Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 17 h 40 min
When
Until 10 AM EDT Sunday.
Where
Coastal Brunswick County.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wilmington NC
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Low-lying roads and locations along the Intracoastal Waterway and adjacent tidal creeks may observe minor coastal flooding. Check with local officials for any road closures or impacts.
Additional details
Affected areas listed are based on average tide conditions. Additional locations may experience flooding during periods of heavy rainfall, high winds, or other factors.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: Coastal Brunswick
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 4:00 PM EDT at KCRE

Carolina Shores, NC weather

Overcast and 72°22°.

Forecasts agree

Now 72°22°

Cloudy

Wind: 10 mph17 km/h; From the northeast. Gusts to 22 mph35 km/h around 3 AM
Dew point: 54°12°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air today: 38Good; EPA forecast · Ozone
Pressure: 30.32 inHg1027 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.5 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (72°22° then, 71°22° now)

Good hours for

Low 56°13° tonight at 4 AM
Gusts to 29 mph47 km/h tomorrow 9 AM–6 PM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 9 AM
High 74°23° tomorrow at 2 PM

This afternoonNear 73°23° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 56°13° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · gusts to 28 mph45 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 72°22° · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 51°11° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 74°23° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	73°23°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	58%	32%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	59%	20%	0
Sat 6p	Partly sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	64%	45%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	71%	39%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	87%	2%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	93%	13%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	92%	45%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	92%	47%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	91%	45%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	92%	18%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	92%	11%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	93%	12%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	93%	11%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	93%	15%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	93%	24%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	90%	12%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	82%	11%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	77%	31%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	68%	32%	5
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph46 km/h	64%	33%	5
Sun 2p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	62%	38%	5
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	60%	31%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	61%	17%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	61%	10%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	64%	8%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	87%	3%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	91%	2%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	94%	3%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	96%	2%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	98%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	100%	8%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	99%	15%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	99%	5%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	88%	2%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	74%	1%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	66%	0%	5
Mon 1p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	60%	0%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	56%	1%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	53%	0%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 56°13°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 74. Northeast wind around 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
52°11°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 50°10°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 50°10°. Typical 72°22° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Northeast wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
50°10°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 49°9°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 74°23°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 6 to 10 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 45.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 49°9°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 75°24°, low 52°11°. Typical 71°22° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 76°24°, low 56°13°. Typical 71°22° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 48°9°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 77°25°, low 55°13°. Typical 71°22° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 67°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–78°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–63°17°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 48°9°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 78°26°, low 56°13°. Typical 70°21° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 78.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–79°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–61°16°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 47°8°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
5
Saturday, Oct 31. Sunny. High 78°26°, low 60°16°. Typical 70°21° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 60°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 69°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
76°24°–79°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–64°18°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 47°8°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 64°18°. Typical 70°21° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–78°26°
Low, likely
61°16°–69°21°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 46°8°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 77°25°, low 65°18°. Typical 69°21° / 46°8°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
76°24°–79°26°
Low, likely
63°17°–71°22°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 46°8°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 74°, low 56°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 75°, low 50°.
Monday
Dry, high 74°, low 45°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 75–78°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ILM) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Waccamaw River at Longs

8.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.1 ft
Flow: 29 cfs

Forecast peak 1.0 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Waccamaw River at Freeland

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: under 1 cfs

Forecast peak 1.7 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 2:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Calabash River at Calabash

1.9 mi

Level: -0.2 ft

Reading from Sat 3:20 PM · NWS gauge page

Shingletree Swamp near Calabash

1.9 mi

Level: 8.2 ft

Reading from Sat 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 11Typical 36

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 54°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 5:00 PM–10:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Longwood · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1972–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 7°4° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−4°SunOct 18
−8°−5°MonOct 19
−8°−4°TueOct 20
−6°−4°WedOct 21
−6°−4°ThuOct 22
−7°−4°FriOct 23
−7°−4°SatOct 24

Carolina Shores weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 3 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 9 min less
Golden hour: 5:55–6:45 PM; Morning 7:11–8:01 AM
Blue hour: 6:45–6:55 PM; Morning 7:01–7:11 AM; first light 7:01 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 3–7:02 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:42 AM · rises 5:24 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Carolina Shores. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory