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Observed 10:05 AM EDT at KAVL

Black Mountain, NC weather

Overcast and 52°11°, 9°5° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Today: low 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°), high 60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°).

Mostly agree

Now 52°11°

Cloudy

Wind
Calm
Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point
45°7°
Comfortable
UV index
1Low
Moderate 12–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality
52Moderate
PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow good
Pressure
30.49 inHg1033 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • High 60°16° today at 2 PM
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
  • Low 37°3° tomorrow at 8 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM
  1. This morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
  2. This afternoonUp to 60°16° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 60°16° by 2 PM · Clear
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
  7. Monday morningUp to 43°6° by 9 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 10aPartly sunny46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h100%65%1
Sat 11aCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)48°9°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h100%62%2
Sat 12pCloudy55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)55°13°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h90%59%4
Sat 1pMostly sunny58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)58°14°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h81%50%5
Sat 2pSunny60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h75%31%5
Sat 3pMostly sunny60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h74%22%4
Sat 4pSunny60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h75%12%3
Sat 5pSunny59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)59°15°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h74%10%1
Sat 6pSunny57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)57°14°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h74%8%0
Sat 7pClear54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h84%7%0
Sat 8pClear49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)47°8°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h95%5%0
Sat 9pClear47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)45°7°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h100%4%0
Sat 10pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h100%3%0
Sat 11pClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)42°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h100%1%0
Sun 12aClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)41°5°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h100%0%0
Sun 1aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)40°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h100%1%0
Sun 2aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)39°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h100%2%0
Sun 3aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)38°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h100%3%0
Sun 4aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)37°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h100%5%0
Sun 5aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)36°2°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h100%5%0
Sun 6aClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)35°2°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h100%4%0
Sun 7aClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)35°2°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h100%11%0
Sun 8aMostly sunny37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)34°1°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h100%17%0
Sun 9aMostly sunny38°3° (likely 38°3° to 48°9°)35°2°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h100%22%0
Sun 10aMostly sunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)41°5°0%6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h100%20%2
Sun 11aSunny51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)48°9°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h91%13%3
Sun 12pSunny56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)56°13°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h78%17%4
Sun 1pSunny58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)58°14°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph28 km/h71%4%5
Sun 2pSunny60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h67%4%5
Sun 3pSunny60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h67%3%5
Sun 4pSunny60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h68%2%4
Sun 5pSunny59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)59°15°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph25 km/h67%1%2
Sun 6pSunny57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)57°14°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h68%0%1
Sun 7pClear54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)54°12°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h80%0%0
Sun 8pClear49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h91%0%0
Sun 9pClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h96%1%0
Sun 10pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h99%2%0
Sun 11pClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)43°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h100%4%0
Mon 12aClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h100%3%0
Mon 1aClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)43°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h100%4%0
Mon 2aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)42°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%5%0
Mon 3aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)41°5°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%6%0
Mon 4aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%6%0
Mon 5aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h100%2%0
Mon 6aClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)37°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%2%0
Mon 7aClear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)36°2°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h100%1%0
Mon 8aSunny37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)37°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%1%0
Mon 9aSunny43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)43°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h95%1%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 36°2°. Typical 51°11° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 60°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 60. East wind around 7 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. East northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    57°14°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    36°2°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 34°1°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 60°16°, low 36°2°. Typical 51°11° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 60°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 60. East wind 3 to 8 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 2 to 7 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    58°14°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    36°2°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 34°1°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 40°4°. Typical 51°11° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 47°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. North northeast wind around 3 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    64°18°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    51°11° / 33°1°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 41°5°. Typical 50°10° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 33°1°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 50°10° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    61°16°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 33°1°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 42°6°. Typical 50°10° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 69°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 51°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 32°0°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 50°10° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 71°22°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 32°0°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 49°9° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    64°18°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    50°10°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 32°0°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 49°9° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°10°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 63°17°

      20% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 51°11°. Typical 49°9° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 54°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 61°16°

      20% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 54°12°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    47°8°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–56°13°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 60°, low 36°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 60°, low 36°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 68°, low 40°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 63–71°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GSP) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Swannanoa River below Hendersonville Rd (NC 81), in Biltmore Village (2 S Asheville)

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.3 ft
Flow
41 cfs

Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

French Broad River at Pearson Bridge Rd, 2 NW Asheville

14 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.1 ft
Flow
850 cfs

Forecast peak 1.1 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

French Broad River at Old Fanning Bridge Rd, 3 W Fletcher

18 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.1 ft
Flow
629 cfs

Forecast peak 4.1 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Mill Creek at Orchard St, in Old Fort

7.8 mi
Below flood stage
Level
0.9 ft

Reading from Sat 9:20 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 79% less heating than a typical week.

This week 34Typical 163

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
27
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 16 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Mt. Mitchell · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1925–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 9°5° warmer than typical.

Normal high / low
51°11° / 34°1°
Forecast high / low
60°16° / 36°2°
Record high
70°21° in 2010
Record low
10°−12° in 1937

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 8°4° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −12°−7°SunOct 18
  2. −2°−1°MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Black Mountain weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:43 AM, sunset 6:42 PM.

Daylight
10 h 59 min
Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 14 min less
Golden hour
6:07–6:58 PM
Morning 7:27–8:18 AM
Blue hour
6:58–7:08 PM
Morning 7:17–7:27 AM; first light 7:17 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 7:08 PM–7:18 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:59 AM · rises 5:38 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking north from Black Mountain. The highest point on the skyline is about 6,000 ft, 7 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.