Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 15 h 5 min
When
Until 10 AM EDT Sunday.
Where
Coastal Brunswick County.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wilmington NC
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Low-lying roads and locations along the Intracoastal Waterway and adjacent tidal creeks may observe minor coastal flooding. Check with local officials for any road closures or impacts.
Additional details
Affected areas listed are based on average tide conditions. Additional locations may experience flooding during periods of heavy rainfall, high winds, or other factors.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: Coastal Brunswick
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 5:55 PM EDT at KSUT

Varnamtown, NC weather

Sunny and 68°20°, gusts to 33 mph53 km/h tomorrow.

Forecasts agree

Now 68°20°

Sunny

Wind: 15 mph24 km/hgusts 22 mph35 km/h; From the northeast. 1016–15 mph24 km/h through 6 AM
Dew point: 54°12°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air today: 38Good; EPA forecast · Ozone
Pressure: 30.32 inHg1027 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (70°21° then, 68°20° now)

Good hours for

Low 57°14° tonight at 4 AM
Gusts to 33 mph53 km/h tomorrow 9 AM–8 PM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 9 AM
High 73°23° tomorrow at 3 PM

TonightDown to 57°14° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 71°22° · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 52°11° by 4 AM · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Clear
Monday morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 73°23° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 6p	Clear	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	63%	4%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	69%	1%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	81%	7%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	83%	6%	0
Sun 12a	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	84%	30%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	86%	13%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	88%	6%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	89%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	89%	9%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	91%	10%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	91%	12%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	91%	22%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	90%	9%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	87%	8%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	81%	8%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	74%	9%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from NE, gusts 33 mph53 km/h	68%	11%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 32 mph51 km/h	65%	15%	5
Sun 2p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 32 mph51 km/h	63%	14%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from NE, gusts 33 mph53 km/h	61%	9%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 32 mph51 km/h	61%	7%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from NE, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	64%	8%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	70°21° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from NE, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	68%	6%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	78%	7%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	84%	6%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	87%	6%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	88%	3%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	90%	2%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	93%	4%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	95%	3%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	98%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	99%	9%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	100%	10%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	99%	14%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	97%	9%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	85%	3%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	73%	2%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph31 km/h	65%	1%	5
Mon 1p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	60%	1%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	57%	2%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	73°23°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	54%	2%	5
Mon 4p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	73°23°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	54%	7%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	56%	8%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 56°13°. Typical 72°22° / 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northeast wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–73°23°
Low, likely
54°12°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 52°11°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 74°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 72°22° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Northeast wind 12 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
51°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 52°11°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 74°23°, low 46°8°. Typical 71°22° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74. Northeast wind 7 to 12 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 46. North wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
46°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 52°11°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 74°23°, low 54°12°. Typical 71°22° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Clear, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 51°11°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 75°24°, low 57°14°. Typical 71°22° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
54°12°–59°15°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 51°11°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 76°24°, low 56°13°. Typical 70°21° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 68°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
56°13°–64°18°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 50°10°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 57°14°. Typical 70°21° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 76°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 68°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–79°26°
Low, likely
57°14°–64°18°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 50°10°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
UV peak
5
Saturday, Oct 31. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 63°17°. Typical 70°21° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–78°26°
Low, likely
58°14°–66°19°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 50°10°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 66°19°. Typical 70°21° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 67°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–79°26°
Low, likely
63°17°–70°21°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 49°9°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 76°24°, low 66°19°. Typical 69°21° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
73°23°–82°28°
Low, likely
60°16°–73°23°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 49°9°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 72°, low 56°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 74°, low 51°.
Monday
Dry, high 74°, low 46°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 74–77°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ILM) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Intracoastal Waterway at Holden Beach

3.0 mi

Level: 1.9 ft

Reading from Sat 5:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Montgomery Slough at EF Middleton Blvd

4.6 mi

Level: 1.2 ft

Reading from Sat 5:40 PM · NWS gauge page

Lockwood Folly River at SR 211

4.8 mi

Level: 1.2 ft

Reading from Sat 5:50 PM · NWS gauge page

Shallotte River at Shallotte

9.0 mi

Level: 1.3 ft

Reading from Sat 6:05 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 10Typical 28

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 54°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 7:00 PM–11:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Shallotte Ag · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2000–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 8°4° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−11°−6°SunOct 18
−8°−5°MonOct 19
−5°−3°TueOct 20
−5°−3°WedOct 21
−7°−4°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Varnamtown weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 3 min; Losing 1 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 9 min less
Golden hour: 5:54–6:43 PM; Morning 7:09–7:59 AM
Blue hour: 6:43–6:53 PM; Morning 6:59–7:09 AM; first light 6:59 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 1–7 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:41 AM · rises 5:23 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Varnamtown. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory