Observed 11:55 AM CDT at K06D

Shell Valley, ND weather

Sunny and 43°6°, gusts to 34 mph55 km/h today.

Forecasts differ

Now 43°6°

Sunny · Feels like 35°2°

Feels like: 35°2°; Wind chill from 16 mph26 km/h wind · air 43°6°
Wind: 16 mph26 km/hgusts 26 mph42 km/h; From the west. 914–20 mph32 km/h through 1 AM
Dew point: 27°−3°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.13 inHg1020 hPa; Rising · +0.06 inHg+2.1 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

18°10° cooler than this time yesterday (61°16° then, 43°6° now)

Good hours for

Gusts to 38 mph61 km/h until 7 PM
High 47°8° today at 5 PM
Hard freeze tomorrow 4–10 AM (low 28°−2°)
Low 28°−2° tomorrow at 8 AM
Hard freeze tomorrow night 9 PM–11 AM (low 24°−4°)

This afternoonUp to 47°8° by 5 PM · gusts to 38 mph61 km/h · Clear
TonightDown to 31°−1° by 5 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 37°3° by 11 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 42°6° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 24°−4° by 5 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Clear
Monday morningUp to 33°1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 24°−4° · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	34°1°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from W, gusts 38 mph61 km/h	51%	9%	2
Sat 2p	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from W, gusts 34 mph55 km/h	47%	1%	2
Sat 3p	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	38°3°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from W, gusts 32 mph51 km/h	41%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	39°4°	0%	17 mph27 km/h from W, gusts 31 mph49 km/h	38%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from W, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	37%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Sunny	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	16 mph26 km/h from W, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	41%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	48%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	50%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	37°3° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	29°−2°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	56%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	37°3° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	29°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	56%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	36°2° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	34°1° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)	27°−3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	33°1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	32°0° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	25°−4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 26°−3° to 33°1°)	23°−5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 24°−4° to 32°0°)	23°−5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	28°−2° (likely 23°−5° to 31°−1°)	22°−6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	1%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	29°−2° (likely 23°−5° to 33°1°)	23°−5°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	75%	2%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	27°−3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	66%	2%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	56%	2%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	52%	2%	2
Sun 1p	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	48%	1%	3
Sun 2p	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	35°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	46%	1%	3
Sun 3p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	36°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	43%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	36°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	41%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	43%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Sunny	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	48%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	31°−1° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)	26°−3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	25°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	75%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	29°−2° (likely 25°−4° to 31°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	78%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°)	24°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	75%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 23°−5° to 29°−2°)	23°−5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	78%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 23°−5° to 28°−2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	81%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 23°−5° to 26°−3°)	20°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	81%	18%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 26°−3°)	19°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	84%	20%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 22°−6° to 26°−3°)	18°−8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	88%	21%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 21°−6° to 26°−3°)	18°−8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	88%	21%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 21°−6° to 26°−3°)	18°−8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	88%	23%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	25°−4° (likely 21°−6° to 28°−2°)	19°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	88%	34%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	28°−2° (likely 21°−6° to 29°−2°)	22°−6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	81%	38%	0
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	30°−1° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	23°−5°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	78%	21%	1
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)	26°−3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	69%	46%	2
Mon 12p	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	28°−2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	64%	72%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 47°8°, low 28°−2°. Typical 48°9° / 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 47. West wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 28, with temperatures rising to around 31 overnight. West wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–61°16°
Low, likely
28°−2°–38°3°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 26°−3°
Wind
31 mph49 km/h, gusts 49 mph78 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 43°6°, low 23°−5°. Typical 48°9° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 24°−4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 43, with temperatures falling to around 41 in the afternoon. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 23. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
42°6°–45°7°
Low, likely
23°−5°–29°−2°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 26°−3°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 40°4°, low 24°−4°. Typical 47°8° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 25°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 31°−1°
  30% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 40. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. East wind around 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
39°4°–41°5°
Low, likely
21°−6°–25°−4°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 26°−3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 41°5°, low 30°−1°. Typical 47°8° / 25°−4°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 32°0°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 36°2°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. East wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Low, likely
30°−1°–32°0°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 25°−4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
1
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 44°7°, low 27°−3°. Typical 46°8° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 35°2°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 40°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Southwest wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. West wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–50°10°
Low, likely
27°−3°–38°3°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 24°−4°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 43°6°, low 27°−3°. Typical 45°7° / 24°−4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 43. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Northeast wind around 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Low, likely
26°−3°–34°1°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 24°−4°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 43°6°, low 29°−2°. Typical 45°7° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 43. East wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–52°11°
Low, likely
28°−2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 24°−4°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
1
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 43°6°, low 36°2°. Typical 44°7° / 23°−5°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–52°11°
Low, likely
30°−1°–44°7°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 23°−5°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 44°7°, low 35°2°. Typical 44°7° / 23°−5°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
39°4°–52°11°
Low, likely
31°−1°–43°6°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 23°−5°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Mostly sunny. High 49°9°, low 33°1°. Typical 43°6° / 22°−6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
45°7°–51°11°
Low, likely
26°−3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 22°−6°
Wind
24 mph38 km/h, gusts 43 mph69 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 47°, low 28°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 43°, low 23°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 40°, low 24°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 41–49°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BIS) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

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Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 60Typical 205

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 1 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 27°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Belcourt Keya Radio · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+8°+4°SunOct 18
+3°+2°MonOct 19
+3°+1°TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Shell Valley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 19 min; Losing 3 min 22 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 3 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:52 PM; Morning 7:53–8:58 AM
Blue hour: 6:52–7:04 PM; Morning 7:41–7:53 AM; first light 7:41 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 7:04 PM–7:42 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:24 AM · rises 5:33 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Shell Valley. The highest point on the skyline is about 5,100 ft, 3 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.