Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 8 h 56 min
When
Until 6 PM EDT this evening.
Where
In Delaware, Inland Sussex and Delaware Beaches. In New Jersey, Ocean and Coastal Ocean.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected.
Additional details
Water remains trapped in the back bays where we expect minor flooding to continue. Levels are slowly lowering.
Precautionary actions
A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood.
Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to costly repairs.
Visit the National Water Prediction Service at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/phi for additional water level and flood impact information for your local tide gauge.
Areas: Inland Sussex; Delaware Beaches; Ocean; Coastal Ocean
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 8:50 AM EDT at KBLM

Forked River, NJ weather

Sunny and 41°5°.

Mostly agree

Now 41°5°

Sunny · Feels like 37°3°

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the west-northwest. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 9 PM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
Humidity: 93%; Air 41°5°, dew point 39°4° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 53Moderate; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.3 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

13°7° cooler than this time yesterday (50°10° then, 37°3° now)

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 10 AM
High 59°15° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 37°3° tomorrow at 6 AM

This morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
This afternoonNear 58°14° · Clear
TonightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningNear 39°4° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9a	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	55%	0
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	74%	58%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	64%	27%	2
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	57%	14%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	55%	6%	3
Sat 2p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	1%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	51%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	53%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	55%	2%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	59%	4%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	69%	8%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	77%	9%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	79%	7%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	82%	3%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	89%	1%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	92%	8%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	92%	6%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	92%	3%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	92%	4%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	92%	4%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	89%	3%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	82%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	64%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	53%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	47%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	44%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	41%	1%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	44%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	46%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	49%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	89%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	1%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	89%	2%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	1%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	89%	1%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	1%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	92%	1%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	1%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	92%	1%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	1%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (2024–2026)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 60°16°, low 35°2°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy frost before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 60. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy frost after 10pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 35. Northeast wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 64°18°, low 36°2°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 64. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 36. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
36°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 67°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67. West wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
38°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 58°14°, low 41°5°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
41°5°–52°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 61°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–71°22°
Low, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 53°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–69°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 57°14°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–73°23°
Low, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 36°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 67°, low 46°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 58–69°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PHI) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Barnegat Bay at Barnegat Light (IN MLLW)

5.8 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 3.6 ft

Forecast peak 2.9 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page

Barnegat Bay at Waretown (IN MLLW)

3.9 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 2.2 ft

Reading from Sat 7:36 AM · NWS gauge page

Watson Creek at Manasquan (IN MLLW)

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.4 ft

Forecast peak 4.8 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page

Barnegat Bay near Bayshore (IN MLLW)

9.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft

Reading from Sat 7:24 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 32Typical 104

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 24
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 17 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Ocean County Airport · forecast.blue computed averages, 2024–2026 · records 2024–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Toms River station, 1887–2011: records and averages

This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 64°18°, over its full 1887–2011 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.

Forked River weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 48 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 27 min less
Golden hour: 5:27–6:21 PM; Morning 6:59–7:54 AM
Blue hour: 6:21–6:32 PM; Morning 6:49–6:59 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:32 PM–6:50 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:28 AM · rises 5:00 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Forked River. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory