Missouri River near Ulm
11 mi- Level
- 3.1 ft
- Flow
- 3,620 cfs
Reading from Sat 2:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 1 h 6 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Great Falls MT
With the rain and snowfall yesterday, patchy dense fog is developing over portions of North Central and Southwest MT.
Visibility is below a half mile in some areas.
Those traveling early this morning should be alert for quickly changing visibility conditions.
Reminder, reduce your driving speeds in areas of poor visibility.
Areas: East Glacier Park Region; Northern High Plains; Eastern Glacier, Western Toole, and Central Pondera; Eastern Toole and Liberty; Hill County; Northern Blaine County; Southern Rocky Mountain Front; Southern High Plains; Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton; Western and Central Chouteau County; Bears Paw Mountains and Southern Blaine; Cascade County below 5000ft; Judith Basin County and Judith Gap; Fergus County below 4500ft; Upper Blackfoot and MacDonald Pass; Gates of the Mountains; Little Belt and Highwood Mountains; Snowy and Judith Mountains; Helena Valley; Big Belt, Bridger and Castle Mountains; Meagher County Valleys; Elkhorn and Boulder Mountains; Canyon Ferry Area; Missouri Headwaters; Madison River Valley; Gallatin Valley; Northwest Beaverhead County; Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft; Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains; Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and Centennial Mountains
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 3:55 AM MDT at KGFA
Clear and 29°−1°, 13°7° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 24°−4°.
Today: low 24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 28°−2°), high 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°).
Now 29°−1°
Clear · Feels like 21°−6°
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 4a | Clear | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 30°−1°) | 18°−8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 84% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 5a | Clear | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 29°−2°) | 18°−8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Clear | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 29°−2°) | 16°−9° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 82% | 1% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Clear | 24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 29°−2°) | 16°−9° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 84% | 2% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Sunny | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 29°−2°) | 17°−8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 84% | 6% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Sunny | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 30°−1°) | 20°−7° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 75% | 8% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Sunny | 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 77% | 4% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 75% | 6% | 3 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 75% | 7% | 4 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 74% | 6% | 4 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°) | 40°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 72% | 43% | 4 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 71% | 41% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°) | 38°3° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 70% | 33% | 3 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°) | 36°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 70% | 17% | 2 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°) | 33°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 75% | 40% | 1 |
| Sat 7p | Partly cloudy | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 76% | 38% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Partly cloudy | 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 80% | 64% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Partly cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 38°3°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 81% | 71% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 83% | 91% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Partly cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 83% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 84% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Partly cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 87% | 69% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Mostly clear | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 90% | 45% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Mostly clear | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 91% | 39% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Partly cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 91% | 36% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 32°0°) | 23°−5° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from WNW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 91% | 55% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 33°1°) | 23°−5° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 90% | 60% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Mostly cloudy | 23°−5° (likely 23°−5° to 33°1°) | 23°−5° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 92% | 64% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Mostly cloudy | 22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 33°1°) | 22°−6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 93% | 68% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Mostly cloudy | 24°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°) | 24°−4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 89% | 72% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 87% | 79% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 79% | 78% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°) | 32°0° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 76% | 77% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°) | 33°1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 75% | 78% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 34°1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 73% | 78% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 37°3°) | 35°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 72% | 78% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°) | 35°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 71% | 78% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°) | 36°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 68% | 75% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°) | 32°0° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 75% | 63% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 79% | 65% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 82% | 67% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Partly cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 85% | 68% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Partly cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 86% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 87% | 81% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 87% | 78% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Partly cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 33°1°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 88% | 59% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Partly cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 89% | 59% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Mostly cloudy | 25°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 32°0°) | 25°−4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 89% | 59% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 40. South southeast wind 2 to 8 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 24. South southwest wind around 7 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. West southwest wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 39. Northeast wind around 1 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. South southwest wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Southwest wind 2 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: A chance of rain before 3am, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 42.
Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 39.
Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 42.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Dry, high 40°, low 24°.
Dry, high 36°, low 21°, cooling off.
Dry, high 39°, low 27°, warming up.
Mostly dry, highs 39–45°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TFX) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 2:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 2:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 3 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 2:45 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Tonight’s low: 24°−4°
Overnight low near 24°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.
About 60% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 6 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 26°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 13°7° colder than typical.
On average 7°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Tracy weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:56 AM, sunset 6:20 PM.
Clear 4:24–7:25 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 6:10 AM.
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing