Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 2 h 50 min
When
Until 6 PM EDT this evening.
Where
In Delaware, Inland Sussex and Delaware Beaches. In New Jersey, Ocean and Coastal Ocean.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected.
Additional details
Water remains trapped in the back bays where we expect minor flooding to continue. Levels are slowly lowering.
Precautionary actions
A Coastal Flood Advisory means that minor tidal flooding is expected. Minor tidal flooding often results in some road closures. Usually, the most vulnerable roadways will flood.
Do not leave your vehicle at a location that is prone to tidal flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flood waters. The water may be deeper than you think it is. You will be putting yourself in danger and your vehicle may be damaged, leading to costly repairs.
Visit the National Water Prediction Service at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/phi for additional water level and flood impact information for your local tide gauge.
Areas: Inland Sussex; Delaware Beaches; Ocean; Coastal Ocean
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 2:50 PM EDT at KBLM

Mantoloking, NJ weather

Sunny and 64°18°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 64°18°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the west-northwest. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 40°4°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 24Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.54 inHg1034 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−1.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 43°6° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonNear 58°14° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 44°7° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 60°16° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 65°18° by 2 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	51%	28%	2
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	49%	41%	1
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	49%	36%	0
Sat 6p	Mostly clear	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	53%	51%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	55%	51%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	57%	27%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	63%	17%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	66%	15%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	74%	17%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	20%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	15%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	83%	10%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	82%	12%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	13%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	44°7° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	82%	11%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	86%	11%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	82%	15%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 36°2° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	10%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	71%	2%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	61%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	53%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	46%	1%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	44%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	44%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	48%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	55%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	77%	2%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	2%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	48°9° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	4%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	47°8° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	2%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	46°8° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	1%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	82%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	82%	1%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	86%	1%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	13%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	89%	10%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	83%	12%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	74%	6%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	67%	12%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	60%	10%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	56%	0%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	54%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (2024–2026)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 60°16°, low 43°6°. Typical 67°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 60. East wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. West wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
37°3°–47°8°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 44°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. North wind around 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–47°8°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
40°4°–52°11°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 59°15°, low 46°8°. Typical 66°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
46°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 45°7°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 58°14°, low 50°10°. Typical 65°18° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 44°7°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 65°18° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 44°7°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 51°11°. Typical 65°18° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 44°7°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 56°13°. Typical 65°18° / 44°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
51°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 44°6°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 58°14°. Typical 65°18° / 44°7°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.25 in6.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–70°21°
Low, likely
56°13°–59°15°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 44°7°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 62°17°. Typical 64°18° / 44°7°. Rain 0.82 in21 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.23 in5.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 68°20°
  20% chance · 0.15 in3.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.39 in9.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
59°15°–66°19°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 44°7°
Wind
20 mph31 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 43°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 44°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 67°, low 52°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 58–68°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PHI) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Barnegat Bay at Mantoloking (IN MLLW)

1.2 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 1.8 ft

Reading from Sat 1:06 PM · NWS gauge page

Watson Creek at Manasquan (IN MLLW)

3.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.4 ft

Forecast peak 4.8 ft Sat 7 PM

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

North Branch Metedeconk River at Lakewood

6.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.0 ft
Flow: 43 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Manasquan River at Allenwood

7.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 7.3 ft
Flow: 11 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 64% less heating than a typical week.

This week 25Typical 69

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 15
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 40°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Belmar Farmingdale Allaire Airport · forecast.blue computed averages, 2024–2026 · records 2024–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Toms River station, 1887–2011: records and averages

This station closed and is no longer reporting, but has a long history nearby. Its own average annual high was about 64°18°, over its full 1887–2011 record — not an NCEI normal, and not the same station as the computed averages above.

Mantoloking weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 47 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 28 min less
Golden hour: 5:26–6:20 PM; Morning 6:59–7:54 AM
Blue hour: 6:20–6:31 PM; Morning 6:48–6:59 AM; first light 6:48 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 9 PM–6:49 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:27 AM · rises 5:00 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Mantoloking. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory

Mantoloking, NJ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Barnegat Bay at Mantoloking (IN MLLW)

Watson Creek at Manasquan (IN MLLW)

North Branch Metedeconk River at Lakewood

Manasquan River at Allenwood

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon