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1 active weather alert

  • Coastal Flood Advisory

    Ends in 9 h 49 min

    When
    Until noon EDT Monday.
    Where
    The lower Cape Fear River including downtown Wilmington.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wilmington NC

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

    Impacts

    Portions of Battleship Road and USS North Carolina Road observe minor coastal flooding up to one foot in depth. In downtown Wilmington, sections of Water Street observe minor flooding up to one half foot in depth. Check with local officials for any road closures or impacts.

    Additional details

    Affected areas listed are based on average tide conditions. Additional locations may experience flooding during periods of heavy rainfall, high winds, or other factors.

    Precautionary actions

    If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.

    Areas: Inland New Hanover

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 1:55 AM EDT at KILM

Northchase, NC weather

Clear and 55°13°.

Today: low 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°), high 74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°).

Mostly agree

Now 55°13°

Clear

Wind
13 mph20 km/h
From the north-northeast. 813–13 mph20 km/h through 2 PM
Dew point
48°9°
Comfortable
UV index
0Low
Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality
37Good
Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure
30.33 inHg1027 hPa
Steady over the next 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Low 50°10° tonight at 4 AM
  • Above 60°16° today by 11 AM
  • High 73°23° today at 3 PM
  • Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM
  1. TonightNear 51°11° · Clear
  2. This morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · Clear
  3. This afternoonUp to 73°23° by 3 PM · Clear
  4. TonightDown to 45°7° by 5 AM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
  6. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 75°24° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
  7. Tomorrow nightDown to 55°13° by midnight · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Mon 2aClear52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)52°11°0%8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h100%0%0
Mon 3aClear51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)51°11°0%8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h100%1%0
Mon 4aClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)47°8°0%9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph23 km/h100%0%0
Mon 5aClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)47°8°0%9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h100%12%0
Mon 6aClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)46°8°0%9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph25 km/h100%15%0
Mon 7aSunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)46°8°0%9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h99%16%0
Mon 8aSunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)46°8°0%10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph26 km/h100%17%0
Mon 9aSunny53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)53°12°0%9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h98%15%1
Mon 10aSunny59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)59°15°0%10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph34 km/h83%2%2
Mon 11aSunny64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)64°18°0%10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 19 mph30 km/h72%0%3
Mon 12pSunny67°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)67°19°0%9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h64%0%5
Mon 1pSunny70°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)70°21°0%9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h57%4%5
Mon 2pSunny72°22° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)72°22°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h53%6%5
Mon 3pSunny73°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)73°23°0%7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph22 km/h50%5%4
Mon 4pSunny73°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)73°23°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h48%6%3
Mon 5pSunny72°22° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)72°22°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h50%6%2
Mon 6pClear69°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)69°21°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h58%7%1
Mon 7pClear65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)65°18°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h67%0%0
Mon 8pClear58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)58°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h84%0%0
Mon 9pClear56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)56°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h89%0%0
Mon 10pClear54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)54°12°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h92%0%0
Mon 11pClear52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)52°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h95%0%0
Tue 12aClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h99%0%0
Tue 1aClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%0%0
Tue 2aClear48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)48°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%1%0
Tue 3aClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%1%0
Tue 4aClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)45°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h100%34%0
Tue 5aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)43°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h100%40%0
Tue 6aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h100%40%0
Tue 7aSunny45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h99%42%0
Tue 8aSunny45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)42°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h100%41%0
Tue 9aSunny52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)52°11°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h85%43%1
Tue 10aSunny59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)59°15°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph21 km/h69%46%2
Tue 11aSunny65°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)65°18°0%7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph23 km/h57%49%3
Tue 12pSunny70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)70°21°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h48%50%5
Tue 1pSunny72°22° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)72°22°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h42%40%5
Tue 2pSunny74°23° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)74°23°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h40%18%5
Tue 3pSunny75°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°)75°24°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h39%14%4
Tue 4pSunny74°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)74°23°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h41%16%3
Tue 5pSunny73°23° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)73°23°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h46%18%2
Tue 6pClear69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)69°21°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h56%17%1
Tue 7pClear64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)64°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h71%14%0
Tue 8pClear60°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)60°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h88%10%0
Tue 9pClear57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)57°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h96%9%0
Tue 10pClear56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)56°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%4%0
Tue 11pClear56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)56°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h100%0%0
Wed 12aClear55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)55°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h100%8%0
Wed 1aClear55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)55°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h100%12%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 26. Sunny. High 74°23°, low 50°10°. Typical 73°23° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 73°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 45°7°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. North wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    71°22°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    50°10°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 51°11°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 27. Sunny. High 75°24°, low 54°12°. Typical 73°23° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 60°16°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 55°13°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 75. Northeast wind around 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    72°22°–76°24°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 51°11°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 76°24°, low 59°15°. Typical 73°23° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 58°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 74°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 67°19°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 61°16°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    73°23°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    55°13°–59°15°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 50°10°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 57°14°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 60°16°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 77°25°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 68°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 61°16°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    75°24°–79°26°
    Low, likely
    57°14°–61°16°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 50°10°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 79°26°, low 57°14°. Typical 72°22° / 50°10°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 60°15°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 78°25°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 67°19°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 61°16°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 79.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    77°25°–79°26°
    Low, likely
    57°14°–60°16°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 50°10°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 78°26°, low 60°16°. Typical 72°22° / 49°9°. Rain, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 61°16°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 68°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 64°18°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers between 8am and 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    74°23°–78°26°
    Low, likely
    58°14°–61°16°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 49°9°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 79°26°, low 63°17°. Typical 72°22° / 49°9°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 66°19°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 76°24°

      30% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 69°21°

      30% chance · 0.17 in4.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 66°19°

      20% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers after 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    74°23°–79°26°
    Low, likely
    61°16°–65°18°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 49°9°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 76°24°, low 63°17°. Typical 71°22° / 49°9°. Rain 0.75 in19 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 67°19°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 76°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 66°19°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 62°17°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    73°23°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    63°17°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    71°22° / 49°9°
    Wind
    10 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Tuesday, Nov 3. Cloudy. High 76°24°, low 62°17°. Typical 71°22° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 68°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 63°17°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    70°21°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    61°16°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    71°22° / 48°9°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Wednesday, Nov 4. Showers. High 73°23°, low 61°16°. Typical 71°22° / 48°9°. Rain 0.42 in11 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 65°18°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    68°20°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    58°14°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    71°22° / 48°9°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
    UV peak
    2

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 74°, low 50°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 75°, low 54°.

  3. Wednesday

    Dry, high 76°, low 59°.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 73–79°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ILM) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Cape Fear River at Wilmington (IN MLLW)

7.1 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.0 ft

Forecast peak 6.0 ft Mon 10 AM, minor flooding

Reading from Mon 1:06 AM · NWS gauge page

Atlantic Coast at Johnnie Mercers Pier at Wrightsville Beach (MLLW)

8.3 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.2 ft

Forecast peak 6.6 ft Mon 8 AM, minor flooding

Reading from Mon 1:06 AM · NWS gauge page

Prince George Creek at Blue Clay Road

2.2 mi
Level
9.1 ft

Reading from Mon 1:20 AM · NWS gauge page

Prince George Creek at Highway 117

2.3 mi
Level
5.9 ft

Reading from Mon 1:20 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 40% less heating than a typical week.

This week 16Typical 27

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
6
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 11:00 AM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Wilmington Int'l Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1874–2026

Oct 26, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
73°23° / 51°11°
Forecast high / low
74°23° / 50°10°
Record high
85°29° in 2024
Record low
32°0° in 1962

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −4°−2°TueOct 20
  2. −5°−3°WedOct 21
  3. −6°−3°ThuOct 22
  4. −6°−4°FriOct 23
  5. +2°+1°SatOct 24
  6. —SunOct 25
  7. —MonOct 26

Northchase weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:26 AM, sunset 6:24 PM.

Daylight
10 h 58 min
Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 6 min less
Golden hour
5:49–6:40 PM
Morning 7:10–8:00 AM
Blue hour
6:40–6:49 PM
Morning 7:00–7:10 AM; first light 7:00 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 2:11–7 AM, but the moon is 100% lit and up.

Moon

Full moon

100% lit · shrinking

Today
sets 7:57 AM · rises 6:30 PM
New moon
Nov 9
Full moon
Nov 24
Looking southeast from Northchase. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.