Wind Advisory
Ends in 3 h 16 min
When
Until 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ this morning.
Where
Central North Dakota, including the James River Valley.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Bismarck ND
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
West to northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.
Impacts
Things left unsecured outside will be blown around.
Precautionary actions
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Areas: Renville; Bottineau; Rolette; McHenry; Pierce; Mercer; Oliver; Sheridan; Wells; Foster; Burleigh; Kidder; Stutsman; Grant; Emmons; Logan; McIntosh; Northwest Ward; Central and Southern Ward/Minot Area; Western McLean; Eastern McLean; Western Morton; Eastern Morton; Western Sioux; Eastern Sioux
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 5:55 AM CDT at KMIB

Tolley, ND weather

Overcast and 42°5°, gusts to 43 mph69 km/h today.

Forecasts differ

Now 42°5°

Cloudy

Feels like: 31°−1°; Wind chill from 29 mph47 km/h wind · air 42°5°
Wind: 29 mph47 km/hgusts 44 mph70 km/h; From the west. Easing to 15 mph24 km/h by 6 PM
Dew point: 33°0°; Dry · down to 24°−4° by 1 PM
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–4 PM · peak 3

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Gusts to 44 mph71 km/h until 6 PM
High 48°9° today at 4 PM
Below 40°4° tonight after 9 PM
Hard freeze tonight 2–11 AM (low 25°−4°)
Hard freeze tomorrow night from 8 PM (low 22°−6°)

This morningNear 40°4° · gusts to 44 mph71 km/h · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 48°9° by 4 PM · gusts to 38 mph61 km/h · Clear
TonightDown to 28°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 35°2° by 11 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 43°6° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 22°−6° by 5 AM · freezing, low 22°−6° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 6a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	27°−3°	0%	29 mph47 km/h from W, gusts 44 mph70 km/h	76%	97%	0
Sat 7a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	25°−4°	0%	29 mph47 km/h from W, gusts 43 mph69 km/h	75%	100%	0
Sat 8a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	23°−5°	0%	30 mph48 km/h from W, gusts 43 mph69 km/h	72%	88%	0
Sat 9a	Partly sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 38°3°)	23°−5°	0%	30 mph48 km/h from W, gusts 42 mph68 km/h	69%	73%	0
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	25°−4°	0%	30 mph48 km/h from W, gusts 39 mph63 km/h	65%	21%	0
Sat 11a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	28°−2°	0%	30 mph48 km/h from W, gusts 39 mph62 km/h	59%	14%	1
Sat 12p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	31°−1°	0%	29 mph47 km/h from W, gusts 38 mph61 km/h	53%	10%	1
Sat 1p	Sunny	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	35°2°	0%	25 mph40 km/h from W, gusts 34 mph55 km/h	45%	5%	2
Sat 2p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	25 mph40 km/h from W, gusts 33 mph54 km/h	40%	0%	2
Sat 3p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	24 mph39 km/h from W, gusts 34 mph54 km/h	37%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	22 mph35 km/h from W, gusts 32 mph51 km/h	34%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from W, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	35%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from W, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	37%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	46%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	33°1°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	50%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	31°−1°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	54%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	28°−2°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	27°−3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	26°−3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	24°−4°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	23°−5°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	69%	4%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	21°−6°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	72%	6%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	20°−7°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	75%	40%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 33°1°)	19°−7°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	74%	40%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly clear	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	17°−8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	81%	42%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	17°−8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	81%	50%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly sunny	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 32°0°)	18°−8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	81%	30%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	75%	6%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	29°−2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	64%	3%	1
Sun 12p	Sunny	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	56%	3%	2
Sun 1p	Sunny	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	48%	2%	3
Sun 2p	Sunny	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	44%	2%	3
Sun 3p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	43%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	39%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	43%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	46%	0%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	29°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	29°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 32°0°)	24°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	28°−2° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°)	23°−5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	85%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 24°−4° to 30°−1°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	85%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 23°−5° to 30°−1°)	20°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	85%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	25°−4° (likely 21°−6° to 32°0°)	19°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	84%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	24°−4° (likely 21°−6° to 31°−1°)	18°−8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	88%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	23°−5° (likely 20°−7° to 31°−1°)	17°−8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	88%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	22°−6° (likely 19°−7° to 30°−1°)	16°−9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	88%	14%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 49°9°, low 25°−4°. Typical 48°9° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 28°−2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 47 in the afternoon. West wind 20 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 25, with temperatures rising to around 28 overnight. West wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–58°14°
Low, likely
25°−4°–38°3°
Typical high / low
48°9° / 27°−3°
Wind
31 mph50 km/h, gusts 51 mph82 km/h
UV peak
3
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 44°7°, low 20°−7°. Typical 47°8° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 25°−4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 22°−6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 44, with temperatures falling to around 42 in the afternoon. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 20. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
40°4°–44°7°
Low, likely
20°−7°–29°−2°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 26°−3°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 23°−5°. Typical 47°8° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 23°−5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 29°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. East wind 5 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
39°4°–42°6°
Low, likely
18°−8°–27°−3°
Typical high / low
47°8° / 26°−3°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 46°8° / 25°−4°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 36°2°
  50% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 35°1°
  40% chance · 0.4 in0.9 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 43. Southeast wind around 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Southeast wind around 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
35°2°–43°6°
Low, likely
26°−3°–32°0°
Typical high / low
46°8° / 25°−4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 46°8°, low 24°−4°. Typical 45°7° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 35°2°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. West wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–51°11°
Low, likely
24°−4°–36°2°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 25°−4°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 44°7°, low 24°−4°. Typical 45°7° / 24°−4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 44. Northwest wind around 8 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–48°9°
Low, likely
24°−4°–33°1°
Typical high / low
45°7° / 24°−4°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
1
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 45°7°, low 27°−3°. Typical 44°7° / 24°−4°. Snow 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain and snow showers between 7am and 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Southeast wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Low, likely
27°−3°–35°2°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 24°−4°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 44°7°, low 39°4°. Typical 44°7° / 24°−4°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
39°4°–53°12°
Low, likely
34°1°–47°8°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 24°−4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 45°7°, low 35°2°. Typical 43°6° / 23°−5°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
35°2°–51°11°
Low, likely
25°−4°–41°5°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 23°−5°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 37°3°. Typical 42°6° / 23°−5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–54°12°
Low, likely
33°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 23°−5°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 49°, low 25°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 44°, low 20°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 42°, low 23°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 43–49°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BIS) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Souris River near Sherwood

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1610 ft
Flow: 196 cfs

Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page

Souris River at Lake Darling

22 mi

Level: 1598 ft

Reading from Sat 5 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 59Typical 206

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 46
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 2 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 33°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Kenmare 1 Wsw · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1933–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Tolley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 19 min; Losing 3 min 22 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 3 min less
Golden hour: 5:56–7:00 PM; Morning 8:01–9:06 AM
Blue hour: 7:00–7:12 PM; Morning 7:49–8:01 AM; first light 7:49 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 98% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:32 AM · rises 5:41 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Tolley. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Wind Advisory