Model estimate for 3:00 PM MDT (no recent station report)

Troy, MT weather

Overcast and 56°13°, jacket by 5 PM.

Forecasts differ

Now 56°13°

Cloudy

Wind: Calm; Light through 3 AM
Dew point: 33°1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Air quality: 12Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 57°14° today at 4 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Low 35°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 40°4° tomorrow by noon
Hard freeze tomorrow night midnight–11 AM (low 26°−3°)

This afternoonNear 56°13° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningNear 37°3° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 55°13° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 28°−2° by 4 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 36°2° by 11 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 53°12° by 2 PM · Cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	42%	67%	3
Sat 4p	Mostly cloudy	57°14° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	42%	69%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	43%	24%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly cloudy	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	58%	69%	1
Sat 7p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	68%	72%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	73%	74%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	83%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	79%	88%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	84%	82%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	86%	80%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	90%	70%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	91%	72%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	72%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	67%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	77%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	99%	79%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	75%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	76%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 44°7°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	79%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 49°9°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	80%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 55°13°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	100%	79%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 57°14°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	84%	79%	2
Sun 1p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 59°15°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	63%	79%	2
Sun 2p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 61°16°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	53%	81%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 62°17°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	49%	82%	2
Sun 4p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 63°17°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	50%	80%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 62°17°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	52%	78%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 60°16°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	66%	79%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 58°14°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	78%	79%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 56°13°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	84%	79%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 54°12°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	87%	78%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 52°11°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	90%	79%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 51°11°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	94%	81%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 51°11°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	79%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 50°10°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	38%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 49°9°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	35%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 48°9°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	50%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 47°8°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	66%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 47°8°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	51%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 47°8°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	77%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 47°8°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	83%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 46°8°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	61%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 46°8°)	26°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	51%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 50°10°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	72%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 54°12°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	90%	82%	1
Mon 12p	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 56°13°)	42°6°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	82%	84%	1
Mon 1p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)	48°9°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	70%	88%	1
Mon 2p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	53°12°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	88%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 35°2°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. South wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. North northwest wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–58°14°
Low, likely
31°−1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 33°1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 56°13°, low 26°−3°. Typical 50°10° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 28°−2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. East northeast wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. East northeast wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–63°17°
Low, likely
26°−3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 33°1°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 30°−1°. Typical 50°10° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 26°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  60% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 57. East northeast wind around 1 mph.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
49°9°–57°14°
Low, likely
30°−1°–40°4°
Typical high / low
50°10° / 33°1°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
2
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 51°11°, low 30°−1°. Typical 49°9° / 32°0°. Snow 0.14 in3.6 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 42°5°
  70% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 47°9°
  70% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  70% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  80% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 51.
Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 30. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Low, likely
30°−1°–43°6°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 32°0°
Wind
5 mph7 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 51°11°, low 26°−3°. Typical 49°9° / 32°0°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 90% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  80% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  90% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 43°6°
  90% chance · 0.1 in0.4 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 40°4°
  60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain before 9am, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 51.
Night: Rain likely before 9pm, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Low, likely
26°−3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
49°9° / 32°0°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 50°10°, low 24°−4°. Typical 48°9° / 32°0°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 39°4°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  60% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 41°5°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 35°2°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.
Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–50°10°
Low, likely
24°−4°–38°3°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 32°0°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 50°10°, low 22°−6°. Typical 48°9° / 32°0°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 35°1°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Low, likely
22°−6°–37°3°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 32°0°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 42°6°, low 32°0°. Typical 47°8° / 32°0°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 42°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Low, likely
28°−2°–37°3°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 32°0°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Snow. High 44°7°, low 32°0°. Typical 47°8° / 32°0°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Low, likely
26°−3°–35°2°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 32°0°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Snow. High 46°8°, low 33°1°. Typical 46°8° / 32°0°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–50°10°
Low, likely
27°−3°–40°4°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 32°0°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 40 mph64 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 58°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 56°, low 26°.
Monday
Dry, high 57°, low 30°.
Rest of week
Highs 42–51°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MSO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Yaak River near Troy

7.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.9 ft
Flow: 87 cfs

Forecast peak 2.9 ft Sat 6 PM

Reading from Sat 2:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Lake Pend Oreille at Hope

25 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2056 ft

Forecast peak 2056 ft Sat 6 PM

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

Kootenai River at Leonia

13 mi

Level: 10.4 ft
Flow: 4,430 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Kootenai River below Moyie River

22 mi

Level: 71.5 ft
Flow: 5,120 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 50Typical 169

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 35
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 26 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 33°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Troy · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1960–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Troy weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 20 min; Losing 3 min 22 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 2 min less
Golden hour: 5:53–6:57 PM; Morning 7:57–9:01 AM
Blue hour: 6:57–7:09 PM; Morning 7:45–7:57 AM; first light 7:45 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 76% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:31 AM · rises 5:39 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Troy. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,300 ft, 8 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.