Muddy Creek at Arapahoe
0.7 mi- Level
- 4.5 ft
- Flow
- 9 cfs
Reading from Sat 1:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 3:15 AM CDT at KHDE
Stormy and 66°19°, rain ~7 AM (44%).
Today: low 60°16° (likely 46°8° to 60°16°), high 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°).
Now 66°19°
Thunderstorms
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 3a | Partly cloudy | 66°19° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°) | 66°19° | 10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 65% | 38% | 0 |
| Sat 4a | Showers | 64°18° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°) | 64°18° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 73% | 84% | 0 |
| Sat 5a | Showers | 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°) | 63°17° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph35 km/h | 75% | 86% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Showers | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°) | 61°16° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 84% | 88% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 61°16° | 40%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 84% | 95% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 40%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 87% | 96% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 30%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 90% | 82% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Showers | 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 63°17° | 30%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 87% | 80% | 0 |
| Sat 11a | Showers | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°) | 63°17° | 30%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 87% | 93% | 1 |
| Sat 12p | Showers | 63°17° (likely 58°14° to 66°19°) | 63°17° | 30%, 0.09 in2.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 81% | 99% | 1 |
| Sat 1p | Showers | 61°16° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 61°16° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 81% | 100% | 1 |
| Sat 2p | Showers | 59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from N, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 80% | 100% | 2 |
| Sat 3p | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 80% | 100% | 1 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h | 77% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 5p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 77% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 83% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Showers | 51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Showers | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 44°7° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 93% | 97% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Partly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 96% | 76% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Showers | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 42°6° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 100% | 85% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 41°5° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 100% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 41°5° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 100% | 84% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 41°5° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 100% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 100% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 100% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 100% | 84% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 100% | 88% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 100% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 85% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 39°4° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 100% | 85% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 42°6° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 100% | 89% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 93% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°) | 52°11° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 87% | 1 |
| Sun 12p | Showers | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°) | 55°13° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 93% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 70%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 90% | 100% | 1 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 54°12° to 64°18°) | 56°13° | 70%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 96% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 3p | Showers | 58°14° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°) | 58°14° | 70%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 93% | 99% | 1 |
| Sun 4p | Showers | 59°15° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 59°15° | 70%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 93% | 97% | 0 |
| Sun 5p | Showers | 60°16° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°) | 60°16° | 80%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 90% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 6p | Showers | 60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 90%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 90% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 100%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 93% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Rain | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 100%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Rain | 56°13° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 56°13° | 100%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Rain | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 55°13° | 100%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Rain | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 55°13° | 100%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Drizzle | 55°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°) | 55°13° | 100%, 0.36 in9.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Rain | 55°13° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 55°13° | 90%, 0.27 in6.9 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 21 mph35 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Drizzle | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 54°12° | 90%, 0.27 in6.9 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.46 in12 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of rain showers before 7am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. East wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers after 4am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 60, with temperatures rising to around 63 overnight. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
80% chance · 1.4 in36 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
100% chance · 2.1 in53 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
100% chance · 1 in26 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 61. East northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Night: Rain showers before 7pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 49. East southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
80% chance · 0.12 in2.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
70% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 7am. Sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.07 in1.9 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
44% chance of rain, high 65°, low 60°.
80% chance of rain, high 61°, low 49°, cooling off.
92% chance of rain, high 62°, low 39°.
Mostly dry, highs 58–70°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (GID) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 1:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 1:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 1:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 2:15 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 82% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.
Dry air outside (dew point 53°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.
Arapahoe weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 8:00 AM, sunset 6:46 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 78% cover).
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing