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Model estimate for 6:00 AM MDT (no recent station report)

Townsend, MT weather

Clear and 25°−4°, 9°5° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Today: low 27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°), high 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°).

Forecasts agree

Now 25°−4°

Clear · Feels like 21°−6°

Wind
3 mph5 km/hgusts 9 mph15 km/h
From the south-southeast. 35–12 mph19 km/h through 6 PM
Dew point
24°−4°
Dry · up to 32°0° by 12 PM
Humidity
96%
Air 25°−4°, dew point 24°−4° · frost likely
UV index
0Low
Moderate 12–5 PM · peak 4

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Hard freeze until 11 AM (low 25°−4°)
  • Above 30°−1° today by 10 AM
  • Below 40°4° tonight after 7 PM
  • Hard freeze tonight 9 PM–10 AM (low 27°−3°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night from 9 PM (low 28°−2°)
  1. This morningUp to 35°2° by 11 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Partly cloudy
  2. This afternoonUp to 44°7° by 5 PM · Clear
  3. TonightDown to 29°−2° by 2 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 37°3° by 11 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Partly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 45°7° by 4 PM · Clear
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 28°−2° by 4 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Partly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 6aClear25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)21°−6°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h96%28%0
Sat 7aClear25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)18°−8°0%6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h97%30%0
Sat 8aSunny25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)18°−8°0%6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h100%28%0
Sat 9aMostly sunny27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)19°−7°0%8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h93%28%0
Sat 10aMostly sunny32°0° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)24°−4°0%9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h91%27%1
Sat 11aMostly sunny35°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)27°−3°0%10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h86%26%2
Sat 12pSunny37°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)29°−2°0%12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h82%22%3
Sat 1pSunny40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)34°1°0%10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h77%4%4
Sat 2pSunny42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)36°2°0%10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h73%4%4
Sat 3pSunny43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)38°3°0%9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h70%2%3
Sat 4pSunny43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)38°3°0%8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h67%2%3
Sat 5pSunny44°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)40°4°0%7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h68%2%1
Sat 6pClear41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)38°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h74%40%1
Sat 7pClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)33°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h88%35%0
Sat 8pMostly clear36°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)33°1°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h88%17%0
Sat 9pClear32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)29°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h89%9%0
Sat 10pClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)28°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h90%27%0
Sat 11pClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)26°−3°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h89%33%0
Sun 12aClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)30°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h88%28%0
Sun 1aPartly cloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h86%15%0
Sun 2aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)29°−2°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h88%3%0
Sun 3aClear29°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h89%0%0
Sun 4aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph4 km/h89%4%0
Sun 5aMostly clear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h88%49%0
Sun 6aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)24°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h90%25%0
Sun 7aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)23°−5°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h91%58%0
Sun 8aSunny27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)22°−6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h94%30%0
Sun 9aSunny30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)25°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h89%28%0
Sun 10aPartly sunny34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h86%31%1
Sun 11aSunny37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)33°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h81%29%2
Sun 12pMostly sunny39°4° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)36°2°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph20 km/h78%27%3
Sun 1pSunny42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)39°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h74%9%4
Sun 2pMostly sunny43°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)40°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h72%19%4
Sun 3pPartly sunny44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)41°5°0%6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h71%27%3
Sun 4pSunny45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)42°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h69%11%2
Sun 5pPartly sunny44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)41°5°0%6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h71%28%1
Sun 6pClear41°5° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)38°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h77%37%0
Sun 7pClear38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)34°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h93%35%0
Sun 8pClear35°2° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)31°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h97%43%0
Sun 9pPartly cloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)27°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h95%47%0
Sun 10pPartly cloudy31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)26°−3°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h95%63%0
Sun 11pPartly cloudy30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)25°−4°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h94%75%0
Mon 12aCloudy30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 38°3°)26°−3°0%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h93%77%0
Mon 1aPartly cloudy29°−2° (likely 24°−4° to 39°4°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h93%64%0
Mon 2aPartly cloudy29°−2° (likely 23°−5° to 38°3°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h92%47%0
Mon 3aPartly cloudy29°−2° (likely 22°−6° to 37°3°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h92%55%0
Mon 4aPartly cloudy28°−2° (likely 20°−7° to 37°3°)24°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h92%60%0
Mon 5aPartly cloudy28°−2° (likely 19°−7° to 37°3°)24°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h91%43%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 27°−3°. Typical 54°12° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 25°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 29°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Areas of fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 45. South southeast wind 3 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 27. South wind around 5 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    44°7°–46°8°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 46°8°, low 27°−3°. Typical 54°12° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 35°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 28°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 46. North northwest wind around 6 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. North northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    44°7°–48°9°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 51°11°, low 32°0°. Typical 53°12° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 37°3°

      40% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. South southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. South southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    48°9°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 49°9°, low 30°−1°. Typical 53°12° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 48°9°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      40% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 49. South wind 2 to 7 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain before 3am, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    46°8°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 48°9°, low 28°−2°. Typical 52°11° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 32°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 51°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 48.

    Night: A slight chance of rain and snow before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    48°9°–52°11°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 47°8°, low 28°−2°. Typical 52°11° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 35°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 47°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      20% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.

    Night: A slight chance of rain and snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    46°8°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–36°2°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    8 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 48°9°, low 30°−1°. Typical 51°11° / 27°−3°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      30% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 39°4°

      30% chance · 0.5 in1.2 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 36°2°

      30% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 48.

    Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    39°4°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 41°5°, low 30°−1°. Typical 51°11° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 28°−2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    37°3°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 50°10° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 29°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 35°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    36°2°–50°10°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 45°7°, low 33°1°. Typical 50°10° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 36°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    37°3°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 45°, low 27°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 46°, low 27°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 51°, low 32°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 41–49°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Missouri River at Toston

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.2 ft
Flow
3,540 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page

Prickly Pear Creek near Clancy

25 mi
Level
1.1 ft
Flow
51 cfs

Reading from Fri 10:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Missouri River at Canyon Ferry Reservoir

25 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3785 ft

Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 61Typical 173

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 30 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 24°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Townsend 3se · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 9°5° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
54°12° / 29°−2°
Forecast high / low
45°7° / 27°−3°
Record high
76°24° in 1992
Record low
10°−12° in 2002

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. +6°+3°MonOct 19
  3. +5°+3°TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. +9°+5°ThuOct 22
  6. +2°+1°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Townsend weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:56 AM, sunset 6:23 PM.

Daylight
10 h 28 min
Losing 3 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 52 min less
Golden hour
5:41–6:42 PM
Morning 7:37–8:38 AM
Blue hour
6:42–6:54 PM
Morning 7:25–7:37 AM; first light 7:25 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 29% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:10 AM · rises 5:24 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northeast from Townsend. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,400 ft, 18 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.