Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 1 h 39 min
When
Until 6 PM EDT this evening.
Where
In Delaware, Inland Sussex and Delaware Beaches. In New Jersey, Ocean and Coastal Ocean.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected.
Additional details
Water remains trapped in the back bays where we expect minor flooding to continue. Levels are slowly lowering.
Precautionary actions
A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood.
Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to costly repairs.
Visit the National Water Prediction Service at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/phi for additional water level and flood impact information for your local tide gauge.
Areas: Inland Sussex; Delaware Beaches; Ocean; Coastal Ocean
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Frost Advisory
Starts in 7 h 39 min
When
From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Sunday.
Where
Portions of central, northern, and southern New Jersey.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Temperatures as low as 32 degrees will result in frost formation.
Impacts
Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
Precautionary actions
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Areas: Middlesex; Western Monmouth; Eastern Monmouth; Mercer; Salem; Gloucester; Camden; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Cumberland; Atlantic; Cape May; Southeastern Burlington
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 4:00 PM EDT at KBLM

Leisure Village, NJ weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the east-southeast. Light through 4 AM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 27Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.53 inHg1034 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−1.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° warmer than this time yesterday (59°15° then, 63°17° now)

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 35°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
High 65°18° tomorrow at 2 PM

This afternoonNear 61°16° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 68°20° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	46%	39%	2
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	47%	29%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly clear	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	55%	54%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	68%	31%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	10%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	82%	16%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	89%	16%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	15%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	14%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	96%	6%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	15%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	8%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	10%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	11%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	2%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	59%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	49%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	38%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	35%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	37%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	40%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	43%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	96%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	10%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	8%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	86%	10%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	69%	6%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	60%	9%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	52%	9%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	48%	0%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	47%	0%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	45%	0%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (2024–2026)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 35°2°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy frost after 4am. Clear, with a low around 35. Southwest wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
35°2°–37°3°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 38°3°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
35°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. West wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
36°2°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 61°16°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 61.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
43°6°–52°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 61°16°, low 46°8°. Typical 61°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
39°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 49°9°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–69°21°
Low, likely
48°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 55°13°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.23 in5.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–72°22°
Low, likely
52°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 60°16°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.75 in19 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.23 in5.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 70°21°
  20% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.33 in8.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–74°23°
Low, likely
57°14°–66°19°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 38°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 46°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 61–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PHI) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Watson Creek at Manasquan (IN MLLW)

8.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft

Forecast peak 4.8 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

North Branch Metedeconk River at Lakewood

3.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.0 ft
Flow: 43 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Toms River at Toms River

4.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.6 ft
Flow: 114 cfs

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Barnegat Bay at Mantoloking (IN MLLW)

7.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.4 ft

Reading from Sat 3:06 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 104

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Ocean County Airport · forecast.blue computed averages, 2024–2026 · records 2024–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Toms River station, 1887–2011: records and averages

This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 64°18°, over its full 1887–2011 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.

Leisure Village weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 47 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 28 min less
Golden hour: 5:26–6:21 PM; Morning 7:00–7:54 AM
Blue hour: 6:21–6:31 PM; Morning 6:49–7:00 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 8 PM–6:50 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:28 AM · rises 5:00 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Leisure Village. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

2 active weather alerts

Coastal Flood Advisory

Frost Advisory

Leisure Village, NJ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Watson Creek at Manasquan (IN MLLW)

North Branch Metedeconk River at Lakewood

Toms River at Toms River

Barnegat Bay at Mantoloking (IN MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon