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Observed 4:55 AM EDT at KTDF

Stem, NC weather

Clear and 46°8°.

Today: low 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°), high 67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°).

Mostly agree

Now 46°8°

Clear

Wind
Calm
Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 5 PM
Dew point
45°7°
Comfortable
Humidity
93%
Air 46°8°, dew point 45°7° · fog or dew likely
UV index
0Low
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality
24Good
Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure
30.43 inHg1030 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

13°7° warmer than this time yesterday (34°1° then, 46°8° now)

Good hours for
  • Low 44°7° today at 7 AM
  • Above 50°10° today by 10 AM
  • High 65°18° today at 2 PM
  1. This morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
  2. This afternoonUp to 65°18° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 45°7° by 5 AM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 68°20° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 43°6° by 4 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 5aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h100%12%0
Sat 6aClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h100%11%0
Sat 7aSunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)42°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h100%11%0
Sat 8aSunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)42°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h100%11%0
Sat 9aSunny49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)47°8°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h89%15%0
Sat 10aSunny54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)54°12°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h77%12%1
Sat 11aSunny59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)59°15°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h64%8%2
Sat 12pSunny61°16° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)61°16°0%9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h60%18%4
Sat 1pPartly sunny63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)63°17°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h54%33%4
Sat 2pPartly sunny65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)65°18°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h50%38%4
Sat 3pPartly sunny65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)65°18°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h48%29%3
Sat 4pPartly sunny65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)65°18°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h48%25%2
Sat 5pPartly sunny64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)64°18°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h50%19%1
Sat 6pClear61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)61°16°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h56%15%0
Sat 7pClear58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)58°14°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h62%17%0
Sat 8pClear54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)54°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h71%15%0
Sat 9pClear52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h77%16%0
Sat 10pMostly clear51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)51°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h83%22%0
Sat 11pClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)49°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h86%9%0
Sun 12aPartly cloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)48°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h89%35%0
Sun 1aPartly cloudy48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)47°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h93%35%0
Sun 2aClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h96%13%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)45°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h100%33%0
Sun 4aClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)45°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h100%17%0
Sun 5aMostly clear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h100%30%0
Sun 6aPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h100%48%0
Sun 7aPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h100%37%0
Sun 8aPartly sunny45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)42°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h100%50%0
Sun 9aPartly sunny50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)47°8°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h89%30%0
Sun 10aPartly sunny55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)55°13°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h77%44%2
Sun 11aPartly sunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)61°16°0%9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h65%47%2
Sun 12pMostly sunny64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)64°18°0%9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h58%21%3
Sun 1pPartly sunny66°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)66°19°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h52%26%4
Sun 2pPartly sunny68°20° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)68°20°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h49%35%5
Sun 3pMostly sunny68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)68°20°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h47%28%4
Sun 4pMostly sunny68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)68°20°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h47%28%3
Sun 5pMostly sunny67°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)67°19°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h49%32%2
Sun 6pMostly clear64°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)64°18°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h54%23%1
Sun 7pClear59°15° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h64%16%0
Sun 8pMostly clear55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h72%30%0
Sun 9pClear53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h77%7%0
Sun 10pClear51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)51°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h83%0%0
Sun 11pClear50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h83%1%0
Mon 12aClear48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)48°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h89%0%0
Mon 1aClear47°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)47°8°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h93%0%0
Mon 2aClear45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)45°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h96%0%0
Mon 3aClear44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)44°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h96%0%0
Mon 4aMostly clear43°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)43°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h96%4%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 70°21° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 3 to 9 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Northeast wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    70°21° / 41°5°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 40°4°. Typical 70°21° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 43°6°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Northeast wind 1 to 6 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    70°21° / 40°4°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 42°6°. Typical 70°21° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 42.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    70°21° / 40°4°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 72°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 69°21° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 72°22°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    71°22°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    69°21° / 40°4°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 47°8°. Typical 69°21° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 51°10°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    69°21° / 39°4°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 69°21° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 71°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    69°21°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    69°21° / 39°4°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 47°8°. Typical 68°20° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 74°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 60°16°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    74°23°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    68°20° / 38°3°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 68°20° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 73°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 62°17°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    73°23°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    68°20° / 38°3°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 53°12°. Typical 68°20° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 73°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 61°16°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    70°21°–76°24°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–56°13°
    Typical high / low
    68°20° / 38°3°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 59°15°. Typical 67°19° / 37°3°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 72°22°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    60°16°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    57°14°–62°17°
    Typical high / low
    67°19° / 37°3°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 67°, low 44°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 69°, low 40°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 70°, low 42°.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 68–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (RAH) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Eno River at Durham

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.0 ft
Flow
11 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 3:50 AM · NWS gauge page

Knap of the Reeds Creek neat Butner, NC

6.3 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.3 ft

Reading from Sat 3 AM · NWS gauge page

Flat River below Lake Mitchie

6.8 mi
Below flood stage
Level
0.6 ft
Flow
1 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Tar River near Tar River

7.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.2 ft
Flow
under 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 22Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
14
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Roxboro 7 Ese · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
70°21° / 41°5°
Forecast high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Record high
85°29° in 2001
Record low
26°−3° in 1998

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Stem weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:30 AM, sunset 6:27 PM.

Daylight
10 h 57 min
Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 16 min less
Golden hour
5:52–6:43 PM
Morning 7:14–8:05 AM
Blue hour
6:43–6:53 PM
Morning 7:03–7:14 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 5:25–7:03 AM; moon 96% lit but below the horizon.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:44 AM · rises 5:23 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking southwest from Stem. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,800 ft, 8 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.