Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 3 days 20 h
When
Until 2 PM EDT Wednesday.
Where
Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and areas in North Topsail Beach, the lower New River, and adjacent tidal creeks.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to 1 to 3 feet of inundation above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Up to 1 to 3 feet of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Additional details
Tide levels will continue to rise with King Tide Cycle in place through the upcoming work-week. The morning high tide will be the highest of the two daily tides. King Tides peak Tuesday and Wednesday.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: West Carteret; Coastal Onslow
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 4:55 PM EDT at KOAJ

North Topsail Beach, NC weather

Mostly cloudy and 70°21°, gusts to 31 mph50 km/h tomorrow.

Forecasts agree

Now 70°21°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 13 mph20 km/h; From the east-northeast. Gusts to 24 mph39 km/h around 4 AM
Dew point: 54°12°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 12–5 PM · peak 5
Air today: 38Good; EPA forecast · Ozone
Pressure: 30.37 inHg1028 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (72°22° then, 70°21° now)

Good hours for

Low 56°13° tomorrow at 6 AM
Gusts to 31 mph50 km/h tomorrow 9 AM–9 PM
High 70°21° tomorrow at 1 PM

TonightDown to 57°14° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 69°21° · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 55°13° by 5 AM · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h · Clear
Monday morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonNear 67°19° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	59%	26%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	61%	10%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	68%	15%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	73%	18%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	78%	36%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	84%	34%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	93%	12%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	93%	8%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	90%	48%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	90%	17%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	90%	9%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	93%	9%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	96%	14%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	96%	54%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	93%	26%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	84%	9%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	64°18°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	75%	8%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	65%	11%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	69°21°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	61%	10%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	70°21°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	59%	9%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	70°21°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	59%	14%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	70°21°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	59%	16%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	59%	15%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	61%	13%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	65%	13%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	70%	13%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	72%	9%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	75%	8%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	78%	8%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	78%	9%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	80%	3%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	80%	1%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	83%	6%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	86%	6%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	86%	7%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	90%	7%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	90%	8%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	90%	8%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	90%	12%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	83%	11%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	72%	2%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	65%	2%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	63%	1%	5
Mon 1p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	59%	4%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	69°21°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	55%	6%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	69°21°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	55%	8%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	68°20°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	57%	9%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 55°13°. Typical 73°23° / 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
71°22°–73°23°
Low, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 51°11°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 54°12°. Typical 72°22° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Northeast wind 12 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
54°12°–59°15°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 51°11°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. North wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 50°10°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 72°22°, low 57°14°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Clear, with a low around 57.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
48°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 50°10°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 59°15°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
71°22°–73°23°
Low, likely
57°14°–60°16°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 50°10°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 74°23°, low 58°14°. Typical 71°22° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
56°13°–63°17°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 49°9°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 59°15°. Typical 71°22° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
71°22°–77°25°
Low, likely
56°13°–64°18°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 49°9°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 62°17°. Typical 71°22° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–77°25°
Low, likely
58°14°–65°18°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 48°9°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 66°19°. Typical 70°21° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 74°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
63°17°–71°22°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 48°9°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 75°24°, low 67°19°. Typical 70°21° / 48°9°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 10% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 71°22°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 48°9°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 71°, low 55°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 71°, low 54°.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 49°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 72–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MHX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Intracoastal Waterway at North Topsail Beach (in MLLW)

0.8 mi

Level: 1.9 ft

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway at Surf City Bridge

7.6 mi

Level: 0.8 ft

Reading from Sat 4:10 PM · NWS gauge page

Banks Channel at Topsail Beach

14 mi

Level: 1.1 ft

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

New River at Jacksonville (in MLLW)

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft

Reading from Sat 4:25 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 8Typical 29

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 54°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 6:00 PM–10:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

NEW RIVER MCAF · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1955–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

North Topsail Beach weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 11 min less
Golden hour: 5:49–6:40 PM; Morning 7:07–7:57 AM
Blue hour: 6:40–6:50 PM; Morning 6:57–7:07 AM; first light 6:57 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 2–6:58 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:38 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from North Topsail Beach. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory