Rio Penasco 2 miles NW of Dayton
2.7 mi- Level
- 0.2 ft
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 8:15 AM MDT at KATS
Sunny and 61°16°, storms ~12 PM–2 AM (88%).
Today: low 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°), high 73°23° (likely 70°21° to 76°24°).
Now 61°16°
Sunny
Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8a | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 20%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 90% | 84% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°) | 63°17° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 84% | 74% | 1 |
| Sat 10a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 81% | 81% | 2 |
| Sat 11a | Cloudy | 67°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°) | 67°19° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 78% | 84% | 4 |
| Sat 12p | Cloudy | 69°21° (likely 67°19° to 73°23°) | 69°21° | 50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 73% | 81% | 5 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 71°22° (likely 68°20° to 74°23°) | 71°22° | 50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 68% | 89% | 6 |
| Sat 2p | Partly sunny | 71°22° (likely 68°20° to 76°24°) | 71°22° | 50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 68% | 77% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Thunderstorms | 73°23° (likely 67°19° to 76°24°) | 73°23° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 64% | 44% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 71°22° (likely 67°19° to 75°24°) | 71°22° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 68% | 83% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Drizzle | 71°22° (likely 67°19° to 75°24°) | 71°22° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 71% | 74% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Thunderstorms | 68°20° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°) | 68°20° | 90%, 0.53 in13 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 76% | 91% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Thunderstorms | 64°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°) | 64°18° | 90%, 0.53 in13 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 87% | 92% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Thunderstorms | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 63°17° | 90%, 0.53 in13 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 90% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Heavy rain | 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°) | 62°17° | 70%, 0.53 in13 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 97% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Thunderstorms | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 70%, 0.53 in13 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 100% | 96% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Drizzle | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 70%, 0.53 in13 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 70%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 97% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Drizzle | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 70%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 97% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 70%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 97% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Thunderstorms | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 30%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 96% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Thunderstorms | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 59°15° | 30%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Thunderstorms | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 59°15° | 30%, 0.25 in6.4 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 59°15° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 100% | 98% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 59°15° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Thunderstorms | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 97% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 93% | 98% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 93% | 96% | 1 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 67°19° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 67°19° | 40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 87% | 81% | 1 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 68°20° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°) | 68°20° | 40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 20 mph32 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 84% | 75% | 1 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 68°20° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°) | 68°20° | 40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 81% | 55% | 3 |
| Sun 3p | Partly sunny | 70°21° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°) | 70°21° | 50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 76% | 64% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Partly sunny | 68°20° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 68°20° | 50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 81% | 57% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°) | 68°20° | 50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 81% | 72% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 84% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°) | 62°17° | 70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 97% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 60°16° | 70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 100% | 93% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph39 km/h | 100% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Mostly clear | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°) | 59°15° | 70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 100% | 67% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 100% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 96% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 58°14° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°) | 56°13° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°) | 56°13° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 100% | 97% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
80% chance · 1.3 in32 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
90% chance · 3.2 in81 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
70% chance · 1.5 in38 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 9am, then showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Cloudy, with a low around 57. Southeast wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.3 in7.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
70% chance · 0.3 in7.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
80% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
75% chance of rain, high 73°, low 57°.
49% chance of rain, high 70°, low 55°, cooling off.
53% chance of rain, high 68°, low 53°.
Highs 67–76°; chance of precipitation on Friday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MAF) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 89% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Comfortable, non-humid air (dew point 59°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.
On average 3°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Atoka weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:08 AM, sunset 6:14 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 98% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing