–50°10°
Low, likely
21°−6°–32°0°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 29°−2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 46°8°, low 28°−2°. Typical 52°11° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 36°2°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 46°8°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. West wind 5 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. West wind 15 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
45°7°–49°9°
Low, likely
28°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 29°−2°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 43 mph68 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 47°8°, low 25°−4°. Typical 52°11° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
25°−4°–37°3°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 28°−2°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 43°6°, low 25°−4°. Typical 52°11° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 34°1°
  30% chance · 0.4 in1 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 29°−2°
  30% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 43.
Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–49°9°
Low, likely
25°−4°–34°1°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 28°−2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 44°7°, low 25°−4°. Typical 51°11° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 29°−2°
  30% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 31°0°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 28°−2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 44.
Night: A slight chance of snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
33°1°–44°7°
Low, likely
24°−4°–29°−2°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 28°−2°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 37°3°, low 27°−3°. Typical 51°11° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 29°−2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
36°2°–39°4°
Low, likely
22°−6°–29°−2°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 27°−3°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 50°10° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–47°8°
Low, likely
26°−3°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 27°−3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 48°9°, low 34°1°. Typical 50°10° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
34°1°–56°13°
Low, likely
28°−2°–37°3°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 27°−3°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 62 mph99 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 42°, low 23°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 40°, low 22°.
Monday
Dry, high 48°, low 29°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 37–48°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Judith River near abv Carr Ck nr Utica

19 mi

Level: 2.5 ft

Reading from Sat 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 62% less heating than a typical week.

This week 65Typical 171

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 26°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Stanford · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1965–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 12°7° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 8°5° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+4°+2°SunOct 18
+10°+5°MonOct 19
+5°+3°TueOct 20
+10°+5°WedOct 21
+18°+10°ThuOct 22
+3°+2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Surprise Creek Colony weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 25 min; Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 55 min less
Golden hour: 5:34–6:36 PM; Morning 7:33–8:35 AM
Blue hour: 6:36–6:48 PM; Morning 7:21–7:33 AM; first light 7:21 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:48–11 PM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:06 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Surprise Creek Colony. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,100 ft, 18 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.