Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 3 days 16 h
When
Until 2 PM EDT Wednesday.
Where
Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to 1 to 3 feet of inundation above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Up to 1 to 3 feet of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Additional details
Tide levels will continue to rise with a King Tide Cycle in place through the upcoming work-week. The morning high tide will be the highest of the two daily tides. King Tides peak Tuesday and Wednesday.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: West Carteret
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 9:05 PM EDT at KMRH

Brandywine Bay, NC weather

Partly cloudy and 63°17°, gusts to 31 mph50 km/h tomorrow.

Mostly agree

Now 63°17°

Partly cloudy

Wind: 15 mph24 km/h; From the north-northeast. Gusts to 29 mph46 km/h around 9 AM
Dew point: 55°13°; A little sticky
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 12–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 34Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.39 inHg1029 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h tonight 10–11 PM
Low 57°14° tonight at 4 AM
Gusts to 31 mph50 km/h tomorrow 9 AM–10 PM
High 68°20° tomorrow at noon

TonightDown to 57°14° by 4 AM · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 67°19° by 11 AM · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 67°19° · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 57°14° by 3 AM · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h · Clear
Monday morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonNear 67°19° · Clear
Monday nightDown to 60°16° by 8 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9p	Clear	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	81%	16%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	90%	21%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	93%	16%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	93%	50%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	93%	24%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	93%	31%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	90%	61%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	57°14°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	93%	15%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	57°14°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	93%	6%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	57°14°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	93%	43%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	57°14°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph39 km/h	93%	26%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	58°14°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	90%	7%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	84%	2%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	64°18°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	73%	7%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	67°19°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph49 km/h	65%	10%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	68°20°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	63%	15%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)	68°20°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	63%	18%	5
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	63%	34%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	61%	15%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	67°19°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	63%	12%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	65%	9%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	68%	7%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	70%	6%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	72%	6%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	75%	7%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	78%	10%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	78%	13%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	80%	9%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	83%	2%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	83%	2%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	86%	3%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	86%	5%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	86%	1%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	86%	4%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	86%	7%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	86%	7%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	83%	7%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	75%	4%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	65°18°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph31 km/h	68%	4%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	63%	6%	5
Mon 1p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	61%	8%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	57%	8%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	59%	6%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	61%	0%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	61%	7%	2
Mon 6p	Clear	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	65%	1%	1
Mon 7p	Clear	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	70%	1%	0
Mon 8p	Clear	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	75%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 56°13°. Typical 74°23° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 52°11°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 56°13°. Typical 74°23° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Northeast wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–73°23°
Low, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 52°11°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 73°23° / 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. North wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 50. North wind 3 to 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 52°11°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 57°14°. Typical 73°23° / 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–71°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 51°11°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 58°14°. Typical 73°23° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 51°11°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 57°14°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 65°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–73°23°
Low, likely
57°14°–64°18°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 50°10°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 57°14°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
57°14°–64°18°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 50°10°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Saturday, Oct 31. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 61°16°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–77°25°
Low, likely
57°14°–64°18°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 50°10°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 65°18°. Typical 71°22° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–79°26°
Low, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 49°9°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 75°24°, low 67°19°. Typical 71°22° / 49°9°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 76°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 71°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
71°22°–79°26°
Low, likely
65°18°–72°22°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 49°9°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 71°, low 56°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 69°, low 56°.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 50°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 71–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MHX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Atlantic Coast at Beaufort Marine Lab (in MLLW)

9.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.4 ft

Forecast peak 5.4 ft Sun 7 AM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 8:06 PM · NWS gauge page

Neuse River at Oriental (in MLLW)

21 mi

Action stage

Level: 2.3 ft

Reading from Sat 7:24 PM · NWS gauge page

Newport River at Newport (in MLLW)

3.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.6 ft

Reading from Sat 7:40 PM · NWS gauge page

Slocum Creek at Havelock (in MLLW)

12 mi

Level: 2.2 ft

Reading from Sat 8:10 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 62% less heating than a typical week.

This week 8Typical 21

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Comfortable, non-humid air (dew point 55°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 9:00 AM–11:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

HAVELOCK CHERRY POINT MCAS · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−4°−2°MonOct 19
−2°−1°TueOct 20
−6°−4°WedOct 21
−8°−5°ThuOct 22
−7°−4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Brandywine Bay weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 1 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 11 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:37 PM; Morning 7:04–7:55 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:47 PM; Morning 6:55–7:04 AM; first light 6:55 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 9:29 PM–12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:35 AM · rises 5:16 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Brandywine Bay. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory