Conejos River near Mogote
25 mi- Level
- 7.1 ft
- Flow
- 3,150 cfs
Forecast peak 5.5 ft Sat 12 PM, action stage
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 21 h 19 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
What
Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Areas: Far Northwest Highlands; Northwest Highlands; Tusas Mountains Including Chama; Jemez Mountains; Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass; Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains; Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains; East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains; Upper Rio Grande Valley; Espanola Valley; Santa Fe Metro Area; Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area; Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood; Estancia Valley; Central Highlands; South Central Highlands; Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass; Far Northeast Highlands; Northeast Highlands; Eastern San Miguel County; Guadalupe County; De Baca County; Chaves County Plains; Eastern Lincoln County; Southwest Chaves County
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 8:25 AM MDT at KDRO
Overcast and 46°8°, storms ~9–5 AM (98%).
Today: low 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°), high 55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°).
Now 46°8°
Cloudy
None rain now, through the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8a | Sunny | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 38°3° | 60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 98% | 37% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Sunny | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 94% | 55% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 83% | 91% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Drizzle | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°) | 48°9° | 80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 78% | 90% | 1 |
| Sat 12p | Rain | 52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 100%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 76% | 97% | 2 |
| Sat 1p | Drizzle | 52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 100%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 76% | 98% | 2 |
| Sat 2p | Snow | 54°12° (likely 41°5° to 54°12°) | 54°12° | 100%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 70% | 87% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Rain | 53°12° (likely 43°6° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 71% | 94% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Drizzle | 52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 73% | 91% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Drizzle | 52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 73% | 62% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Mostly clear | 49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 78% | 61% | 1 |
| Sat 7p | Snow | 44°7° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°) | 40°4° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 91% | 79% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Drizzle | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 38°3° | 60%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 94% | 75% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Thunderstorms | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 90%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 91% | 95% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Drizzle | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 38°3° | 90%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 91% | 95% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Snow | 43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 90%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 91% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Drizzle | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 92% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Drizzle | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 93% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 39°4° | 70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 93% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Showers | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 40°4° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 92% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 39°4° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 95% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Showers | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 40°4° | 40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 96% | 88% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Showers | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 39°4° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 96% | 87% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Showers | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 39°4° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 96% | 54% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Showers | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 98% | 74% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Showers | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 92% | 69% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Showers | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 83% | 70% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Showers | 48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 74% | 76% | 4 |
| Sun 12p | Drizzle | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 65% | 73% | 5 |
| Sun 1p | Drizzle | 51°11° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°) | 48°9° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 62% | 72% | 5 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 60% | 64% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 57% | 44% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Mostly sunny | 50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 48°9° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 59% | 59% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 49°9° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 61% | 45% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Showers | 47°8° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 65% | 35% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Showers | 40°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°) | 40°4° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 88% | 89% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Showers | 39°4° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°) | 39°4° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 89% | 62% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Showers | 39°4° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°) | 39°4° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 88% | 51% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Showers | 38°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 38°3° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 89% | 46% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Showers | 36°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°) | 36°2° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 89% | 40% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 35°2° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 89% | 25% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 37°3°) | 35°2° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h | 89% | 19% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 34°1° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 89% | 23% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Clear | 34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°) | 34°1° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 89% | 25% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Clear | 33°1° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°) | 33°1° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 91% | 26% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Clear | 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°) | 32°0° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 93% | 27% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°) | 32°0° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 97% | 26% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Mostly sunny | 34°1° (likely 29°−2° to 38°3°) | 34°1° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 92% | 27% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
80% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
100% chance · 1.3 in32 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
90% chance · 0.6 in15 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
70% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 55. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southeast wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. High near 53, with temperatures falling to around 49 in the afternoon. South wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 54. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
70% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
70% chance · 0.5 in1.4 cm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.4 in1.1 cm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.3 in0.6 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.7 in1.7 cm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.9 in2.3 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.5 in1.2 cm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.4 in0.9 cm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
98% chance of rain, high 55°, low 38°.
64% chance of rain, high 53°, low 31°.
Dry, high 54°, low 31°.
Highs 43–59°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABQ) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 5.5 ft Sat 12 PM, action stage
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 4.3 ft Sat 8 AM, action stage
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 76% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 23 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.
On average 7°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Chama weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:22 AM, sunset 6:18 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 85% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing