Observed 5:55 PM MDT at KSVC

Arenas Valley, NM weather

Sunny and 69°21°.

Mostly agree

Now 69°21°

Sunny

Wind: 13 mph21 km/h; From the west-southwest. Up to 13 mph21 km/h through 6 AM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 6High; High 1–3 PM · peak 6

Light rain starting around 7:15 AM.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (70°21° then, 69°21° now)

Good hours for

Low 44°7° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 11 AM
High 67°19° tomorrow at 3 PM

TonightDown to 45°7° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 67°19° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 44°7° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 68°20° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 6p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	59°15°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SSW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	57%	9%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	55°13°	5%	13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from WSW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	48°9°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	46°8°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	76%	7%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	76%	14%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	13%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	82%	13%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	82%	18%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	74%	36%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	66%	23%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	59%	46%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	53%	33%	4
Sun 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	48%	29%	5
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	45%	31%	6
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	43%	23%	6
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from SSW, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	40%	23%	5
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	40%	22%	4
Sun 5p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	41%	2%	2
Sun 6p	Mostly clear	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WSW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	49%	34%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	59%	41%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	61%	5%	0
Sun 9p	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	66%	9%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	66%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	68%	1%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	68%	8%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	71%	18%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	71%	14%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	70%	15%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	73%	38%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	76%	64%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	76%	77%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	71%	83%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	87%	1
Mon 10a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	57%	88%	2
Mon 11a	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	51%	86%	4
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	46%	63%	5
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	43%	47%	6
Mon 2p	Partly sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	42%	41%	6
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	40%	34%	5
Mon 4p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	40%	17%	4
Mon 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	13%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 72°22° / 44°7°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. West northwest wind 1 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 44°7°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67. South wind 1 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. North northwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. East wind 2 to 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
43°6°–45°7°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71. South southeast wind 2 to 8 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 44. North wind around 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 70°21° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. East wind around 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 43°6°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 46°8°. Typical 70°21° / 43°6°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 43°6°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 70°21° / 43°6°. Storms 0.5 in13 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 60°15°
  60% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 51°11°
  60% chance · 0.33 in8.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 48°9°
  60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–63°17°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 43°6°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 61°16°, low 48°9°. Typical 69°21° / 42°6°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–61°16°
Low, likely
48°9°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 42°6°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 56°13°, low 47°8°. Typical 69°21° / 42°6°. Rain 0.38 in9.7 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  50% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 51°10°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 43°6°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Low, likely
38°3°–52°11°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 42°6°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 42°6°. Typical 69°21° / 42°6°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–66°19°
Low, likely
29°−2°–51°11°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 42°6°
Wind
22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 66°, low 44°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 67°, low 43°.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 44°.
Rest of week
Highs 56–71°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EPZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Mimbres River at Mimbres

14 mi

Level: 1.0 ft
Flow: 6 cfs

Reading from Sat 5:10 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 59% less heating than a typical week.

This week 22Typical 55

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 14
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Fort Bayard 4w · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1897–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−1°MonOct 19
+3°+1°TueOct 20
+5°+3°WedOct 21
+8°+4°ThuOct 22
+4°+2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Arenas Valley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 5 min; Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 6 min less
Golden hour: 5:55–6:44 PM; Morning 7:08–7:57 AM
Blue hour: 6:44–6:54 PM; Morning 6:58–7:08 AM; first light 6:58 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:54 PM–6:59 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:27 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Arenas Valley. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,900 ft, 27 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.