Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 7 h 36 min
When
Until 6 PM EDT this evening.
Where
In Delaware, Inland Sussex and Delaware Beaches. In New Jersey, Ocean and Coastal Ocean.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected.
Additional details
Water remains trapped in the back bays where we expect minor flooding to continue. Levels are slowly lowering.
Precautionary actions
A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood.
Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to costly repairs.
Visit the National Water Prediction Service at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/phi for additional water level and flood impact information for your local tide gauge.
Areas: Inland Sussex; Delaware Beaches; Ocean; Coastal Ocean
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 9:55 AM EDT at KBLM

Leisure Village East, NJ weather

Sunny and 52°11°.

Forecasts agree

Now 52°11°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the north-northwest. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point: 45°7°; Comfortable
UV index: 1Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 44Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.57 inHg1035 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 61°16° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 37°3° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This morningNear 53°12° · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 61°16° by 2 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 45°7° by 9 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	71%	72%	1
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	64%	63%	2
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	53%	50%	3
Sat 1p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	47%	14%	3
Sat 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	44%	9%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	42%	9%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	44%	16%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	46%	20%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	53%	15%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	64%	9%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	74%	4%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	79%	3%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	82%	2%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	86%	2%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	3%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	89%	5%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	7%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	13%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	92%	26%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	92%	40%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	92%	40%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	92%	40%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	40%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	79%	22%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	61%	2%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	42%	1%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	38%	1%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	35%	1%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	37%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	38%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	43%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	3%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	8%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	7%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	92%	2%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	92%	4%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	92%	1%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	39°4° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	92%	2%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	92%	2%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	92%	2%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 35°2° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 39°4° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	93%	5%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (2024–2026)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 62°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 64°18° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 0 mph.
Tonight: Patchy frost after 10pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Northwest wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 40°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 37°3°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 0 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 37. West wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
34°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 47°8°. Typical 63°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. West wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
34°1°–47°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 60°16°, low 41°5°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
41°5°–53°12°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 45°7°. Typical 61°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
39°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–71°22°
Low, likely
47°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 61°16° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–70°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 57°14°. Typical 61°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–75°24°
Low, likely
53°12°–60°16°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 37°3°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 37°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 47°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 59–70°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PHI) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Barnegat Bay at Mantoloking (IN MLLW)

6.1 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 1.9 ft

Reading from Sat 9:06 AM · NWS gauge page

Barnegat Bay near Bayshore (IN MLLW)

7.4 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 8:24 AM · NWS gauge page

Barnegat Bay at Waretown (IN MLLW)

19 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 2.4 ft

Reading from Sat 9:06 AM · NWS gauge page

Watson Creek at Manasquan (IN MLLW)

8.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.2 ft

Forecast peak 4.8 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 32Typical 104

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 25
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Ocean County Airport · forecast.blue computed averages, 2024–2026 · records 2024–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Toms River station, 1887–2011: records and averages

This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 64°18°, over its full 1887–2011 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.

Leisure Village East weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 47 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 28 min less
Golden hour: 5:26–6:21 PM; Morning 6:59–7:54 AM
Blue hour: 6:21–6:31 PM; Morning 6:49–6:59 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:31 PM–4 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:28 AM · rises 5:00 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Leisure Village East. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory

Leisure Village East, NJ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Barnegat Bay at Mantoloking (IN MLLW)

Barnegat Bay near Bayshore (IN MLLW)

Barnegat Bay at Waretown (IN MLLW)

Watson Creek at Manasquan (IN MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon