Freeze Warning
Starts in 51 min
When
From 10 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Sunday.
Where
Mercer, Western Monmouth, Middlesex, Atlantic, Cumberland, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, and Southeastern Burlington Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 degrees and widespread frost expected.
Impacts
Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Precautionary actions
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Areas: Middlesex; Western Monmouth; Mercer; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Cumberland; Atlantic; Southeastern Burlington
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 8:55 PM EDT at KACY

Estell Manor, NJ weather

Freeze Warning. 43°6° and clear now.

Forecasts agree

Now 43°6°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 9 AM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 50Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.7 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 32°0° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
High 65°18° tomorrow at 2 PM
Drops 12°7° tomorrow 5–8 PM (63°17° → 51°11°)
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 8 PM

TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 67°19° by 3 PM · Clear
Monday nightDown to 53°12° by 8 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	21%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	36%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	14%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	18%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	82%	8%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	66%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	55%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	48%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	43%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	40%	1%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	41%	2%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	43%	2%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	48%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	59%	1%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	2%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	4%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	96%	4%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	3%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	18%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	89%	32%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	74%	18%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	67%	1%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	58%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	54%	4%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	52%	6%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	50%	0%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	50%	0%	2
Mon 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	54%	0%	1
Mon 6p	Clear	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	62%	0%	0
Mon 7p	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	72%	0%	0
Mon 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 32°0°. Typical 65°18° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Widespread frost after 10pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Southeast wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–63°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–38°3°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 43°6°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 37°3°. Typical 64°18° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Widespread frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 66. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Patchy frost after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Southwest wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
37°3°–38°3°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 43°6°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 64°18° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–67°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 43°6°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 64°18° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 42°6°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–63°17°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 42°6°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 49°9°. Typical 63°17° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–68°20°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 42°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
71°22°–73°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 62°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–52°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 41°5°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 62°17° / 41°5°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 60°16°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 69°20°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
57°14°–67°19°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 40 mph64 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 32°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 37°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 67°, low 46°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PHI) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Great Egg Harbor Bay at Ocean City (IN MLLW)

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.8 ft

Forecast peak 5.0 ft Tue 9 AM

Reading from Sat 7:24 PM · NWS gauge page

Maurice River at Bivalve (IN MLLW)

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 6.9 ft

Forecast peak 7.3 ft Sun 9 AM

Reading from Sat 8:06 PM · NWS gauge page

Tuckahoe River at Tuckahoe

4.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.9 ft

Reading from Sat 7:20 PM · NWS gauge page

Sluice Creek at S. Dennis (IN MLLW)

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.6 ft

Reading from Sat 7:24 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 62% less heating than a typical week.

This week 32Typical 84

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 19 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Atlantic City International Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1943–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−5°−3°MonOct 19
±0°TueOct 20
±0°WedOct 21
+1°±0°ThuOct 22
−7°−4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Estell Manor weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 49 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 25 min less
Golden hour: 5:30–6:24 PM; Morning 7:01–7:55 AM
Blue hour: 6:24–6:34 PM; Morning 6:51–7:01 AM; first light 6:51 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 1–6:52 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:30 AM · rises 5:03 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Estell Manor. The highest point on the skyline is about 900 ft, 16 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Freeze Warning

Estell Manor, NJ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Great Egg Harbor Bay at Ocean City (IN MLLW)

Maurice River at Bivalve (IN MLLW)

Tuckahoe River at Tuckahoe

Sluice Creek at S. Dennis (IN MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon