Observed 1:00 PM CDT at KGFK

Cavalier, ND weather

Sunny and 48°9°, gusts to 31 mph49 km/h today.

Forecasts agree

Now 48°9°

Sunny · Feels like 42°6°

Feels like: 42°6°; Wind chill from 16 mph26 km/h wind · air 48°9°
Wind: 16 mph26 km/h; From the west. Gusts to 31 mph49 km/h around 2 PM
Dew point: 34°1°; Dry · down to 25°−4° by 5 PM
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.19 inHg1022 hPa; Rising · +0.09 inHg+3.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Gusts to 31 mph50 km/h until 5 PM
High 52°11° today at 3 PM
Low 32°0° tomorrow at 8 AM
Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h tomorrow 11 AM–noon
Hard freeze tomorrow night 10 PM–11 AM (low 24°−4°)

This afternoonNear 50°10° · gusts to 31 mph50 km/h · Clear
TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 41°5° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 44°7° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 25°−4° by 4 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Clear
Monday morningUp to 33°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1p	Sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from WNW, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	52%	3%	2
Sat 2p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	18 mph29 km/h from W, gusts 31 mph49 km/h	42%	0%	2
Sat 3p	Sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from W, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	38%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from W, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	36%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	46°8°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from W, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	36%	0%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	38%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from WSW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	46%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from WSW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	33°1°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	55%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	32°0°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	31°−1°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	59%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	30°−1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	61%	2%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	31°−1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	61%	3%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	30°−1°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	63%	6%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	65%	9%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	65%	11%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	27°−3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	69%	11%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	26°−3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	71%	11%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	26°−3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	73%	9%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	25°−4°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from WNW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	71%	6%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	25°−4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from WNW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	70%	3%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NW, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	59%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	34°1°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	55%	2%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	36°2°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NW, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	49%	2%	2
Sun 1p	Sunny	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from NNW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	43%	40%	3
Sun 2p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNW, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	40%	40%	3
Sun 3p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NNW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	40%	40%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NNW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	40%	6%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	41%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	44%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	64%	6%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	69%	40%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	26°−3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	78%	40%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)	26°−3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	81%	40%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	88%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	23°−5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	92%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 25°−4° to 30°−1°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 29°−2°)	26°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 24°−4° to 29°−2°)	21°−6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	18%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 29°−2°)	20°−7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	21%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 23°−5° to 29°−2°)	20°−7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	31%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 29°−2°)	20°−7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	36%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly cloudy	24°−4° (likely 21°−6° to 30°−1°)	20°−7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	99%	9%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 22°−6° to 31°−1°)	23°−5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	95%	43%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	72%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	88%	75%	1
Mon 12p	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	76%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 32°0°. Typical 47°8° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 52. West wind 14 to 20 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 32, with temperatures rising to around 34 overnight. West wind 8 to 12 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
52°11°–63°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–43°6°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 29°−2°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 44 mph71 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 46°8°, low 24°−4°. Typical 46°8° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 25°−4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 46. Northwest wind 8 to 13 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 24. North wind 2 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Low, likely
24°−4°–33°1°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 28°−2°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 27°−3°. Typical 46°8° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 24°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 34°1°
  30% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 42. North northeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
Night: A slight chance of snow after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 27. East northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
41°5°–44°7°
Low, likely
22°−6°–28°−2°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 28°−2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 44°7°, low 34°1°. Typical 45°7° / 27°−3°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 36°2°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 42°6°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before 7am, then a chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 44. East northeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 34. East southeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Low, likely
31°−1°–35°2°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 27°−3°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 49°9°, low 30°−1°. Typical 44°7° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. West southwest wind 6 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of rain before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. West northwest wind around 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–55°13°
Low, likely
30°−1°–42°6°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 27°−3°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
1
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 47°8°, low 30°−1°. Typical 44°7° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. West northwest wind around 8 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. North northwest wind around 6 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–58°14°
Low, likely
28°−2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 26°−3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 48°9°, low 32°0°. Typical 43°6° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 48. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. South southeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Low, likely
32°0°–43°6°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 26°−3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 48°9°, low 41°5°. Typical 43°6° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–55°13°
Low, likely
36°2°–46°8°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 25°−4°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 49°9°, low 39°4°. Typical 42°6° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–58°14°
Low, likely
31°−1°–49°9°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 25°−4°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 39°4°. Typical 41°5° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–57°14°
Low, likely
30°−1°–49°9°
Typical high / low
41°5° / 24°−4°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 52°, low 32°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 46°, low 24°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 42°, low 27°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 44–52°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tongue River (ND) at Akra

5.7 mi

Level: 7.7 ft
Flow: 54 cfs

Reading from Sat 12 PM · NWS gauge page

Pembina River at Neche

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 115 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Pembina River at Walhalla

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft
Flow: 96 cfs

Reading from Sat 11 AM · NWS gauge page

Little South Pembina River near Walhalla

18 mi

Level: 0.9 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 73% less heating than a typical week.

This week 55Typical 202

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 42
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 34°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Cavalier 7nw · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1934–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 10°5° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+11°+6°SunOct 18
+5°+3°MonOct 19
+5°+3°TueOct 20
+14°+8°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
+14°+8°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Cavalier weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 19 min; Losing 3 min 26 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 3 min less
Golden hour: 5:39–6:43 PM; Morning 7:44–8:49 AM
Blue hour: 6:43–6:56 PM; Morning 7:32–7:44 AM; first light 7:32 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:56 PM–7:34 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:14 AM · rises 5:24 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Cavalier. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,600 ft, 20 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.