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Observed 4:35 PM CST at KD50

Ambrose, ND weather

Sunny and 46°8°, freeze watch tonight, low 25°−4°.

Today: low 22°−6° (likely 22°−6° to 35°2°), high 47°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°).

Forecasts agree

Now 46°8°

Sunny · Feels like 40°4°

Feels like
40°4°
Wind chill from 16 mph26 km/h wind · air 46°8°
Wind
16 mph26 km/hgusts 25 mph41 km/h
From the west. 711–16 mph26 km/h through 5 AM
Dew point
21°−6°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Pressure
30.24 inHg1024 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.2 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

None rain now, through the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

22°12° cooler than this time yesterday (68°20° then, 46°8° now)

Good hours for
  • Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h until 6 PM
  • Below 40°4° tonight after 7 PM
  • Hard freeze tonight midnight–10 AM (low 25°−4°)
  • Above 30°−1° tomorrow by 9 AM
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night 7 PM–11 AM (low 23°−5°)
  1. TonightDown to 27°−3° by 5 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h · Clear
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 36°2° by 11 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Clear
  3. Tomorrow afternoonNear 39°4° · Clear
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 23°−5° by 5 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Clear
  5. Monday morningUp to 36°2° by 11 AM · freezing, low 23°−5° · Partly cloudy
  6. Monday afternoonNear 40°4° · Partly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 5pSunny45°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)38°3°0%16 mph26 km/h from W, gusts 26 mph42 km/h36%0%1
Sat 6pClear42°6° (likely 41°5° to 42°6°)35°2°0%13 mph21 km/h from W, gusts 20 mph33 km/h43%0%0
Sat 7pClear39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)32°0°0%12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h50%0%0
Sat 8pClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)29°−2°0%12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h54%0%0
Sat 9pClear36°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)28°−2°0%13 mph21 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h54%0%0
Sat 10pClear35°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)27°−3°0%12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph22 km/h56%1%0
Sat 11pClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)25°−4°0%10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h61%3%0
Sun 12aClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)23°−5°0%9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h66%7%0
Sun 1aClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)22°−6°0%8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h69%6%0
Sun 2aPartly cloudy30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)23°−5°0%7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h69%41%0
Sun 3aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 32°0°)22°−6°0%7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h69%39%0
Sun 4aClear28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 31°−1°)21°−6°0%7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h71%41%0
Sun 5aMostly clear27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°)20°−7°0%7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h74%42%0
Sun 6aMostly clear27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 29°−2°)20°−7°0%7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h74%16%0
Sun 7aSunny25°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 29°−2°)18°−8°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h78%15%0
Sun 8aSunny26°−3° (likely 23°−5° to 29°−2°)19°−7°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h81%5%0
Sun 9aSunny31°−1° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)24°−4°0%7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h72%1%1
Sun 10aSunny34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)27°−3°0%8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h61%4%1
Sun 11aSunny36°2° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h52%3%2
Sun 12pSunny38°3° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)32°0°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h46%3%3
Sun 1pSunny39°4° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)33°1°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h42%1%3
Sun 2pSunny40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)35°2°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h39%1%3
Sun 3pSunny41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)36°2°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h37%1%2
Sun 4pSunny41°5° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)36°2°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h39%0%2
Sun 5pSunny40°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)35°2°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h41%0%1
Sun 6pClear35°2° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°)30°−1°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h52%0%0
Sun 7pClear31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°)25°−4°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h63%0%0
Sun 8pClear29°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)22°−6°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h69%0%0
Sun 9pClear29°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 31°−1°)22°−6°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h69%0%0
Sun 10pClear28°−2° (likely 25°−4° to 30°−1°)21°−6°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h71%0%0
Sun 11pClear26°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 29°−2°)18°−8°0%7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h78%0%0
Mon 12aClear25°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 29°−2°)16°−9°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h78%6%0
Mon 1aClear25°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 28°−2°)16°−9°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h78%2%0
Mon 2aMostly clear24°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 27°−3°)14°−10°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h81%14%0
Mon 3aClear24°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 27°−3°)14°−10°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h77%24%0
Mon 4aClear24°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 27°−3°)14°−10°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h77%2%0
Mon 5aMostly clear23°−5° (likely 21°−6° to 27°−3°)13°−11°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h81%14%0
Mon 6aClear23°−5° (likely 21°−6° to 26°−3°)13°−11°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h81%9%0
Mon 7aMostly cloudy23°−5° (likely 20°−7° to 25°−4°)13°−11°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h81%53%0
Mon 8aSunny25°−4° (likely 20°−7° to 26°−3°)16°−9°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h78%40%0
Mon 9aPartly sunny28°−2° (likely 23°−5° to 28°−2°)19°−7°0%10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h75%32%1
Mon 10aPartly sunny32°0° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)23°−5°0%12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h63%47%1
Mon 11aCloudy36°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)28°−2°0%13 mph21 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h54%47%2
Mon 12pPartly sunny39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)31°−1°0%14 mph23 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h46%42%3
Mon 1pPartly sunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)33°1°0%15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h43%37%3
Mon 2pPartly sunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)33°1°0%15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h41%65%3
Mon 3pPartly sunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)33°1°0%15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h41%46%2
Mon 4pPartly sunny40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)32°0°0%14 mph23 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h42%42%2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 47°8°, low 22°−6°. Typical 48°9° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 27°−3°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 22, with temperatures rising to around 28 overnight. West wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    46°8°–47°8°
    Low, likely
    22°−6°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    28 mph45 km/h, gusts 49 mph79 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 41°5°, low 21°−6°. Typical 47°8° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 26°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 29°−2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 23°−5°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 41. North wind around 8 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear. Low around 21, with temperatures rising to around 24 overnight. East wind 6 to 9 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    39°4°–42°6°
    Low, likely
    21°−6°–29°−2°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 25°−4°. Typical 46°8° / 23°−5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 25°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. East wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    42°6°–45°7°
    Low, likely
    20°−7°–26°−3°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 39°4°, low 28°−2°. Typical 46°8° / 23°−5°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 37°3°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 34°1°

      60% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 34°1°

      60% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 28. South wind 8 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    35°2°–39°4°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 44°7°, low 25°−4°. Typical 45°7° / 22°−6°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 35°2°

      40% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 29°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. West wind 12 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. West wind 6 to 10 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    39°4°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    45°7° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    21 mph34 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 43°6°, low 26°−3°. Typical 44°7° / 22°−6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 31°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 43. North wind 6 to 9 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. East wind around 12 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    40°4°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    44°7° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    15 mph23 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 44°7° / 22°−6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. East wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of rain and snow showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. East wind around 10 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    35°2°–48°9°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–40°4°
    Typical high / low
    44°7° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 45°7°, low 35°2°. Typical 43°6° / 21°−6°. Snow 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 38°3°

      20% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 35°2°

      20% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    32°0°–47°8°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    43°6° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 34°1°. Typical 42°6° / 21°−6°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    36°2°–48°9°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    42°6° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    13 mph22 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 33°1°. Typical 42°6° / 20°−7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 38°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    43°6°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    42°6° / 20°−7°
    Wind
    28 mph44 km/h, gusts 47 mph76 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 47°, low 22°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 41°, low 21°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 42°, low 25°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 39–49°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BIS) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 25°−4°

Overnight low near 25°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 65Typical 215

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 21°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Fortuna 1 W · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1963–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
48°9° / 24°−4°
Forecast high / low
47°8° / 22°−6°
Record high
69°21° in 1973
Record low
−3°−19° in 2020

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Ambrose weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:28 AM, sunset 5:46 PM.

Daylight
10 h 18 min
Losing 3 min 22 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 4 min less
Golden hour
5:01–6:06 PM
Morning 7:08–8:13 AM
Blue hour
6:06–6:19 PM
Morning 6:56–7:08 AM; first light 6:56 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:19 PM–2 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:39 AM · rises 4:47 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northeast from Ambrose. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.