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  • Wind Advisory

    Ends in 13 min

    When
    Until 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ this morning.
    Where
    Central North Dakota, including the James River Valley.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Bismarck ND

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    West to northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

    Impacts

    Things left unsecured outside will be blown around.

    Precautionary actions

    Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

    Areas: Renville; Bottineau; Rolette; McHenry; Pierce; Mercer; Oliver; Sheridan; Wells; Foster; Burleigh; Kidder; Stutsman; Grant; Emmons; Logan; McIntosh; Northwest Ward; Central and Southern Ward/Minot Area; Western McLean; Eastern McLean; Western Morton; Eastern Morton; Western Sioux; Eastern Sioux

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 8:54 AM CDT at KN60

Mercer, ND weather

Windy and 39°4°, gusts to 37 mph59 km/h today.

Today: low 27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 38°3°), high 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 62°17°).

Forecasts differ

Now 39°4°

Windy · Feels like 29°−2°

Feels like
29°−2°
Wind chill from 21 mph33 km/h wind · air 39°4°
Wind
21 mph33 km/hgusts 37 mph59 km/h
From the west-northwest. Easing to 9 mph14 km/h by 7 PM
Dew point
28°−2°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 3

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

13°7° cooler than this time yesterday (52°11° then, 39°4° now)

Good hours for
  • Gusts to 41 mph66 km/h until 2 PM
  • High 49°9° today at 3 PM
  • Below 40°4° tonight after 9 PM
  • Hard freeze tonight 3–10 AM (low 27°−3°)
  • Hard freeze tomorrow night from 1 AM (low 28°−2°)
  1. This morningUp to 44°7° by 11 AM · gusts to 41 mph66 km/h · Partly cloudy
  2. This afternoonNear 47°8° · gusts to 32 mph51 km/h · Clear
  3. TonightDown to 29°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Partly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 39°4° by 11 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 46°8° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 29°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Partly cloudy
  7. Monday morningNear 29°−2° · freezing, low 28°−2° · Cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 9aPartly sunny39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)29°−2°0%22 mph35 km/h from W, gusts 41 mph66 km/h67%57%0
Sat 10aSunny42°6° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)33°1°0%20 mph32 km/h from W, gusts 37 mph59 km/h60%20%0
Sat 11aSunny44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)36°2°0%17 mph27 km/h from W, gusts 32 mph52 km/h53%13%1
Sat 12pSunny46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)40°4°0%15 mph24 km/h from W, gusts 32 mph51 km/h45%6%2
Sat 1pSunny47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)41°5°0%16 mph26 km/h from W, gusts 29 mph46 km/h42%1%2
Sat 2pSunny48°9° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)41°5°0%20 mph32 km/h from W, gusts 25 mph40 km/h40%0%2
Sat 3pSunny49°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)43°6°0%18 mph29 km/h from W, gusts 23 mph37 km/h37%0%2
Sat 4pSunny49°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)43°6°0%17 mph27 km/h from W, gusts 23 mph37 km/h34%0%1
Sat 5pSunny48°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)42°6°0%16 mph26 km/h from W, gusts 20 mph32 km/h34%0%1
Sat 6pSunny46°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)40°4°0%13 mph21 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph28 km/h37%0%0
Sat 7pClear43°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)38°3°0%9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h45%27%0
Sat 8pClear40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)35°2°0%8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h50%44%0
Sat 9pMostly clear39°4° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)34°1°0%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h52%49%0
Sat 10pMostly clear38°3° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)33°1°0%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h57%25%0
Sat 11pClear37°3° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)32°0°0%6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h59%19%0
Sun 12aClear36°2° (likely 30°−1° to 39°4°)32°0°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h61%22%0
Sun 1aClear34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h69%20%0
Sun 2aCloudy33°1° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)29°−2°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h72%57%0
Sun 3aCloudy32°0° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)29°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h72%59%0
Sun 4aCloudy31°−1° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)28°−2°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h75%59%0
Sun 5aClear29°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h81%24%0
Sun 6aClear28°−2° (likely 24°−4° to 34°1°)24°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h81%20%0
Sun 7aClear27°−3° (likely 23°−5° to 34°1°)23°−5°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h81%18%0
Sun 8aSunny27°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 34°1°)23°−5°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h81%12%0
Sun 9aSunny29°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)25°−4°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h78%5%0
Sun 10aSunny34°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h69%0%1
Sun 11aSunny39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)34°1°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h54%40%2
Sun 12pSunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)36°2°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h46%40%3
Sun 1pSunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)39°4°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h41%40%3
Sun 2pSunny45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)41°5°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h38%41%3
Sun 3pCloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)42°6°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h37%58%3
Sun 4pCloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)42°6°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h37%62%2
Sun 5pCloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)41°5°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h38%62%2
Sun 6pCloudy43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)38°3°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h41%61%1
Sun 7pPartly cloudy40°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)35°2°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h50%42%0
Sun 8pClear37°3° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)32°0°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h56%40%0
Sun 9pPartly cloudy35°2° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)29°−2°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h61%32%0
Sun 10pClear34°1° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)27°−3°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h66%38%0
Sun 11pMostly cloudy33°1° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)26°−3°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h69%46%0
Mon 12aMostly cloudy33°1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)26°−3°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h69%35%0
Mon 1aMostly cloudy32°0° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)25°−4°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h72%62%0
Mon 2aCloudy31°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)24°−4°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h75%58%0
Mon 3aCloudy31°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)24°−4°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h72%72%0
Mon 4aPartly cloudy30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)22°−6°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h75%56%0
Mon 5aCloudy29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 32°0°)21°−6°0%8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h75%78%0
Mon 6aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)19°−7°0%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h75%91%0
Mon 7aCloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)19°−7°5%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h75%99%0
Mon 8aCloudy29°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 32°0°)20°−7°5%9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h75%99%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 27°−3°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny. High near 50, with temperatures falling to around 48 in the afternoon. West wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 27, with temperatures rising to around 29 overnight. West wind 3 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    50°10°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    26 mph42 km/h, gusts 47 mph75 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 48°9°, low 26°−3°. Typical 50°10° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny. High near 48, with temperatures falling to around 45 in the afternoon. North wind 3 to 8 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northeast wind around 8 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    46°8°–49°9°
    Low, likely
    23°−5°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    50°10° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 43°6°, low 25°−4°. Typical 49°9° / 27°−3°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 5% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 29°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 37°3°

      40% chance · 0.5 in1.3 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 32°0°

      40% chance · 0.5 in1.1 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 43. East wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain showers between 7pm and 1am, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. East wind around 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    38°3°–43°6°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–31°−1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 45°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 49°9° / 27°−3°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 33°0°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 39°4°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 37°3°

      20% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow showers before 7am, then a slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. East wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    38°3°–45°7°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    49°9° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 49°9°, low 27°−3°. Typical 48°9° / 26°−3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 51°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Southwest wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. West wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    17 mph28 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 48°9°, low 29°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 33°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 49°10°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 36°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. North wind 6 to 10 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. East wind around 9 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    48°9° / 26°−3°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 49°9°, low 31°−1°. Typical 47°8° / 25°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    44°7°–50°10°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    47°8° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    20 mph31 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 49°9°, low 41°5°. Typical 46°8° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    41°5°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 25°−4°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 48°9°, low 38°3°. Typical 46°8° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    40°4°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    46°8° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    18 mph29 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Mostly sunny. High 50°10°, low 37°3°. Typical 45°7° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 45°7°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    47°8°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    45°7° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    14 mph22 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 50°, low 27°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 48°, low 26°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 43°, low 25°, cooling off.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 45–50°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BIS) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 72% less heating than a typical week.

This week 54Typical 191

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
43
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 2 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Turtle Lake · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1913–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
50°10° / 28°−2°
Forecast high / low
50°10° / 27°−3°
Record high
76°24° in 1927
Record low
8°−13° in 1919

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 11°6° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +13°+7°SunOct 18
  2. +4°+2°MonOct 19
  3. +6°+3°TueOct 20
  4. +13°+7°WedOct 21
  5. +8°+4°ThuOct 22
  6. +20°+11°FriOct 23
  7. +18°+10°SatOct 24

Mercer weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 8:14 AM, sunset 6:38 PM.

Daylight
10 h 24 min
Losing 3 min 17 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 57 min less
Golden hour
5:55–6:57 PM
Morning 7:55–8:58 AM
Blue hour
6:57–7:09 PM
Morning 7:43–7:55 AM; first light 7:43 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10 PM–2 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:26 AM · rises 5:39 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northwest from Mercer. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,400 ft, 5 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.